NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	113		Excitement	4.1 [969]		MVP	Rasho Nesterovic (MIN): +11.2%
Chicago Bulls	100		Comeback	1.2 [860]		LVP	Reggie Slater (MIN): -10.7%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasho Nesterovic	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.13	0.02	0.04	14	74%	0.13	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Marc Jackson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.00	-0.05	8	37%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rod Strickland	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Igor Rakocevic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Loren Woods	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	-0.00	-0.07	7	14%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	7	59%	0.02	3	-0.04	3	0%	-0.04
Joe Smith	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	16	58%	0.04	5	-0.07	11	91%	0.03
Kendall Gill	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.06	13	59%	-0.01	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Troy Hudson	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.06	-0.03	0.06	16	57%	-0.04	0	0.00	8	87%	0.02
Reggie Slater	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	3	10%	-0.11	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.05

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.14	-0.00	0.12	14	71%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lonny Baxter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	4	75%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Fizer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	5	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jay Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	12	62%	0.05	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	2	37%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.04
Jalen Rose	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	21	45%	-0.07	2	-0.03	7	57%	-0.01
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.02	0.04	11	48%	-0.05	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	8	28%	-0.05	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.0	33.3	15.7	28.1	1.8	31.2	136.2
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +14.6%

MIN +8.3%

MIN +18.0%

MIN +7.2%

MIN +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	CHI	NBA	MIN	CHI	NBA
this game	14.4	14.0	15.5	110.8	99.0	101.6
season	14.9	15.0		104.0	98.3
opponent	15.1	15.8		103.3	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.7	16.2	12.5	15.3	14.4
CHI	15.1	13.8	14.7	12.4	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	86	83	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.17	13	0	13	14.5	14.0	0.45	13.9	14.5	-0.62
Troy Hudson	71	71	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.22	25	-12	37	13.1	17.3	-4.22	14.4	12.9	1.50
Rasho Nesterovic	75	75	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.21	22	-9	31	14.3	14.7	-0.44	14.3	13.2	1.07
Kendall Gill	76	76	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.06	13	0	13	14.7	13.3	1.39	13.9	14.2	-0.23
Anthony Peeler	47	47	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.13	6	7	-1	13.7	15.0	-1.26	14.7	13.4	1.29
Gary Trent	77	74	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.22	3	10	-7	14.8	13.2	1.57	13.9	14.3	-0.42
Joe Smith	8	8	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	10	-7	9.4	14.8	-5.43	15.5	13.9	1.64
Marc Jackson	32	32	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.09	-1	14	-15	13.8	14.7	-0.88	14.6	13.7	0.88
Reggie Slater	4	4	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.06	-1	14	-15	22.5	14.1	8.45	6.7	14.3	-7.54
Loren Woods	1	2	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.01	0	13	-13	19.0	14.3	4.66	7.0	14.1	-7.13
Igor Rakocevic	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	15	-17	6.0	14.5	-8.47	6.0	14.1	-8.07
Rod Strickland	32	32	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.35	-16	29	-45	17.5	13.0	4.54	12.6	14.6	-2.00

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lonny Baxter	16	17	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.29	10	-23	33	10.7	14.6	-3.92	15.5	14.2	1.38
Eddy Curry	21	20	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.02	-2	-11	9	15.0	13.7	1.27	12.6	14.8	-2.15
Eddie Robinson	35	36	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.33	8	-21	29	13.0	14.5	-1.47	13.8	14.7	-0.89
Fred Hoiberg	24	22	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.17	-10	-3	-7	13.7	14.1	-0.42	14.9	14.2	0.61
Jamal Crawford	49	49	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.18	1	-14	15	13.7	14.3	-0.65	14.0	14.8	-0.78
Tyson Chandler	69	71	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.21	1	-14	15	13.4	15.2	-1.75	15.7	11.4	4.26
Trenton Hassell	42	44	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.05	-11	-2	-9	15.0	13.3	1.69	14.6	14.2	0.41
Marcus Fizer	38	36	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.19	-18	5	-23	15.3	13.2	2.13	12.2	15.6	-3.34
Jay Williams	52	53	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.06	-14	1	-15	14.3	13.7	0.65	14.8	14.0	0.78
Donyell Marshall	58	60	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.10	-17	4	-21	14.3	13.5	0.79	14.4	14.4	0.04
Jalen Rose	101	102	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.12	-13	0	-13	14.0	0.0	13.99	14.4	0.0	14.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.21,0.24,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.29,0.26,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 95, CHH 77	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.32,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.3,0.31,0.27,0.25,0.3,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.24,0.18,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
LAC 127, MIL 120	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.27,0.23,0.19,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.2,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.3,0.39,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.42,0.33,0.26,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	94.8%
WAS 77, CHI 69	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.16,0.13,0.06,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%