inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 90 Excitement3.7 [1049] MVPBruce Bowen (SAS): +10.9%
Cleveland Cavaliers 77 Comeback1.2 [1147] LVPRicky Davis (CLE): -19.5%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bruce Bowen0.110,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.130.000.027100%0.131-0.0200%0.00
Tony Parker0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.050.00-0.011062%0.081-0.0210%-0.01
Kevin Willis0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.060.000.02586%0.071-0.034100%0.02
Steven Smith0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.01-0.02850%0.0400.00250%-0.01
Devin Brown0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.05333%0.0020.0000%0.00
Danny Ferry0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Manu Ginobili-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03350%-0.0010.00475%0.00
David Robinson-0.010,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.00957%0.032-0.0430%-0.05
Steve Kerr-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.00-0.01550%0.013-0.0400%0.00
Tim Duncan-0.050,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.080.00-0.03933%-0.032-0.0200%0.00
Malik Rose-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.010.01743%-0.022-0.0500%0.00
Stephen Jackson-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.10-0.010.01637%-0.063-0.064100%0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Smush Parker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.020.00-0.05743%0.031-0.0000%0.00
Bimbo Coles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.01367%0.0200.003100%0.01
Michael Stewart00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Carlos Boozer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.04-0.010.04683%0.022-0.0300%0.00
Jumaine Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.070.000.09869%-0.0200.0000%0.00
DeSagana Diop0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.06-0.00-0.02430%-0.021-0.02250%0.00
Milt Palacio0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.09-0.01-0.04633%-0.033-0.0300%0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.16-0.01-0.041217%-0.072-0.0500%0.00
Tyrone Hill0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.11-0.010.001237%-0.082-0.05683%0.01
Ricky Davis0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.15,-0.12,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.20-0.18-0.03-0.012642%-0.037-0.1610%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.72.424.514.825.22.725.4117.6
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +51.0%
CLE -3.0%
CLE -3.2%
SAS +4.7%
SAS +0.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASCLENBASASCLENBA
this game14.715.515.594.780.2101.6
season15.715.1102.594.6
opponent14.915.4104.396.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS15.014.315.713.914.7
CLE18.517.014.312.815.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tony Parker57590.380.120.27-0.1217-42115.313.71.6216.913.13.80
Bruce Bowen63620.350.150.200.0994515.213.61.6416.313.92.37
David Robinson51500.340.160.180.0894515.713.52.1617.013.83.24
Malik Rose58570.340.160.180.1085314.315.2-0.9214.317.2-2.97
Stephen Jackson40420.310.190.12-0.1014-11513.915.2-1.3115.415.5-0.11
Steve Kerr41430.260.240.03-0.121301313.415.6-2.2314.716.1-1.44
Steven Smith42410.190.31-0.120.0749-515.713.91.7616.614.62.03
Tim Duncan39410.160.34-0.17-0.0785315.514.11.3616.814.52.25
Kevin Willis39410.160.34-0.190.0449-513.715.4-1.7314.116.5-2.35
Manu Ginobili22210.000.50-0.490.24-821-2913.515.0-1.4811.916.5-4.62
Danny Ferry16160.000.50-0.500.24-821-2912.615.1-2.4812.216.1-3.86
Devin Brown770.000.50-0.500.15-518-2315.414.60.8011.415.8-4.36

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Michael Stewart670.00-0.500.50-0.155-182311.715.7-4.0615.414.60.80
Carlos Boozer3433-0.09-0.410.31-0.06-1-121111.917.4-5.5113.715.2-1.56
Bimbo Coles4847-0.16-0.340.17-0.07-3-10716.714.22.5615.414.01.38
DeSagana Diop4243-0.18-0.320.14-0.242-151715.215.7-0.4513.615.6-2.06
Smush Parker3434-0.26-0.24-0.020.00-9-4-514.116.2-2.1814.814.60.22
Jumaine Jones7171-0.29-0.21-0.070.06-12-1-1115.914.21.6614.615.0-0.37
Zydrunas Ilgauskas5856-0.34-0.16-0.170.13-163-1916.014.71.2515.513.51.99
Tyrone Hill5554-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.08-9-4-517.213.14.1415.313.91.33
Milt Palacio5655-0.36-0.14-0.23-0.13-8-5-314.816.4-1.5513.915.7-1.84
Ricky Davis7675-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.07-141-1515.714.41.2914.814.10.74


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 112, PHX 950.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.25,0.36,0.21,0.29,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.2,0.15,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.24,0.19,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.17,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.0%
PHX 118, VAN 1000.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.41,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.21,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.19,0.26,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.9%
MIA 116, MIN 1060.5,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.27,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.18,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.32,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.01,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,095.9%