NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	98		Excitement	9.3 [106]		MVP	David Wesley (NOH): +40.7%
New Orleans Hornets	99		Comeback	14.7 [82]		LVP	Jamaal Magloire (NOH): -14.1%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron McKie	0.23	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.12	0.11	-0.00	11	75%	0.23	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Eric Snow	0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.18	-0.02	0.18	-0.02	11	45%	0.19	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.06,0.16,0.07,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	33	52%	0.06	2	-0.03	7	57%	-0.01
John Salmons	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Todd MacCulloch	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	6	56%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Keith Van Horn	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	9	50%	-0.04	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Greg Buckner	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	9	22%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.03	-0.07	0.01	5	46%	-0.04	1	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Wesley	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.24,0.41	0.41	-0.07	0.47	-0.01	10	30%	0.55	1	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12,-0.09,0,0.15,0.15	0.15	-0.04	0.17	-0.02	9	62%	0.28	4	-0.13	6	83%	0.03
Baron Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.01	-0.02	18	58%	0.10	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	54%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,-0.03	-0.03	0.11	-0.13	-0.00	24	67%	0.14	4	-0.16	7	86%	0.02
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	11	46%	-0.06	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.5	28.2	15.6	27.2	2.6	30.0	129.5
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +65.9%

PHI -16.6%

NOH +46.9%

PHI -49.8%

NOH +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	NOH	NBA	PHI	NOH	NBA
this game	15.0	16.5	15.5	106.5	108.8	101.6
season	15.3	15.9		102.1	101.6
opponent	15.6	15.5		99.6	99.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.7	14.5	14.8	14.9	15.0
NOH	13.7	16.2	16.5	20.4	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Coleman	33	33	0.41	-0.91	1.31	0.03	13	-14	27	15.0	15.0	-0.01	17.1	16.2	0.87
Keith Van Horn	68	69	0.06	-0.56	0.63	0.33	-9	8	-17	15.8	12.6	3.24	16.6	16.1	0.55
John Salmons	1	1	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.01	0	-1	1	0.0	15.1	-15.14	0.0	16.7	-16.69
Aaron McKie	78	78	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.47	5	-6	11	14.5	17.4	-2.89	16.6	16.0	0.59
Todd MacCulloch	30	30	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.19	-19	18	-37	16.2	14.4	1.76	16.1	16.7	-0.60
Brian Skinner	52	50	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.82	15	-16	31	13.5	16.9	-3.44	16.2	16.9	-0.68
Allen Iverson	87	85	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.46	-1	0	-1	15.0	13.8	1.25	16.4	18.2	-1.78
Eric Snow	76	75	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.33	-7	6	-13	15.3	13.6	1.64	17.3	12.7	4.56
Greg Buckner	35	34	-0.89	0.39	-1.28	-0.83	-2	1	-3	15.2	14.9	0.31	15.3	17.2	-1.89

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Wesley	70	74	0.78	-0.28	1.07	0.31	16	-15	31	16.3	17.3	-1.08	15.2	13.9	1.29
P.J. Brown	79	79	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.35	13	-12	25	16.5	16.7	-0.19	15.0	14.8	0.24
Jamal Mashburn	84	86	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.41	7	-6	13	16.5	16.9	-0.38	15.0	15.3	-0.38
Baron Davis	76	78	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.42	4	-3	7	16.6	15.9	0.69	15.1	14.2	0.90
Courtney Alexander	30	28	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.88	-15	16	-31	16.3	16.6	-0.26	14.1	15.3	-1.20
Jamaal Magloire	78	78	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.32	8	-7	15	16.6	16.0	0.59	15.7	10.9	4.78
George Lynch	6	7	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.15	-8	9	-17	12.0	16.8	-4.82	11.3	15.3	-4.00
Robert Traylor	13	13	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.12	-9	10	-19	16.0	16.6	-0.59	11.8	15.5	-3.74
Stacey Augmon	19	17	-0.30	0.80	-1.11	0.02	-11	12	-23	18.9	15.9	3.02	15.2	14.9	0.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.82,0.76,0.73,0.73,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.7,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.6,0.73,0.69,0.46,0.45,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 94, DAL 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.62,0.58,0.67,0.77,0.75,0.69,0.78,0.79,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.73,1	90.7%
MIL 72, ORL 78	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.74,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.77,0.72,0.74,0.81,0.76,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.75,0.76,0.71,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.74,0.71,0.58,0.74,0.7,0.52,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.78,0.81,0.64,0.57,0.84,1	90.4%
GSW 105, DAL 107	0.5,0.49,0.57,0.64,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.67,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.54,0.52,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.73,0.67,0.72,0.78,0.66,0.57,0.67,0.63,0.55,0.47,0.6,0.68,0.63,0.67,0.74,1	90.3%