NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	105		Excitement	9.1 [115]		MVP	Kevin Ollie (MIL): +11.6%
Milwaukee Bucks	110		Comeback	1.6 [645]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -29.8%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Snow	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.07	0.02	13	46%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	9	50%	0.08	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Brian Skinner	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	71%	0.09	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
John Salmons	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Todd MacCulloch	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	12	46%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Keith Van Horn	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.03	0.02	19	55%	0.08	2	-0.11	2	100%	0.03
Mark Bryant	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15	-0.09	-0.05	0.00	11	35%	-0.05	2	-0.10	1	0%	-0.02
Allen Iverson	-0.30	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.15,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.25,-0.3	-0.05	-0.22	0.03	27	48%	-0.19	2	-0.11	10	90%	0.06

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.07	0.00	2	100%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.07	-0.00	10	64%	0.15	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.03
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.00	16	58%	0.12	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.02
Anthony Mason	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	80%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	3	78%	0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	0.01	14	71%	0.15	6	-0.19	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.19	-0.19	-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	14	47%	-0.09	3	-0.10	6	67%	-0.05
Michael Redd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.13,-0.24	-0.24	-0.06	-0.20	-0.01	12	55%	-0.04	4	-0.21	5	60%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.1	1.8	25.3	16.4	27.2	1.8	32.2	1.5	19.2	147.5
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	1.9	17.2	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +51.4%

MIL +3.6%

PHI -4.1%

PHI -5.0%

MIL +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MIL	NBA	PHI	MIL	NBA
this game	16.3	14.9	15.5	101.9	108.9	101.6
season	15.3	15.4		102.1	106.3
opponent	15.8	15.5		106.5	99.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
PHI	16.8	16.3	16.9	16.9	12.7	16.3
MIL	13.0	15.7	16.6	15.8	12.3	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Salmons	0	1	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.01	0	-5	5	0.0	16.3	-16.25	3.0	15.0	-12.03
Greg Buckner	69	69	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.09	-1	-4	3	16.8	15.2	1.56	14.2	16.4	-2.19
Brian Skinner	27	28	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-3	1	16.6	16.1	0.41	14.5	15.1	-0.57
Mark Bryant	18	18	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.00	-9	4	-13	18.7	15.7	2.93	13.8	15.1	-1.31
Aaron McKie	83	82	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.27	-1	-4	3	15.5	19.2	-3.72	14.7	15.7	-1.02
Eric Snow	79	77	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.29	-1	-4	3	16.0	17.0	-0.92	15.4	13.5	1.85
Keith Van Horn	90	86	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.41	2	-7	9	16.3	15.9	0.38	15.4	12.1	3.34
Todd MacCulloch	54	52	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.22	-7	2	-9	16.6	15.8	0.79	15.8	13.9	1.89
Allen Iverson	95	92	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.43	-6	1	-7	15.9	20.6	-4.74	14.7	16.9	-2.17

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ervin Johnson	42	44	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.23	15	-10	25	14.9	14.9	0.03	18.1	14.9	3.21
Toni Kukoc	69	70	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.28	6	-1	7	14.5	15.8	-1.27	16.1	16.5	-0.43
Kevin Ollie	36	34	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.19	8	-3	11	15.0	14.9	0.14	17.6	15.6	1.95
Jason Caffey	20	22	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.16	1	4	-3	16.5	14.5	2.04	19.5	15.4	4.13
Ray Allen	52	56	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.31	-5	10	-15	15.6	14.2	1.37	17.7	14.6	3.13
Michael Redd	52	50	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.13	0	5	-5	14.2	15.7	-1.48	14.0	18.3	-4.30
Sam Cassell	66	70	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.18	-3	8	-11	14.7	15.2	-0.49	15.5	17.8	-2.26
Tim Thomas	62	61	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	5	-5	14.5	15.6	-1.15	15.6	17.2	-1.62
Dan Gadzuric	31	31	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.05	-1	6	-7	16.1	14.4	1.71	16.1	16.3	-0.18
Anthony Mason	63	65	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	-0.14	-1	6	-7	15.3	14.2	1.12	16.0	16.7	-0.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.82,0.83,0.71,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.66,0.6,0.71,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.68,0.83,0.85,0.95,0.89,0.97,0.95,0.85,0.46,0.61,0.78,0.85,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 82, DAL 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.74,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.58,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.63,0.71,0.8,0.71,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.7,0.85,0.83,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.95,0.54,0.47,0.54,0.85,0.91,1	90.5%
BOS 108, IND 113	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.75,0.74,0.75,0.82,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.84,0.96,0.85,0.92,0.89,0.96,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.53,0.82,1	90.1%
MEM 97, LAC 101	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.63,0.61,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.64,0.76,0.95,0.95,0.89,0.84,0.74,0.54,0.55,0.79,0.89,0.96,1	90.0%