NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	95		Excitement	5.5 [680]		MVP	Vladimir Radmanovic (SEA): +16.7%
Memphis Grizzlies	83		Comeback	2.3 [351]		LVP	Drew Gooden (MEM): -13.9%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.16	0.03	0.03	15	78%	0.22	2	-0.05	7	71%	0.01
Gary Payton	0.04	0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	15	53%	0.06	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Kenny Anderson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.02	9	44%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	17	55%	0.07	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Calvin Booth	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	0	75%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Ansu Sesay	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Predrag Drobnjak	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerome James	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	6	43%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Desmond Mason	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	-0.01	-0.02	12	25%	-0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	-0.00	-0.01	10	61%	0.04	1	-0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.02	0.01	16	68%	0.10	3	-0.07	5	60%	-0.02
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	8	44%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mike Batiste	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cezary Trybanski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	0.01	8	56%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	8	50%	-0.01	3	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	7	43%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.02	-0.01	5	0%	-0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	3	36%	-0.11	1	-0.03	8	37%	-0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.8	27.0	16.8	30.2	2.5	27.3	130.6
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +20.9%

SEA +4.2%

SEA +7.1%

SEA +10.5%

SEA +7.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	MEM	NBA	SEA	MEM	NBA
this game	18.1	14.9	15.5	109.2	94.3	101.6
season	16.5	15.3		101.7	101.8
opponent	15.2	15.6		105.1	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	17.9	19.0	16.0	19.6	18.1
MEM	15.6	13.1	15.3	15.6	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Desmond Mason	68	70	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.07	16	-4	20	18.0	18.5	-0.52	15.4	12.8	2.55
Vladimir Radmanovic	74	74	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.07	14	-2	16	17.8	19.7	-1.91	14.7	15.5	-0.76
Calvin Booth	33	31	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.07	13	-1	14	17.8	18.2	-0.40	14.5	15.1	-0.59
Gary Payton	76	75	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.07	9	3	6	18.1	17.8	0.29	14.5	17.0	-2.51
Rashard Lewis	73	73	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.13	6	6	0	18.6	15.1	3.57	14.8	14.9	-0.08
Ansu Sesay	27	29	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.09	4	8	-4	17.3	18.4	-1.12	15.2	14.7	0.51
Kenny Anderson	34	36	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.12	0	12	-12	17.5	18.5	-0.98	15.2	14.6	0.56
Predrag Drobnjak	29	30	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.19	-5	17	-22	19.2	17.5	1.76	14.4	15.1	-0.75
Jerome James	21	22	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.08	3	9	-6	18.0	18.1	-0.03	15.1	14.8	0.36

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Batiste	31	32	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.26	11	-23	34	13.1	15.8	-2.73	19.6	17.2	2.46
Earl Watson	50	48	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.20	8	-20	28	13.7	16.4	-2.79	18.9	17.1	1.80
Brevin Knight	53	52	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.19	7	-19	26	13.8	16.5	-2.74	18.5	17.4	1.12
Shane Battier	55	53	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.13	2	-14	16	14.2	16.0	-1.77	18.7	17.1	1.51
Cezary Trybanski	13	12	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.00	-7	-5	-2	16.0	14.7	1.33	16.1	18.4	-2.30
Pau Gasol	70	71	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.19	-1	-11	10	14.4	16.7	-2.27	18.5	16.0	2.54
Jason Williams	35	35	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.05	-19	7	-26	16.5	13.8	2.74	17.4	18.5	-1.12
Drew Gooden	38	38	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.02	-18	6	-24	16.3	13.8	2.51	17.0	18.9	-1.90
Gordan Giricek	38	39	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	0.06	-20	8	-28	16.4	13.7	2.79	17.1	18.9	-1.80
Lorenzen Wright	57	55	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	0.11	-23	11	-34	15.8	13.1	2.73	17.2	19.6	-2.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.6,0.52,0.36,0.45,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.26,0.29,0.25,0.19,0.1,0.12,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 83, NOH 74	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.64,0.64,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.42,0.29,0.35,0.31,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.25,0.16,0.13,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.03,0,0,0	93.8%
DET 106, SAC 90	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.33,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.23,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.21,0.22,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.1%
IND 98, DET 83	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.29,0.35,0.31,0.24,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0	92.9%