NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	79		Excitement	5.8 [613]		MVP	Clifford Robinson (DET): +12.3%
Seattle SuperSonics	86		Comeback	1.7 [392]		LVP	Corliss Williamson (DET): -17.6%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clifford Robinson	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.06	-0.00	13	63%	0.16	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Chucky Atkins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.01	8	62%	0.06	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.02	13	57%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Mehmet Okur	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.01	11	73%	0.12	5	-0.15	8	87%	0.03
Michael Curry	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	3	29%	-0.02	3	-0.12	1	0%	-0.02
Jon Barry	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.11	-0.06	-0.02	9	28%	-0.08	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.12	-0.06	-0.01	9	23%	-0.15	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.04	0.01	3	100%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.05	-0.00	18	52%	0.07	0	0.00	8	87%	0.01
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.01	14	67%	0.13	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.03
Predrag Drobnjak	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.03	13	58%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joseph Forte	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	40%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jerome James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.03	-0.01	5	57%	0.08	3	-0.10	4	50%	-0.01
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	6	25%	-0.12	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	2.0	26.0	14.8	27.1	1.8	33.0	133.0
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +29.9%

DET -0.9%

DET -4.2%

SEA +28.4%

DET -3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	SEA	NBA	DET	SEA	NBA
this game	16.4	16.5	15.5	89.8	98.9	101.6
season	16.8	16.5		101.7	101.7
opponent	15.6	15.6		102.0	97.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	15.5	15.9	17.2	17.0	16.4
SEA	16.5	15.4	17.0	17.3	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Hamilton	59	59	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.09	2	-9	11	15.3	18.6	-3.30	17.9	13.7	4.22
Michael Curry	36	36	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.09	-5	-2	-3	16.2	16.5	-0.35	17.2	16.1	1.12
Clifford Robinson	74	73	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.19	-1	-6	5	16.4	16.4	0.02	16.8	15.1	1.67
Mehmet Okur	34	34	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.22	-3	-4	1	15.9	16.7	-0.80	17.4	16.0	1.38
Chucky Atkins	42	41	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.36	1	-8	9	16.3	16.4	-0.08	16.5	16.5	-0.01
Chauncey Billups	52	52	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.04	-10	3	-13	16.6	16.1	0.49	16.3	16.9	-0.58
Corliss Williamson	45	43	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.28	-3	-4	1	16.9	15.8	1.05	16.6	16.5	0.04
Jon Barry	30	30	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.21	-6	-1	-5	17.7	15.7	2.01	13.5	18.2	-4.69
Ben Wallace	68	67	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.18	-10	3	-13	16.6	15.5	1.07	15.8	18.9	-3.13

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Allen	68	70	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.24	9	-2	11	17.1	14.6	2.51	15.9	18.1	-2.11
Jerome James	32	31	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.30	5	2	3	17.6	15.9	1.67	17.4	15.8	1.61
Kevin Ollie	44	45	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.41	1	6	-5	16.2	16.9	-0.77	17.5	15.2	2.37
Predrag Drobnjak	56	58	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.11	7	0	7	16.1	17.3	-1.22	16.3	16.6	-0.29
Vladimir Radmanovic	34	33	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.21	2	5	-3	15.8	17.0	-1.27	17.3	15.8	1.53
Rashard Lewis	73	74	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.08	3	4	-1	16.8	14.9	1.92	16.5	15.9	0.62
Reggie Evans	38	40	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.10	8	-1	9	16.1	16.9	-0.82	15.2	17.3	-2.06
Brent Barry	66	66	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.03	3	4	-1	16.0	18.3	-2.30	16.1	17.3	-1.20
Vitaly Potapenko	24	23	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.18	-3	10	-13	17.7	16.1	1.61	15.4	16.7	-1.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.4,0.52,0.5,0.43,0.62,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.84,0.78,0.75,0.84,0.94,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 90, MIL 92	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.6,0.7,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.55,0.64,0.58,0.45,0.56,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.38,0.48,0.57,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.84,0.86,0.91,1	93.1%
BOS 98, IND 99	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.62,0.72,0.85,0.86,0.76,0.72,0.86,0.72,0.94,0.73,1	92.8%
TOR 90, NJN 99	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.6,0.67,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.57,0.71,0.8,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	92.7%