NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	97		Excitement	9.2 [92]		MVP	Keith Van Horn (NJN): +54.8%
Cleveland Cavaliers	100		Comeback	4.7 [189]		LVP	Jason Kidd (NJN): -28.8%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keith Van Horn	0.55	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.1,0.55	0.14	0.41	0.00	19	67%	0.56	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Richard Jefferson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.04	0.00	5	60%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	5	57%	0.05	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Anthony Johnson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Armstrong	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	13	41%	-0.05	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Kenyon Martin	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	9	30%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jason Kidd	-0.29	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.29	-0.02	-0.24	0.03	26	53%	-0.18	4	-0.11	5	80%	0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lamond Murray	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.54	0.54	0.02	0.52	0.01	15	53%	0.55	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	4	87%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	9	60%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	10	52%	0.06	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Trajan Langdon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryant Stith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.1,-0.12,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.27,-0.24,-0.15,-0.05,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	0.04	0.01	16	53%	0.10	4	-0.17	17	82%	0.02
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	5	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.14	-0.14	0.01	-0.16	-0.01	16	62%	0.13	4	-0.27	5	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	1.8	24.1	15.4	28.3	2.4	35.2	130.6
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +35.5%

CLE +18.7%

CLE +27.9%

NJN -25.2%

NJN -6.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	CLE	NBA	NJN	CLE	NBA
this game	15.5	17.0	15.6	107.8	114.9	102.3
season	14.7	15.8		101.4	102.6
opponent	15.5	16.0		106.2	98.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.7	14.9	15.1	16.5	15.5
CLE	17.1	17.2	17.6	16.3	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Jefferson	50	48	0.05	-0.55	0.59	0.02	1	-4	5	15.3	15.8	-0.50	17.1	16.9	0.18
Brandon Armstrong	16	15	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.01	1	-4	5	12.9	16.1	-3.14	16.1	17.2	-1.18
Anthony Johnson	23	22	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-2	1	17.0	15.0	2.04	20.0	16.0	3.95
Aaron Williams	55	53	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.17	-2	-1	-1	15.7	15.2	0.53	17.4	16.6	0.80
Keith Van Horn	62	62	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.35	0	-3	3	16.1	14.1	2.00	17.0	17.2	-0.22
Kerry Kittles	61	60	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.40	1	-4	5	15.5	15.7	-0.20	17.4	16.1	1.30
Jason Collins	34	32	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.31	-2	-1	-1	15.6	15.5	0.06	17.6	16.7	0.87
Kenyon Martin	69	66	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.42	-6	3	-9	14.9	17.4	-2.49	16.5	18.7	-2.14
Jason Kidd	80	77	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.44	-7	4	-11	15.6	14.5	1.15	16.1	24.5	-8.42

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lamond Murray	52	56	0.76	-0.26	1.03	0.47	10	-7	17	16.2	18.4	-2.22	15.6	15.4	0.18
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	55	56	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.51	8	-5	13	15.9	19.1	-3.19	15.6	15.4	0.22
Wesley Person	67	71	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.45	10	-7	17	16.2	19.9	-3.77	15.1	17.2	-2.14
Jumaine Jones	43	44	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.51	8	-5	13	16.2	17.9	-1.70	15.7	15.4	0.27
Andre Miller	87	89	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.45	3	0	3	17.0	0.0	17.05	15.4	26.0	-10.60
Bryant Stith	8	7	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	-0.09	-1	4	-5	21.1	16.6	4.49	17.0	15.4	1.60
Trajan Langdon	12	12	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.05	-6	9	-15	19.2	16.7	2.46	17.3	15.2	2.09
Ricky Davis	41	42	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.14	0	3	-3	17.8	16.3	1.48	15.3	15.7	-0.40
Chris Mihm	29	32	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.04	-7	10	-17	16.1	17.5	-1.47	15.8	15.3	0.50
Michael Doleac	17	18	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	-0.10	-4	7	-11	21.7	15.9	5.79	17.6	15.0	2.54
Brian Skinner	24	23	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.09	-6	9	-15	19.7	16.0	3.73	13.7	16.1	-2.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.18,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.39,0.54,0.69,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 102, WAS 107	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.43,0.5,0.41,0.42,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.62,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.48,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.43,0.25,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.54,0.78,0.73,1	91.9%
MIL 91, CHI 97	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.58,0.64,0.52,0.62,0.52,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.29,0.17,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.18,0.31,0.34,0.77,0.73,1	91.9%
MEM 100, ORL 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.36,0.39,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.51,0.42,0.19,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.32,0.46,0.55,0.73,1	91.6%