NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	69		Excitement	9.2 [110]		MVP	Walter McCarty (BOS): +37.9%
Boston Celtics	71		Comeback	3.0 [470]		LVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): -44.1%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Erick Strickland	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.00	-0.01	4	112%	0.11	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ron Mercer	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	7	14%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	-0.17	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.10	-0.06	0.00	8	37%	-0.06	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	-0.19	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.27,-0.27,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.13	-0.08	-0.02	8	40%	-0.00	4	-0.19	4	50%	-0.07
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.14	-0.09	-0.00	4	40%	-0.01	6	-0.21	2	100%	0.02
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.25	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,-0.25	0.00	-0.27	-0.01	23	56%	-0.14	3	-0.11	9	78%	-0.13
Reggie Miller	-0.43	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.33,-0.43	-0.17	-0.25	0.00	14	28%	-0.35	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.38	0.38	0.07	0.31	0.00	6	71%	0.38	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Grant Long	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	5	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Mark Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	15	40%	-0.06	0	0.00	5	60%	0.01
Kedrick Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Bremer	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	7	12%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	5	20%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.12	-0.08	-0.01	20	45%	0.00	6	-0.18	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.14,-0.41,-0.44	-0.44	-0.15	-0.30	-0.00	13	46%	-0.15	5	-0.29	9	67%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.4	24.6	15.4	23.4	2.4	39.2	132.5
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +47.5%

BOS +9.0%

IND -17.6%

BOS +17.5%

IND -6.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	BOS	NBA	IND	BOS	NBA
this game	16.2	15.1	15.5	76.7	75.5	101.6
season	15.4	15.6		102.2	99.3
opponent	15.5	15.5		99.9	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.9	17.9	17.8	15.7	16.2
BOS	13.8	15.6	15.8	15.6	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Austin Croshere	40	41	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.11	1	-3	4	16.2	16.2	-0.02	15.3	15.0	0.31
Jeff Foster	22	23	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.08	-3	1	-4	17.4	15.8	1.53	12.8	15.9	-3.03
Reggie Miller	67	71	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.47	10	-12	22	15.7	17.8	-2.11	16.2	11.7	4.59
Jermaine O'Neal	77	81	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.28	3	-5	8	15.7	19.5	-3.80	15.4	13.6	1.74
Erick Strickland	21	22	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.16	-4	2	-6	17.2	15.9	1.34	13.0	15.7	-2.70
Ron Mercer	23	23	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.02	-12	10	-22	17.8	15.7	2.11	11.7	16.2	-4.59
Jamaal Tinsley	71	73	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.33	0	-2	2	15.9	17.4	-1.53	15.6	13.5	2.05
Al Harrington	69	73	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.39	1	-3	4	16.4	15.4	1.02	15.8	12.9	2.91
Brad Miller	60	63	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.43	-6	4	-10	16.2	16.1	0.12	15.0	15.4	-0.45

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Battie	63	60	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.45	12	-10	22	15.0	15.4	-0.40	16.0	16.7	-0.68
Walter McCarty	53	53	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.35	13	-11	24	13.3	17.5	-4.20	16.6	15.7	0.91
Tony Delk	68	65	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.43	10	-8	18	14.0	18.2	-4.20	16.3	16.0	0.24
Antoine Walker	79	73	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.31	0	2	-2	15.5	13.3	2.20	15.8	17.8	-1.99
Paul Pierce	68	65	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.43	-8	10	-18	15.2	14.8	0.48	16.2	16.2	0.02
Grant Long	15	17	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.13	2	0	2	13.3	15.5	-2.20	17.8	15.8	1.99
Kedrick Brown	17	16	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.04	2	0	2	14.4	15.3	-0.93	17.2	16.0	1.19
J.R. Bremer	35	34	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	2	-2	17.5	13.7	3.77	15.6	16.6	-0.95
Eric Williams	41	37	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.09	-11	13	-24	17.5	13.3	4.20	15.7	16.6	-0.91
Mark Blount	31	30	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	-0.01	-10	12	-22	15.4	15.0	0.40	16.7	16.0	0.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.72,0.72,0.64,0.7,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.32,0.54,0.65,0.75,0.76,0.63,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.26,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 72, BOS 76	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.71,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.35,0.37,0.44,0.41,0.54,0.57,0.67,0.42,0.58,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.57,0.42,1	91.0%
ORL 110, ATL 117	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.62,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.67,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.73,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.4,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.77,0.79,0.59,0.62,0.56,0.37,0.32,0.28,1	89.6%
MIA 80, TOR 81	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.6,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.52,0.71,0.67,0.73,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.42,1	89.4%