inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Houston Rockets 70 Excitement2.4 [1217] MVPDonnell Harvey (DEN): +6.6%
Denver Nuggets 101 Comeback1.1 [963] LVPTierre Brown (HOU): -10.3%


Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jason Collier-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.00847%-0.0210.003100%0.00
Kelvin Cato-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.01325%-0.0300.002100%0.00
Terence Morris-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.01-0.02953%0.033-0.0610%-0.00
Moochie Norris-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.12-0.00-0.081225%-0.022-0.0200%0.00
Kenny Thomas-0.040,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.08-0.00-0.03737%-0.022-0.0220%-0.02
Eddie Griffin-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.08-0.01-0.051837%-0.021-0.032100%0.01
Oscar Torres-0.060,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.000.011545%-0.0600.001070%-0.03
Dan Langhi-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.09-0.00-0.03621%-0.051-0.01250%0.00
Tierre Brown-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.18-0.01-0.09714%-0.035-0.0700%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Donnell Harvey0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.060.00-0.011060%0.0700.0000%0.00
Carlos Arroyo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.080.000.05786%0.061-0.0200%0.00
James Posey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.11-0.000.091770%0.052-0.023100%0.01
Calbert Cheaney0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.00-0.01956%0.021-0.0000%0.00
Mengke Bateer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03538%0.0000.003100%0.01
Ryan Bowen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.04859%0.0000.001100%0.00
Kenny Satterfield0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.090.00-0.081127%-0.011-0.0000%0.00
Zendon Hamilton0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.050.000.011142%-0.041-0.02475%-0.01
Chris Andersen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.07-0.010.011233%-0.0900.00333%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.21.726.315.624.22.327.3118.7
league avg46.42.228.514.624.52.330.0149.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +24.4%
DEN +7.0%
DEN +1.0%
DEN +16.6%
DEN +0.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsHOUDENNBAHOUDENNBA
this game17.115.115.678.7112.2102.3
season16.816.1100.999.7
opponent15.215.2105.9106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
HOU20.216.915.716.017.1
DEN15.016.614.314.715.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Oscar Torres7677-0.13-0.370.240.34-16-15-116.818.6-1.8015.313.81.48
Jason Collier4646-0.16-0.340.190.20-12-19717.017.1-0.1214.515.8-1.29
Tierre Brown5253-0.23-0.270.030.15-13-18516.418.1-1.7215.215.10.10
Terence Morris5757-0.24-0.260.020.20-15-16116.318.4-2.1214.715.8-1.02
Eddie Griffin5859-0.24-0.260.020.20-15-16116.318.5-2.1114.915.5-0.62
Kenny Thomas3131-0.26-0.24-0.020.21-16-15-118.516.32.1115.514.90.62
Moochie Norris3737-0.27-0.23-0.030.26-18-13-518.116.41.7215.115.2-0.10
Kelvin Cato3839-0.34-0.16-0.190.27-21-10-1117.516.70.7815.614.80.80
Dan Langhi5051-0.630.13-0.760.22-29-2-2718.115.82.2415.414.70.74

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
James Posey75740.65-0.150.79-0.2932-13314.816.5-1.7117.415.32.10
Donnell Harvey62620.60-0.100.70-0.222832515.414.60.7817.416.31.18
Mengke Bateer34330.370.130.24-0.332471713.716.0-2.2617.316.90.36
Kenny Satterfield58560.270.230.04-0.322011914.915.4-0.5117.216.80.46
Carlos Arroyo42420.230.27-0.04-0.271714315.115.10.0116.717.4-0.78
Chris Andersen45450.230.27-0.04-0.091120-915.614.60.9816.417.8-1.37
Calbert Cheaney54540.130.37-0.24-0.161021-1115.614.31.3017.516.41.12
Ryan Bowen35350.030.47-0.43-0.14625-1915.514.80.7117.017.1-0.08
Zendon Hamilton4544-0.010.51-0.51-0.21724-1715.115.1-0.0416.218.0-1.77


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.72,0.62,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.69,0.78,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHI 86, CHI 1150.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.74,0.83,0.87,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.0%
GSW 90, ORL 1170.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.63,0.62,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.9%
NOH 65, BOS 930.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.69,0.75,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.9%