NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	92		Excitement	7.1 [413]		MVP	Jason Kidd (NJN): +19.2%
New Jersey Nets	94		Comeback	6.7 [205]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -21.1%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devean George	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.06	0.10	0.01	8	69%	0.16	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.07	0.01	9	65%	0.11	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Robert Horry	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.08	0.01	0.07	-0.00	3	50%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	6	43%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Slava Medvedenko	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	6	31%	-0.07	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13	-0.01	-0.12	-0.00	14	47%	-0.11	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Kobe Bryant	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.16,-0.21	-0.02	-0.19	0.00	30	51%	-0.09	3	-0.12	5	100%	0.02

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.06,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.19	0.19	0.03	0.16	0.00	7	81%	0.28	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.02	0.02	15	59%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.05	0.06	-0.02	13	43%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.06
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	-0.02	19	47%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	5	40%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	100%	0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Todd MacCulloch	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.07	-0.01	15	49%	-0.07	0	0.00	5	20%	-0.14
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.03	6	17%	-0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	3.3	26.5	19.5	22.4	3.4	33.9	131.5
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +52.8%

LAL -13.9%

NJN +6.6%

NJN +2.8%

NJN +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	NJN	NBA	LAL	NJN	NBA
this game	17.3	17.2	15.6	110.8	111.9	102.3
season	15.3	14.7		106.9	101.4
opponent	16.0	15.4		98.0	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.5	17.4	17.4	18.1	17.3
NJN	14.2	17.8	18.6	18.8	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Shaw	22	24	0.29	-0.79	1.08	0.02	9	-11	20	16.3	17.7	-1.40	20.2	16.0	4.28
Devean George	37	39	0.18	-0.68	0.87	-0.11	10	-12	22	15.5	18.8	-3.27	18.6	16.0	2.56
Mark Madsen	21	22	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.08	5	-7	12	14.5	18.2	-3.72	16.6	17.4	-0.75
Slava Medvedenko	45	45	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	2	-6	17.2	17.4	-0.27	17.3	17.1	0.21
Lindsey Hunter	10	10	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.01	-5	3	-8	16.4	17.4	-1.02	19.3	16.9	2.39
Robert Horry	31	32	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.36	-2	0	-2	17.4	17.3	0.09	18.8	16.2	2.57
Kobe Bryant	77	78	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.43	0	-2	2	17.4	15.8	1.58	16.8	22.8	-6.08
Samaki Walker	68	67	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.30	-5	3	-8	18.4	12.4	5.98	16.7	19.2	-2.56
Rick Fox	47	46	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.43	-10	8	-18	18.5	15.7	2.74	16.2	18.4	-2.30
Derek Fisher	57	57	-0.72	0.23	-0.95	-0.49	-8	6	-14	17.7	16.4	1.28	15.9	20.0	-4.09

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kerry Kittles	59	61	0.97	-0.47	1.43	0.58	13	-11	24	15.9	20.3	-4.46	18.0	15.5	2.45
Todd MacCulloch	51	53	0.89	-0.39	1.29	0.60	10	-8	18	16.1	18.9	-2.83	18.5	15.2	3.24
Richard Jefferson	49	46	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.38	2	0	2	18.3	15.6	2.73	16.6	18.1	-1.50
Jason Kidd	67	66	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.46	-4	6	-10	16.8	18.9	-2.12	17.8	15.5	2.23
Kenyon Martin	68	68	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.43	-4	6	-10	17.0	18.2	-1.23	17.6	15.9	1.75
Anthony Johnson	13	11	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.08	4	-2	6	18.3	17.0	1.32	16.9	17.4	-0.45
Aaron Williams	17	17	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.06	8	-6	14	18.5	16.9	1.60	15.6	17.7	-2.08
Keith Van Horn	38	38	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.08	1	1	0	15.3	18.7	-3.38	18.1	16.7	1.39
Lucious Harris	30	28	-0.45	0.95	-1.40	-0.16	-10	12	-22	19.8	15.7	4.06	15.0	18.5	-3.53
Jason Collins	28	27	-0.50	1.00	-1.50	-0.21	-10	12	-22	20.0	15.8	4.27	15.3	18.2	-2.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.82,0.79,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.82,0.74,0.78,0.53,0.42,0.37,0.17,0.19,0.33,0.53,0.54,0.68,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 102, TOR 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.76,0.76,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.84,0.79,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.71,0.82,0.85,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.42,0.26,0.24,0.27,0.39,0.45,0.57,0.73,1	91.8%
POR 88, BOS 90	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.78,0.77,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.78,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.53,0.62,0.57,0.66,0.73,1	91.4%
LAC 111, MEM 116	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.74,0.82,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.92,0.88,0.86,0.76,0.73,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.45,0.72,0.67,0.91,1	90.9%