NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	94		Excitement	6.6 [480]		MVP	Antonio Daniels (POR): +28.5%
Denver Nuggets	84		Comeback	7.7 [327]		LVP	Nene (DEN): -17.3%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio Daniels	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.28	0.10	0.15	-0.03	6	94%	0.29	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.01
Damon Stoudamire	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05	-0.02	0.05	-0.02	7	56%	0.12	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Ruben Patterson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	9	75%	0.15	2	-0.11	2	50%	-0.04
Dale Davis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.02	5	67%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Zach Randolph	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	5	69%	0.09	2	-0.09	6	83%	0.00
Qyntel Woods	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	11	38%	-0.04	1	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Jeff McInnis	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	6	50%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Bonzi Wells	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	11	54%	-0.01	3	-0.09	4	50%	-0.03
Derek Anderson	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	6	12%	-0.11	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Bowen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	19	58%	0.08	6	-0.11	7	57%	-0.06
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	3	42%	-0.05	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.04
Shammond Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	-0.01	-0.05	5	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Donnell Harvey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.09	-0.00	19	52%	-0.04	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.03
Junior Harrington	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.09	-0.01	6	75%	0.09	5	-0.21	4	100%	0.03
Vincent Yarbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.08	0.01	5	64%	0.03	3	-0.16	1	100%	0.00
Nene	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	8	50%	-0.10	3	-0.07	8	25%	-0.16

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.5	29.2	16.0	36.2	2.6	34.5	145.5
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +37.8%

POR +6.9%

DEN -20.3%

POR +27.7%

DEN -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	DEN	NBA	POR	DEN	NBA
this game	17.3	15.2	15.5	105.6	95.5	101.6
season	16.0	15.7		104.3	90.4
opponent	15.3	15.7		99.4	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.2	19.0	17.2	17.0	17.3
DEN	15.1	14.4	14.1	17.3	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damon Stoudamire	42	42	0.96	-0.46	1.41	0.22	25	-15	40	17.1	17.5	-0.44	16.4	14.2	2.20
Zach Randolph	54	53	0.90	-0.40	1.30	0.22	23	-13	36	17.3	17.3	-0.03	15.6	14.6	0.96
Ruben Patterson	45	45	0.87	-0.37	1.23	0.28	20	-10	30	17.9	16.7	1.14	15.7	14.7	1.04
Antonio Daniels	45	44	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.19	22	-12	34	16.4	18.2	-1.78	16.0	14.4	1.55
Qyntel Woods	18	19	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.01	8	2	6	19.3	16.8	2.52	16.6	14.8	1.75
Rasheed Wallace	65	63	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.28	-4	14	-18	16.2	20.2	-4.00	15.1	15.5	-0.38
Arvydas Sabonis	5	5	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.04	3	7	-4	27.4	16.7	10.67	9.8	15.5	-5.73
Derek Anderson	36	37	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	0.02	-12	22	-34	18.2	16.8	1.41	14.5	15.7	-1.24
Bonzi Wells	53	51	-0.34	0.84	-1.19	-0.08	-9	19	-28	16.7	18.2	-1.51	14.8	15.8	-1.05
Dale Davis	35	35	-0.38	0.88	-1.26	-0.06	-11	21	-32	17.3	17.3	0.03	14.6	15.6	-0.96
Jeff McInnis	47	46	-0.46	0.96	-1.41	-0.02	-15	25	-40	17.5	17.1	0.44	14.2	16.4	-2.20

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Andersen	26	25	0.26	-0.76	1.03	0.09	6	-16	22	13.3	16.0	-2.64	16.6	17.6	-1.01
Ryan Bowen	18	19	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.00	1	-11	12	13.6	15.6	-2.07	18.4	17.0	1.39
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	7	7	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.05	-5	-5	0	16.1	15.1	1.02	13.3	17.7	-4.39
Marcus Camby	15	16	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.08	-9	-1	-8	16.9	14.9	2.00	13.1	18.3	-5.20
Donnell Harvey	59	60	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.21	-3	-7	4	15.8	14.0	1.75	17.3	17.3	0.02
Nene	65	66	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.39	1	-11	12	14.7	16.6	-1.90	18.3	14.6	3.66
Vincent Yarbrough	66	67	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.24	-4	-6	2	15.4	14.5	0.88	17.1	17.9	-0.77
Junior Harrington	78	79	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.30	-2	-8	6	15.0	16.8	-1.80	17.9	12.7	5.21
Shammond Williams	40	39	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.16	-21	11	-32	15.2	15.2	0.08	16.4	18.1	-1.72
Juwan Howard	66	67	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	-0.27	-14	4	-18	15.9	13.2	2.70	17.9	15.7	2.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.49,0.56,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.74,0.78,0.89,0.87,0.86,0.85,0.81,0.78,0.66,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.36,0.06,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 103, SAC 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.88,0.84,0.89,0.78,0.78,0.66,0.71,0.68,0.58,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.22,0.03,0,0	92.4%
ATL 95, SEA 87	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.69,0.63,0.55,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.74,0.87,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.78,0.7,0.83,0.73,0.64,0.54,0.4,0.38,0.21,0.06,0,0	92.2%
CHA 98, MIL 95	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.38,0.42,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.84,0.87,0.84,0.84,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.63,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.61,0.28,0.22,0.16,0	92.0%