inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Los Angeles Lakers 112 Excitement9.6 [87] MVPJason Williams (MEM): +36.8%
Memphis Grizzlies 106 Comeback2.0 [668] LVPPau Gasol (MEM): -21.6%


Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kobe Bryant0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.170.030.08-0.073557%0.305-0.12978%0.02
Derek Fisher0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.120.090.02-0.024110%0.131-0.01250%-0.00
Rick Fox0.030,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.030.06-0.011350%0.103-0.0700%0.00
Kareem Rush0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.000.00-0.001100%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Soumaila Samake0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Brian Shaw-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Jannero Pargo-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.03-0.040.0020%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Mark Madsen-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.08-0.030.00312%-0.091-0.02250%-0.01
Slava Medvedenko-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.10-0.03-0.011032%-0.062-0.06250%-0.00
Shaquille O'Neal-0.160,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16-0.03-0.130.002753%-0.034-0.13887%-0.06

Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jason Williams0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.370.370.010.360.011550%0.401-0.032100%0.01
Wesley Person0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.06-0.01-0.00773%0.111-0.051100%0.01
Stromile Swift0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.05-0.000.00480%0.0500.0020%-0.06
Mike Batiste0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.01-0.00475%0.082-0.0700%0.00
Lorenzen Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.08-0.00-0.02841%0.033-0.091100%0.00
Earl Watson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.05-0.03-0.00425%-0.061-0.0200%0.00
Gordan Giricek0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.07-0.03-0.02940%-0.032-0.052100%0.01
Drew Gooden0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.00-0.09-0.011656%-0.053-0.042100%0.01
Shane Battier0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.04-0.05-0.01638%-0.051-0.031100%0.01
Pau Gasol0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.16,-0.2,-0.21,-0.22-0.22-0.11-0.100.001655%-0.036-0.191283%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game26.22.530.115.725.22.737.02.518.4160.3
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.91.917.2149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MEM -11.3%
LAL +16.7%
LAL +34.0%
LAL +8.6%
LAL +1.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsLALMEMNBALALMEMNBA
this game15.015.015.5104.7101.0101.6
season15.415.3105.0101.8
opponent15.215.1105.1102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
LAL17.412.815.715.813.115.0
MEM16.112.516.416.913.015.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mark Madsen69670.77-0.271.030.7124-214.316.2-1.8814.216.5-2.26
Kobe Bryant97960.52-0.020.550.298-21014.915.5-0.5815.014.90.15
Derek Fisher81790.480.020.470.1611-51615.313.91.4415.414.01.32
Rick Fox91880.460.040.420.209-31215.312.92.4715.313.61.72
Shaquille O'Neal81800.450.050.400.228-21016.111.54.5915.812.63.19
Jannero Pargo17170.150.35-0.210.0924-214.915.0-0.1115.914.91.02
Soumaila Samake750.020.48-0.46-0.0115-411.915.2-3.338.015.4-7.38
Brian Shaw2627-0.020.52-0.540.10-410-1413.915.3-1.4413.915.4-1.58
Kareem Rush99-0.130.63-0.760.07-713-2012.015.2-3.2410.615.4-4.89
Slava Medvedenko5757-0.200.70-0.91-0.2006-614.615.4-0.8415.614.31.36

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shane Battier64660.03-0.530.550.17-5-1-415.913.62.2915.514.11.42
Stromile Swift30290.02-0.520.54-0.104-101414.115.4-1.3014.815.0-0.20
Mike Batiste3029-0.03-0.470.45-0.175-111613.915.5-1.6314.515.1-0.62
Earl Watson3029-0.03-0.470.45-0.175-111613.915.5-1.6314.515.1-0.62
Lorenzen Wright3130-0.04-0.460.41-0.133-91213.815.5-1.7314.715.1-0.42
Gordan Giricek4849-0.25-0.250.010.05-104-1416.713.63.1715.414.60.73
Wesley Person5758-0.25-0.25-0.01-0.374-101413.616.7-3.1714.615.4-0.73
Pau Gasol7477-0.46-0.04-0.41-0.19-93-1215.513.81.7315.114.70.42
Jason Williams7578-0.47-0.03-0.45-0.15-115-1615.513.91.6315.114.50.62
Drew Gooden7578-0.520.02-0.54-0.23-104-1415.414.11.3015.014.80.20


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.47,0.32,0.26,0.41,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.04,0.46,0.39,0.21,0.05,0.02,0
GameSimilarity Score
POR 110, ORL 1020.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.37,0.33,0.27,0.14,0.12,0.17,0.38,0.21,0.32,0.28,0.46,0.31,0.21,0.16,0,090.0%
WAS 114, CHA 1110.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.45,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.38,0.29,0.2,0.27,0.26,0.19,0.17,0.07,0.11,0.17,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.21,0.06,0.04,088.8%
DET 114, ATL 1080.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.31,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.25,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.34,0.27,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.7,0.7,0.47,0.38,0.42,0.26,0.24,0.13,0.19,0.29,0.34,0.16,0.46,0.32,0.36,0.15,0.01,088.7%