inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 84 Excitement4.4 [922] MVPDerek Fisher (LAL): +13.9%
Los Angeles Lakers 107 Comeback1.3 [1105] LVPGrant Hill (ORL): -13.8%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Darrell Armstrong0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.020.00-0.031062%0.082-0.034100%0.02
Ryan Humphrey0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.020.01-0.04337%0.0300.00250%0.00
Pat Garrity0.030,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.011050%0.0300.0000%0.00
Tracy McGrady0.020,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.04-0.010.011558%0.041-0.02650%-0.02
Shawn Kemp0.010,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.040.000.032100%0.0100.0000%0.00
Olumide Oyedeji0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jeryl Sasser-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03831%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Jacque Vaughn-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00554%0.011-0.023100%0.01
Andrew DeClercq-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.00-0.01333%-0.002-0.0400%0.00
Pat Burke-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.15-0.01-0.0867%-0.042-0.04250%0.00
Mike Miller-0.120,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.14-0.01-0.0380%-0.1200.0010%-0.02
Grant Hill-0.140,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.13-0.03-0.021642%-0.054-0.096100%0.03

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Derek Fisher0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.100.050.011179%0.182-0.042100%0.01
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.080.020.021770%0.153-0.06967%-0.02
Devean George0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.01-0.01850%0.031-0.02250%-0.01
Kareem Rush0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.060.00-0.071100%0.014-0.0100%0.00
Mark Madsen00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Slava Medvedenko0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.060.00-0.0640%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Tracy Murray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.010.000.03550%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Brian Shaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.020.000.04383%-0.011-0.0000%0.00
Samaki Walker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.000.000.02550%-0.0200.002100%0.00
Robert Horry0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.01340%-0.0200.004100%0.02
Rick Fox0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.00833%-0.0400.002100%0.01
Kobe Bryant0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.15-0.00-0.021554%0.048-0.179100%0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.81.735.016.828.92.828.4140.4
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +27.4%
LAL +7.5%
LAL +13.6%
LAL +3.2%
ORL -1.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLLALNBAORLLALNBA
this game14.114.615.581.6109.2101.6
season14.615.4102.7105.0
opponent15.115.8102.8103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL12.015.713.915.014.1
LAL15.715.013.214.314.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Olumide Oyedeji1814-0.02-0.480.470.25-9-14515.113.91.2212.614.9-2.32
Grant Hill6161-0.05-0.450.390.00-2-211914.413.70.6214.814.20.55
Andrew DeClercq4543-0.07-0.430.36-0.163-262913.714.4-0.7015.214.01.20
Jeryl Sasser2319-0.07-0.430.350.10-6-171114.514.00.5312.115.2-3.11
Ryan Humphrey3733-0.13-0.370.250.05-6-171112.814.8-1.9812.415.7-3.31
Pat Burke2621-0.17-0.330.160.24-14-9-514.514.00.4713.814.8-1.02
Jacque Vaughn4239-0.23-0.270.040.27-17-6-1114.613.70.9114.714.40.30
Tracy McGrady4746-0.26-0.24-0.010.01-9-14514.313.90.3915.713.52.22
Darrell Armstrong5855-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.09-6-171113.714.6-0.9514.514.7-0.20
Shawn Kemp3739-0.35-0.15-0.190.09-15-8-714.214.00.2115.014.30.73
Pat Garrity6262-0.35-0.15-0.190.06-14-9-513.614.8-1.2015.113.61.50
Mike Miller5958-0.550.05-0.600.04-20-3-1714.613.51.1414.814.20.65

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shaquille O'Neal74760.480.020.46-0.102031714.913.71.1814.313.60.70
Kobe Bryant70720.430.070.360.051310314.714.30.3413.814.9-1.09
Robert Horry52530.420.080.350.041310314.914.20.7712.515.8-3.33
Derek Fisher70720.410.090.330.091112-114.415.0-0.5613.515.4-1.88
Brian Shaw29290.200.30-0.10-0.151211115.514.21.3117.412.84.60
Devean George53570.180.32-0.14-0.23149514.814.30.4214.513.70.78
Mark Madsen14180.110.39-0.27-0.09716-915.014.50.5112.614.4-1.88
Kareem Rush23260.100.40-0.30-0.251211114.314.6-0.2815.013.81.19
Samaki Walker24250.080.42-0.34-0.07518-1315.114.40.6916.113.52.61
Rick Fox52520.080.42-0.340.11-124-2514.214.9-0.7013.814.5-0.68
Slava Medvedenko14180.020.48-0.47-0.25914-512.614.9-2.3215.113.91.22
Tracy Murray1517-0.020.52-0.54-0.02023-2311.815.1-3.2612.614.4-1.75


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.68,0.73,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.73,0.71,0.79,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.83,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.92,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 79, PHX 1000.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.4%
NOP 100, BOS 1130.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.81,0.84,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.97,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.2%
DEN 99, GSW 1060.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.59,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.84,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.87,0.93,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.95,0.99,1,1,195.1%