inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 65 Excitement1.8 [1267] MVPLarry Hughes (WAS): +5.7%
Washington Wizards 95 Comeback1.0 [1198] LVPEddie Jones (MIA): -6.0%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mike James0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03759%0.002-0.00887%0.01
Vladimir Stepania0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ken Johnson0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Brian Grant-0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.01546%-0.0100.00367%-0.00
Eddie House-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.100.00-0.091118%-0.0100.0000%0.00
LaPhonso Ellis-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.060.00-0.05933%-0.011-0.0000%0.00
Anthony Carter-0.020,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.090.00-0.0730%-0.012-0.0100%0.00
Malik Allen-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.001158%0.014-0.042100%0.01
Travis Best-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.00250%0.002-0.0400%0.00
Caron Butler-0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.000.00550%-0.003-0.0500%0.00
Rasual Butler-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.120.00-0.061631%-0.042-0.0200%0.00
Eddie Jones-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.060.00-0.01731%-0.041-0.022100%0.01

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Larry Hughes0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.030.00-0.03870%0.072-0.014100%0.01
Michael Jordan0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.00-0.00580%0.061-0.0100%0.00
Tyronn Lue0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.080.000.04590%0.0400.0000%0.00
Kwame Brown0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.020.00-0.061352%0.042-0.01333%0.00
Bryon Russell0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.00-0.011055%0.032-0.032100%0.00
Brendan Haywood0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.030.000.03480%0.021-0.012100%0.00
Charles Oakley00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Juan Dixon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.05727%0.0000.0010%0.00
Etan Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.05233%0.0010.0020%0.00
Jared Jeffries0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.090.00-0.09358%0.014-0.01650%-0.02
Jerry Stackhouse0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.011053%-0.001-0.011090%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.22.630.217.524.42.426.7127.1
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +36.4%
WAS +1.7%
WAS +1.0%
WAS +8.5%
WAS +2.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAWASNBAMIAWASNBA
this game17.116.615.575.6111.8101.6
season16.316.594.6100.9
opponent15.515.9101.9100.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA16.918.817.415.517.1
WAS15.916.316.018.016.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ken Johnson13130.00-0.500.500.12-4-262214.817.5-2.7817.916.31.62
Mike James4241-0.13-0.370.250.40-18-12-617.117.1-0.0216.816.30.49
Eddie House3838-0.13-0.370.250.46-20-10-1016.817.4-0.6516.116.9-0.76
Anthony Carter2627-0.14-0.360.23-0.05-3-272415.417.9-2.4417.316.21.09
Vladimir Stepania3029-0.22-0.280.050.33-19-11-818.916.22.6715.816.9-1.10
Travis Best2019-0.24-0.260.030.03-9-211218.716.62.1116.316.6-0.31
LaPhonso Ellis3836-0.24-0.260.020.26-17-13-418.316.22.0314.717.9-3.22
Rasual Butler6059-0.25-0.250.000.28-18-12-617.516.21.4017.115.31.74
Malik Allen4647-0.26-0.24-0.020.12-13-17416.517.9-1.4417.415.51.95
Eddie Jones3636-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.10-6-241816.517.6-1.0316.216.8-0.62
Brian Grant4343-0.28-0.22-0.05-0.07-7-231616.617.6-1.0016.616.50.15
Caron Butler3837-0.35-0.15-0.200.12-16-14-217.416.90.4816.516.6-0.12

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kwame Brown67670.410.090.33-0.382732417.014.82.2517.117.4-0.31
Jerry Stackhouse59610.370.130.24-0.392642216.516.7-0.1517.017.4-0.38
Bryon Russell52500.340.160.180.08921-1217.015.81.2517.516.70.79
Larry Hughes56570.320.180.13-0.181713416.217.1-0.8915.720.0-4.28
Tyronn Lue44450.290.210.08-0.442552017.515.61.8718.615.53.04
Michael Jordan32340.260.240.02-0.211614215.617.1-1.5419.615.54.12
Brendan Haywood41410.240.26-0.02-0.201515015.717.3-1.5917.217.10.08
Charles Oakley18190.160.34-0.180.16030-3016.316.6-0.2818.816.62.20
Jared Jeffries28290.100.40-0.31-0.231119-815.117.2-2.1016.717.3-0.61
Juan Dixon20190.020.48-0.47-0.04228-2618.216.02.2213.618.1-4.56
Etan Thomas880.000.50-0.50-0.06228-2616.116.6-0.4713.617.5-3.86


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 91, ORL 1200.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.0%
CHA 90, POR 1270.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.87,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.8%
WAS 68, DET 1000.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.8%