NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	112		Excitement	5.0 [810]		MVP	Vince Carter (TOR): +21.9%
Toronto Raptors	95		Comeback	2.9 [583]		LVP	Antonio Davis (TOR): -16.8%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.08	0.06	-0.01	25	59%	0.21	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Tyrone Hill	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.03	0.00	4	100%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Aaron McKie	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	10	50%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
John Salmons	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	72%	0.08	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Greg Buckner	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.02	7	69%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Efthimios Rentzias	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Keith Van Horn	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	10	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Eric Snow	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	7	52%	-0.03	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.16	0.09	0.03	13	79%	0.22	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Voshon Lenard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.04	-0.03	18	49%	0.09	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Michael Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.00	0.03	5	100%	0.06	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Chris Jefferies	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.03	0.04	8	65%	0.01	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Mamadou N'diaye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	5	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	10	45%	0.02	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	10	32%	-0.08	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Antonio Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-0.06	-0.02	9	42%	-0.07	4	-0.10	6	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	2.4	31.4	16.4	24.4	2.7	28.4	132.5
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +30.8%

TOR -1.0%

PHI +8.8%

PHI +14.1%

TOR -2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	TOR	NBA	PHI	TOR	NBA
this game	14.8	17.2	15.5	123.1	106.7	101.6
season	15.3	16.2		102.1	98.8
opponent	15.3	15.5		105.1	99.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.4	13.7	16.0	15.6	14.8
TOR	16.3	15.1	17.5	20.6	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Coleman	60	60	0.52	-0.02	0.55	-0.09	21	-4	25	14.0	16.4	-2.34	17.8	15.9	1.95
Allen Iverson	81	80	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.00	17	0	17	14.6	17.0	-2.42	17.4	15.1	2.30
Kenny Thomas	47	44	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.03	17	0	17	14.7	15.0	-0.34	18.3	16.0	2.30
Eric Snow	67	66	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.01	13	4	9	14.5	15.7	-1.23	17.6	15.9	1.71
Aaron McKie	46	43	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.05	8	9	-1	15.3	14.4	0.93	16.3	18.0	-1.74
Tyrone Hill	49	50	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.04	8	9	-1	15.5	14.1	1.44	17.4	16.9	0.46
Greg Buckner	44	43	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.06	4	13	-9	14.8	14.9	-0.14	17.0	17.3	-0.30
John Salmons	22	21	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.10	0	17	-17	14.5	15.0	-0.46	14.1	18.1	-4.04
Keith Van Horn	21	23	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.11	4	13	-9	15.9	14.5	1.38	18.9	16.6	2.28
Efthimios Rentzias	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	16	-15	19.8	14.6	5.24	13.5	17.4	-3.85
Brian Skinner	13	11	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	0.02	-8	25	-33	15.5	14.7	0.81	11.6	18.0	-6.33

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mamadou N'diaye	26	26	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.03	0	-17	17	18.1	16.8	1.27	12.8	15.6	-2.80
Rafer Alston	26	28	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	-15	13	15.6	17.8	-2.21	16.5	14.1	2.34
Michael Bradley	56	58	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.13	-11	-6	-5	18.4	15.1	3.32	15.2	14.2	1.04
Chris Jefferies	12	13	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.03	-6	-11	5	16.5	17.3	-0.79	19.5	14.1	5.38
Morris Peterson	59	61	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.13	-12	-5	-7	17.1	17.4	-0.33	15.1	14.3	0.77
Voshon Lenard	59	60	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.02	-10	-7	-3	17.2	17.1	0.17	14.1	16.4	-2.29
Alvin Williams	65	66	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.05	-11	-6	-5	17.6	16.2	1.39	14.4	15.9	-1.48
Vince Carter	75	75	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.10	-12	-5	-7	16.4	21.1	-4.70	14.7	15.6	-0.87
Antonio Davis	67	68	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.01	-21	4	-25	17.0	17.6	-0.55	14.8	15.1	-0.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.47,0.42,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.71,0.74,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.31,0.26,0.33,0.29,0.15,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 90, PHI 82	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.38,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.65,0.7,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.67,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	94.1%
POR 108, LAL 87	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.67,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.15,0.14,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.0%
ATL 108, MEM 94	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.72,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.41,0.33,0.28,0.22,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.9%