NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	80		Excitement	3.4 [1092]		MVP	Christian Laettner (WAS): +5.9%
Washington Wizards	99		Comeback	1.2 [1072]		LVP	Corey Maggette (LAC): -10.2%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Melvin Ely	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Wang Zhi-zhi	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	6	54%	0.00	1	0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Chris Wilcox	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	67%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Sean Rooks	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	9	56%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.02	10	48%	-0.02	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Andre Miller	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	9	40%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Marko Jaric	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	-0.04	10	30%	-0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	13	36%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Cherokee Parks	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.01	0.01	6	43%	-0.04	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Corey Maggette	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	-0.01	-0.03	12	41%	-0.08	2	-0.02	10	80%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	-0.00	-0.00	5	77%	0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.08	10	69%	0.07	6	-0.02	9	67%	-0.01
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.02	0.04	3	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	79%	0.03	2	-0.02	11	82%	0.01
Jahidi White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Goldwire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	-0.00	-0.06	7	29%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	17	45%	-0.03	0	0.00	10	100%	0.03
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	5	50%	-0.02	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Jordan	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	14	33%	-0.07	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.5	29.8	15.8	23.5	3.4	27.3	127.6
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +18.9%

WAS +15.6%

WAS +8.0%

WAS +7.7%

LAC -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	WAS	NBA	LAC	WAS	NBA
this game	15.5	16.2	15.5	87.9	108.8	101.6
season	15.4	16.5		100.2	100.9
opponent	15.5	15.4		101.9	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.6	14.8	16.2	14.4	15.5
WAS	16.9	14.6	16.5	16.9	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wang Zhi-zhi	19	19	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.23	8	-27	35	13.5	16.0	-2.46	16.6	16.1	0.58
Melvin Ely	23	22	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.22	-12	-7	-5	17.0	14.9	2.10	14.7	16.7	-1.97
Chris Wilcox	29	31	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.24	-13	-6	-7	14.8	15.8	-1.00	16.3	16.1	0.12
Marko Jaric	44	43	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.05	-10	-9	-1	15.5	15.4	0.14	15.3	17.0	-1.74
Andre Miller	60	61	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.20	-2	-17	15	14.9	16.5	-1.63	17.5	13.5	4.04
Sean Rooks	48	49	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.06	-13	-6	-7	15.6	15.3	0.32	17.0	15.2	1.74
Eric Piatkowski	47	47	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.11	-15	-4	-11	16.1	14.8	1.27	15.2	17.2	-1.95
Quentin Richardson	54	55	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.22	-19	0	-19	15.9	14.9	1.02	16.3	15.9	0.38
Cherokee Parks	62	60	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.18	-6	-13	7	15.8	14.8	1.00	16.1	16.3	-0.12
Corey Maggette	69	68	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.01	-13	-6	-7	15.1	16.7	-1.65	15.9	17.1	-1.22

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerry Stackhouse	66	64	0.52	-0.02	0.53	-0.36	30	-11	41	15.7	17.4	-1.69	15.9	14.4	1.46
Christian Laettner	50	51	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.32	23	-4	27	15.6	16.9	-1.32	15.8	15.1	0.66
Larry Hughes	64	66	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.17	17	2	15	16.4	15.7	0.62	15.5	15.5	-0.01
Bryon Russell	42	44	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.09	13	6	7	15.8	16.5	-0.77	15.1	15.8	-0.69
Brendan Haywood	61	60	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.02	9	10	-1	17.3	13.9	3.35	15.8	14.9	0.86
Michael Jordan	44	43	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.10	11	8	3	17.2	15.2	2.04	16.0	15.0	1.09
Kwame Brown	51	51	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.04	6	13	-7	16.0	16.3	-0.31	15.3	15.7	-0.36
Juan Dixon	41	41	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.25	-2	21	-23	15.1	17.0	-1.87	14.5	16.3	-1.79
Charles Oakley	12	12	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.02	3	16	-13	16.2	16.2	-0.01	13.9	15.7	-1.79
Jahidi White	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	24	-29	14.0	16.4	-2.36	15.6	15.5	0.11
Bobby Simmons	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	24	-29	14.0	16.4	-2.36	15.6	15.5	0.11
Anthony Goldwire	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	24	-29	19.4	15.8	3.62	15.1	15.5	-0.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.69,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOK 73, MEM 89	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.8,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
MIA 91, BOS 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1	96.7%
DET 65, NYK 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.89,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%