NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	101		Excitement	9.9 [76]		MVP	Stephon Marbury (PHX): +66.5%
Memphis Grizzlies	99		Comeback	12.2 [86]		LVP	Amar'e Stoudemire (PHX): -32.5%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephon Marbury	0.67	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.67	0.07	0.60	0.01	13	66%	0.69	1	-0.02	9	89%	0.04
Shawn Marion	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.23,0.2,0.16,0.38,0.38,0.21	0.07	0.15	0.01	14	66%	0.27	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.06
Bo Outlaw	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jake Voskuhl	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Casey Jacobsen	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.03	-0.08	0.01	16	56%	0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Dan Langhi	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	5	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	11	36%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	4	0%	-0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.33	0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.25,-0.25,-0.33	-0.07	-0.24	0.01	19	49%	-0.23	3	-0.09	7	57%	-0.05

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.26	0.26	0.03	0.20	-0.03	20	52%	0.32	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.03
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.08	0.02	9	70%	0.15	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.06	-0.00	12	56%	0.13	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.06
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	13	54%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	7	73%	0.09	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Ryan Humphrey	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Batiste	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15	-0.15	-0.02	-0.10	0.03	13	56%	-0.08	2	-0.07	10	80%	0.01
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.12	-0.06	-0.00	5	25%	-0.06	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.7	30.1	15.4	24.0	2.7	36.5	135.7
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +6.5%

PHX +1.5%

PHX +38.1%

PHX +12.9%

MEM -9.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	MEM	NBA	PHX	MEM	NBA
this game	14.2	15.6	15.5	104.1	103.1	101.6
season	15.0	15.3		101.1	101.8
opponent	15.2	15.9		105.1	100.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.2	12.5	14.9	15.5	14.2
MEM	14.6	15.8	15.1	17.3	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Marion	90	89	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.44	5	-3	8	14.2	14.6	-0.37	15.5	17.1	-1.64
Amar'e Stoudemire	82	81	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.38	6	-4	10	14.7	11.5	3.27	15.3	17.1	-1.79
Anfernee Hardaway	83	83	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.42	4	-2	6	14.5	12.9	1.60	16.0	13.2	2.77
Joe Johnson	48	49	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.51	-4	6	-10	14.9	13.6	1.28	16.4	14.8	1.56
Scott Williams	32	33	0.23	0.28	-0.05	0.02	7	-5	12	13.6	14.5	-0.90	16.1	15.4	0.76
Bo Outlaw	7	6	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.24	-4	6	-10	15.9	14.1	1.76	15.7	15.6	0.04
Dan Langhi	29	26	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.02	4	-2	6	13.1	14.7	-1.55	14.0	16.2	-2.18
Casey Jacobsen	12	15	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	1	0	11.2	14.6	-3.40	15.3	15.7	-0.35
Stephon Marbury	72	70	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.14	-2	4	-6	14.7	12.8	1.87	15.4	16.3	-0.88
Jake Voskuhl	30	28	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.02	-7	9	-16	12.6	15.0	-2.36	16.0	15.5	0.53

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Earl Watson	32	31	0.18	-0.68	0.86	-0.14	11	-13	24	16.1	15.4	0.75	14.4	14.2	0.24
Mike Batiste	21	20	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.08	6	-8	14	15.5	15.7	-0.13	14.7	14.1	0.66
Ryan Humphrey	7	6	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	1	-4	19.6	15.3	4.26	9.0	14.6	-5.57
Mike Miller	59	61	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.08	-9	7	-16	15.4	16.0	-0.61	13.6	15.3	-1.76
Shane Battier	58	57	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.48	4	-6	10	16.2	14.7	1.56	15.0	13.1	1.88
Pau Gasol	79	80	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.39	0	-2	2	15.2	17.6	-2.46	14.4	13.4	0.99
Lorenzen Wright	64	67	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.40	-4	2	-6	15.4	16.0	-0.61	14.3	14.1	0.14
Wesley Person	79	81	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.35	-7	5	-12	15.4	16.8	-1.38	14.5	12.7	1.77
Jason Williams	81	82	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.39	-8	6	-14	15.7	15.4	0.27	13.9	16.1	-2.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.78,0.72,0.77,0.71,0.61,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.33,0.33,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.27,0.31,0.45,0.33,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 108, GSW 103	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.5,0.59,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.21,0.24,0.26,0.19,0.37,0.55,0.42,0	90.4%
CHA 91, CLE 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.66,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.21,0.16,0.17,0.25,0.37,0.32,0.42,0	89.9%
UTA 94, LAC 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.75,0.76,0.67,0.6,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.33,0.37,0.41,0.29,0.39,0.31,0.54,0.32,0.58,0	89.6%