NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	99		Excitement	6.6 [478]		MVP	Jermaine O'Neal (IND): +10.2%
Cleveland Cavaliers	95		Comeback	1.0 [923]		LVP	Ricky Davis (CLE): -15.5%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jermaine O'Neal	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.13,0.2,0.1	0.04	0.05	-0.01	19	63%	0.14	2	-0.04	16	75%	-0.01
Metta World Peace	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05	-0.05	0.09	-0.02	14	50%	0.12	2	-0.06	10	90%	0.06
Brad Miller	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	10	54%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Reggie Miller	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	11	58%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Jonathan Bender	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	4	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	7	65%	0.02	3	-0.06	6	50%	-0.07
Ron Mercer	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.02	-0.02	7	0%	-0.13	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	0.01	5	91%	0.09	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.11
Trajan Langdon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.09	0.03	0.04	2	133%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Tyrone Hill	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	62%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.01
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	14	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.03	0.02	15	58%	0.00	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	16	48%	0.02	2	-0.12	10	60%	-0.04
Lamond Murray	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.01	9	33%	-0.03	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15	-0.15	-0.13	-0.02	-0.00	8	30%	-0.02	3	-0.13	4	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.4	36.9	15.0	25.3	2.0	39.3	145.1
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +6.8%

IND +1.8%

IND +23.9%

IND +13.9%

IND +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CLE	NBA	IND	CLE	NBA
this game	16.5	14.5	15.6	105.3	103.3	102.3
season	15.3	15.8		101.6	102.6
opponent	15.5	15.4		106.2	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.8	16.1	18.9	16.3	16.5
CLE	15.8	12.5	16.2	13.7	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jermaine O'Neal	75	75	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.25	18	-14	32	15.9	18.8	-2.92	15.2	11.3	3.92
Jamaal Tinsley	84	82	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.32	14	-10	24	15.9	21.5	-5.64	14.9	11.4	3.47
Reggie Miller	82	79	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.28	15	-11	26	15.8	21.0	-5.21	15.0	11.3	3.70
Metta World Peace	63	62	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.22	14	-10	24	16.6	16.3	0.30	14.7	14.1	0.53
Brad Miller	72	69	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.35	-2	6	-8	17.1	14.3	2.79	15.4	11.8	3.55
Ron Mercer	44	40	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.15	-6	10	-16	16.7	16.3	0.38	12.5	16.0	-3.56
Jeff Foster	15	16	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.12	-11	15	-26	18.3	16.1	2.15	10.5	15.3	-4.83
Jonathan Bender	25	26	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.15	-12	16	-28	16.8	16.3	0.52	13.9	14.7	-0.84
Kevin Ollie	10	11	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.07	-10	14	-24	21.5	15.9	5.64	11.0	15.0	-3.96

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jumaine Jones	17	17	0.21	-0.71	0.91	-0.03	8	-12	20	12.8	14.9	-2.12	19.5	15.8	3.75
Chris Mihm	27	29	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.09	9	-13	22	11.7	15.6	-3.94	18.4	15.6	2.83
Trajan Langdon	30	33	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.16	4	-8	12	12.9	15.3	-2.41	16.8	16.3	0.46
Brian Skinner	34	34	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.42	8	-12	20	12.3	15.8	-3.44	18.2	15.4	2.79
Ricky Davis	61	62	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.39	5	-9	14	13.3	16.9	-3.64	16.2	16.9	-0.63
Tyrone Hill	44	44	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.04	-8	4	-12	16.3	12.8	3.46	16.4	16.5	-0.18
Wesley Person	69	68	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.26	-6	2	-8	14.7	13.8	0.94	15.9	17.8	-1.87
Lamond Murray	51	52	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.06	-18	14	-32	16.1	12.5	3.57	15.3	17.9	-2.57
Andre Miller	75	78	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.37	-6	2	-8	14.6	13.9	0.67	16.8	14.9	1.83
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	52	53	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.21	-16	12	-28	16.7	11.6	5.11	14.7	18.7	-3.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.31,0.22,0.2,0.15,0.2,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.19,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.22,0.13,0.18,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.21,0.15,0.13,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 84, TOR 79	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.16,0.11,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.08,0.15,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.19,0.22,0.24,0.04,0	93.6%
PHI 82, MIA 76	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.34,0.28,0.37,0.41,0.24,0.26,0.3,0.21,0.1,0.01,0	93.6%
MIA 90, TOR 83	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.25,0.18,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.19,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.23,0.17,0.15,0.28,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.02,0	93.5%