NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	96		Excitement	10.5 [48]		MVP	David Wesley (NOH): +24.6%
New Orleans Hornets	98		Comeback	3.2 [423]		LVP	Baron Davis (NOH): -33.8%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Juaquin Hawkins	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tito Maddox	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Griffin	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terence Morris	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.01,-0.08,-0.08	0.05	-0.10	0.02	22	58%	-0.02	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.02
Kelvin Cato	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	-0.10	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	5	0%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Glen Rice	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13	-0.03	-0.09	-0.00	5	50%	-0.09	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.05
Moochie Norris	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21	-0.06	-0.12	0.03	10	50%	-0.05	4	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	-0.25	0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.28,-0.09,-0.09,-0.19,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.11	-0.14	-0.01	19	38%	-0.14	2	-0.10	4	50%	-0.08
Steve Francis	-0.31	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.1,-0.19,-0.25,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.31	-0.18	-0.14	-0.02	28	39%	-0.11	5	-0.20	5	60%	0.02

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Wesley	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.09	0.15	-0.01	15	61%	0.25	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Courtney Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	0.00	7	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	5	56%	-0.07	2	-0.06	6	83%	-0.04
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.14	-0.14	-0.04	-0.07	0.03	8	62%	-0.04	3	-0.10	10	80%	0.03
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.08	-0.08	0.00	5	42%	-0.09	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0.06,-0.18,-0.23,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.28	-0.28	-0.12	-0.18	-0.02	25	44%	-0.15	4	-0.13	7	100%	0.07
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.28,-0.34,-0.34	-0.34	-0.08	-0.25	0.01	12	50%	-0.12	4	-0.21	4	50%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.2	0.8	26.3	15.7	27.1	2.3	33.6	3.3	22.3	154.6
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	1.9	17.2	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +22.4%

HOU -2.5%

NOH +21.4%

NOH +12.4%

HOU -3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	NOH	NBA	HOU	NOH	NBA
this game	17.3	13.9	15.5	95.0	95.1	101.6
season	16.3	15.9		101.7	101.6
opponent	15.6	15.4		99.6	100.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
HOU	19.9	18.4	17.3	15.9	13.1	17.3
NOH	12.9	11.8	14.0	18.4	11.9	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kelvin Cato	21	20	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.16	6	-8	14	17.3	17.3	0.01	14.0	13.9	0.14
Eddie Griffin	15	18	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.03	1	-3	4	21.1	16.7	4.47	10.8	14.5	-3.76
Maurice Taylor	27	26	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-1	0	17.6	17.2	0.41	15.3	13.4	1.96
Tito Maddox	4	7	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.00	-2	0	-2	18.0	17.3	0.70	9.1	14.2	-5.09
Terence Morris	30	31	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.06	0	-2	2	18.2	17.0	1.24	14.2	13.8	0.40
Juaquin Hawkins	20	22	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.15	-14	12	-26	18.3	17.1	1.21	13.3	14.0	-0.72
Moochie Norris	81	82	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.58	10	-12	22	17.1	18.3	-1.21	13.9	13.9	0.03
Glen Rice	71	72	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.39	-2	0	-2	17.0	18.2	-1.24	13.8	14.2	-0.40
Kenny Thomas	72	75	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.49	1	-3	4	16.8	18.5	-1.67	13.3	15.4	-2.07
Steve Francis	97	97	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.43	-2	0	-2	17.3	18.0	-0.70	14.1	10.3	3.77
Yao Ming	67	66	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.26	-9	7	-16	16.9	18.2	-1.37	14.9	12.0	2.94

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Wesley	77	74	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.38	8	-6	14	13.7	14.5	-0.77	17.3	17.4	-0.11
P.J. Brown	81	82	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.36	8	-6	14	13.9	13.8	0.08	17.6	16.2	1.37
Jamal Mashburn	89	89	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.40	2	0	2	14.3	10.9	3.42	17.3	17.7	-0.48
Baron Davis	94	94	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.41	1	1	0	14.1	11.3	2.79	17.4	16.3	1.12
Jamaal Magloire	67	67	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.38	-1	3	-4	14.3	13.0	1.32	16.7	18.5	-1.77
Elden Campbell	36	34	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.19	1	1	0	13.0	14.3	-1.32	18.5	16.7	1.77
Stacey Augmon	14	12	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.04	0	2	-2	10.9	14.3	-3.42	17.7	17.3	0.48
George Lynch	22	19	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.08	-6	8	-14	13.8	13.9	-0.08	16.2	17.6	-1.37
Courtney Alexander	35	34	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	-0.03	-3	5	-8	13.7	14.0	-0.34	17.2	17.4	-0.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.6,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.55,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.85,0.8,0.81,0.87,0.76,0.61,0.76,0.74,0.55,0.58,0.46,0.25,0.63,0.68,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 88, CLE 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.64,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.76,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.91,0.84,0.71,0.67,0.54,0.45,0.57,0.42,0.54,0.55,0.72,0.71,0.93,1	90.6%
PHX 134, OKC 137	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.49,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.6,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.59,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.63,0.71,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.74,0.85,0.83,0.77,0.63,0.43,0.42,0.54,0.45,0.71,0.57,0.96,1	89.7%
SAC 110, POR 116	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.63,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.64,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.72,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.58,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.81,0.85,0.94,0.85,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.78,0.99,1	89.1%