NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	97		Excitement	11.9 [18]		MVP	Reggie Miller (IND): +61.9%
Indiana Pacers	98		Comeback	8.0 [240]		LVP	Jermaine O'Neal (IND): -37.7%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alan Henderson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	4	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dion Glover	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	10	54%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.04
Jermaine Jackson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.23,-0.12,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	18	50%	0.22	5	-0.27	0	0%	0.00
Dan Dickau	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ira Newble	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	-0.01	-0.02	19	44%	-0.03	3	-0.07	10	70%	-0.03
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.23,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.06	-0.02	17	45%	-0.09	2	-0.06	13	69%	-0.06
Theo Ratliff	-0.27	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.05	-0.22	-0.00	15	47%	-0.22	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.08

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.62	0.62	0.11	0.49	-0.02	21	58%	0.62	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	-0.02	0.18	-0.01	13	50%	0.21	1	-0.04	6	50%	0.01
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Mercer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	4	40%	-0.02	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.07,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.01	-0.15	0.01	9	61%	-0.13	2	-0.05	10	90%	0.06
Metta World Peace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.2,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.36,-0.36,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3	-0.30	-0.12	-0.18	0.00	17	36%	-0.24	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.03
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.32,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38	-0.38	-0.11	-0.27	-0.01	19	38%	-0.34	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	27.3	15.8	25.7	2.0	40.0	1.5	15.8	154.6
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	1.9	17.2	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL -9.9%

IND +10.9%

IND +27.8%

IND +14.6%

IND +6.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	IND	NBA	ATL	IND	NBA
this game	15.4	14.8	15.5	93.3	91.6	101.6
season	15.1	15.4		99.5	102.2
opponent	15.5	15.7		99.2	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
ATL	14.4	18.4	14.8	14.1	14.3	15.4
IND	13.8	11.6	15.2	17.8	17.1	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Theo Ratliff	82	82	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.10	6	-7	13	15.5	14.7	0.85	14.6	15.3	-0.63
Jermaine Jackson	0	1	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.00	0	-1	1	0.0	15.4	-15.36	15.0	14.8	0.21
Darvin Ham	14	14	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.09	3	-4	7	18.7	14.8	3.88	13.6	15.0	-1.32
Dan Dickau	23	23	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-3	5	17.7	14.7	3.00	13.8	15.1	-1.23
Nazr Mohammed	9	10	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.03	-3	2	-5	13.0	15.6	-2.58	14.9	14.8	0.12
Ira Newble	25	27	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.03	-1	0	-1	13.8	15.8	-2.05	15.1	14.7	0.42
Dion Glover	79	80	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.44	0	-1	1	15.8	13.8	2.05	14.7	15.1	-0.42
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	90	92	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.51	2	-3	5	15.5	14.3	1.24	14.6	16.1	-1.56
Jason Terry	81	83	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.40	-3	2	-5	14.7	17.7	-3.00	15.1	13.9	1.19
Glenn Robinson	90	93	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.38	-4	3	-7	14.8	18.7	-3.88	15.0	13.6	1.32
Alan Henderson	27	30	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.37	-7	6	-13	15.0	15.5	-0.43	15.8	14.4	1.44

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brad Miller	83	80	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.40	5	-4	9	14.8	14.6	0.22	14.9	16.7	-1.76
Jamaal Tinsley	75	74	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.38	4	-3	7	14.8	14.8	-0.07	15.5	15.1	0.36
Jermaine O'Neal	99	98	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.47	-2	3	-5	14.7	16.5	-1.84	15.3	16.2	-0.86
Metta World Peace	71	67	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.47	-6	7	-13	15.4	13.6	1.87	14.8	16.4	-1.55
Reggie Miller	73	73	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.10	6	-5	11	14.7	14.9	-0.22	15.4	15.2	0.28
Ron Mercer	36	36	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.02	8	-7	15	13.6	15.4	-1.78	16.6	14.7	1.83
Jeff Foster	15	15	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.00	4	-3	7	14.7	14.8	-0.15	18.9	14.8	4.10
Al Harrington	51	47	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.41	-11	12	-23	15.1	14.5	0.54	14.8	15.8	-1.08
Erick Strickland	32	30	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.09	-3	4	-7	14.8	14.8	0.07	15.1	15.5	-0.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.56,0.66,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.8,0.86,0.91,0.96,0.89,0.86,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.88,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.81,0.66,0.62,0.54,0.31,0.74,0.54,0.31,0.22,0.55,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 86, MIA 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.59,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.73,0.78,0.72,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.8,0.78,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.91,0.91,0.85,0.85,0.69,0.58,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.27,1	87.3%
SAS 99, MIL 102	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.46,0.32,0.32,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.71,0.81,0.88,0.88,0.8,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.85,0.86,0.71,0.6,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.92,0.46,0.45,0.15,0.1,0.27,1	87.0%
MEM 101, MIN 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.58,0.77,0.84,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.73,0.76,0.84,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.85,0.87,0.78,0.75,0.86,0.88,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.69,0.64,0.57,0.58,1	86.7%