inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 87 Excitement3.2 [1122] MVPSteve Nash (DAL): +7.5%
Dallas Mavericks 104 Comeback1.0 [1272] LVPLorenzen Wright (MEM): -10.1%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shane Battier0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.120.000.10693%0.0200.002100%0.00
Earl Watson0.010,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.020.00-0.03558%0.042-0.02250%0.00
Gordan Giricek0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.06-0.000.05785%0.063-0.06683%0.01
Cezary Trybanski0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jason Williams-0.000,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.01-0.011344%0.021-0.021100%0.00
Pau Gasol-0.000,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.000.00676%0.043-0.05989%0.02
Mike Batiste-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.00-0.03633%-0.011-0.0000%0.00
Drew Gooden-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.00-0.02425%-0.021-0.0100%0.00
Wesley Person-0.060,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.0040%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Stromile Swift-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.10-0.00-0.031238%-0.033-0.042100%0.00
Lorenzen Wright-0.100,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.09-0.02-0.011127%-0.091-0.0200%0.00

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Steve Nash0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.070.00-0.001959%0.101-0.026100%0.02
Walt Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.07-0.000.011075%0.092-0.0200%0.00
Raef LaFrentz0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.050.000.02582%0.041-0.011100%0.00
Adrian Griffin0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.00657%0.0200.002100%0.01
Avery Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Adam Harrington0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Nick Van Exel0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.01944%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Shawn Bradley0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.04-0.01-0.041539%-0.0100.0010%0.00
Popeye Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.02333%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Raja Bell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.090.00-0.05520%-0.022-0.0200%0.00
Michael Finley0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.050.00-0.002244%-0.031-0.02683%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.91.724.216.524.32.727.1124.4
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +24.4%
DAL +3.0%
DAL +11.7%
DAL +8.4%
DAL +2.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMDALNBAMEMDALNBA
this game15.915.415.594.6113.0101.6
season15.315.1101.8108.6
opponent15.315.2102.0105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MEM15.916.316.614.515.9
DAL11.816.513.421.515.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Cezary Trybanski770.00-0.500.50-0.062-19219.116.4-7.2923.014.88.20
Mike Batiste4241-0.04-0.460.42-0.133-202315.116.5-1.3617.913.54.43
Gordan Giricek4950-0.07-0.430.36-0.225-222714.317.7-3.4118.611.76.87
Stromile Swift4950-0.07-0.430.36-0.225-222714.317.7-3.4118.611.76.87
Earl Watson4947-0.17-0.330.17-0.11-2-151315.316.5-1.1916.214.61.57
Drew Gooden2827-0.23-0.270.040.12-12-5-717.815.02.7912.416.7-4.27
Shane Battier6465-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.12-5-12715.017.8-2.7916.712.44.27
Jason Williams4142-0.29-0.21-0.090.06-12-5-716.815.11.6714.416.3-1.83
Lorenzen Wright4342-0.43-0.07-0.360.22-225-2717.714.33.4111.718.6-6.87
Wesley Person4342-0.43-0.07-0.360.22-225-2717.714.33.4111.718.6-6.87
Pau Gasol4547-0.50-0.00-0.490.24-258-3317.414.42.9312.318.7-6.43

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Michael Finley71720.56-0.060.62-0.2026-93514.418.8-4.3316.613.33.23
Shawn Bradley72690.51-0.010.53-0.1322-52714.319.4-5.0816.514.02.57
Raef LaFrentz44460.460.040.41-0.1320-32313.317.4-4.0417.614.23.41
Steve Nash66630.440.060.39-0.1420-32313.620.1-6.5416.813.92.90
Adrian Griffin42430.340.160.18-0.101521314.116.6-2.4915.616.2-0.61
Nick Van Exel60600.200.30-0.110.20017-1716.912.74.1515.217.2-2.05
Popeye Jones23240.040.46-0.430.07-118-1916.815.01.8113.216.8-3.62
Avery Johnson770.000.50-0.500.06-219-2123.014.88.209.116.4-7.29
Adam Harrington770.000.50-0.500.06-219-2123.014.88.209.116.4-7.29
Walt Williams3838-0.010.51-0.510.14-522-2717.713.83.9415.616.1-0.51
Raja Bell3031-0.040.54-0.580.20-825-3319.113.75.4115.716.0-0.21


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.89,0.87,0.88,0.83,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DET 64, NJN 820.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.72,0.77,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,196.3%
ORL 85, NOH 1170.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.84,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.9%
MIL 80, SEA 1030.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.83,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.84,0.79,0.82,0.81,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,195.9%