NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	68		Excitement	3.1 [1125]		MVP	Nazr Mohammed (ATL): +4.7%
Indiana Pacers	85		Comeback	1.1 [1106]		LVP	Jason Terry (ATL): -19.8%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nazr Mohammed	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.00	0.02	10	65%	0.05	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Cal Bowdler	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Strickland	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hanno Mottola	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.00	0.03	6	67%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ira Newble	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	62%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Alan Henderson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	4	40%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.01
Jacque Vaughn	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.11	-0.00	-0.06	7	25%	-0.03	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
DerMarr Johnson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	0.00	-0.01	9	40%	-0.04	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Toni Kukoc	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	8	25%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.12	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.14	-0.00	-0.02	12	35%	-0.04	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Terry	-0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.00	-0.00	16	26%	-0.12	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.01	4	80%	0.04	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jonathan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	-0.03	6	54%	0.03	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Reggie Miller	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	6	57%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	0.00	0.06	14	63%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Primoz Brezec	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruno Sundov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Mercer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	4	25%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	9	45%	0.03	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	12	44%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	8	39%	-0.03	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.18	-0.00	-0.06	7	22%	-0.06	4	-0.06	4	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.4	26.5	15.6	24.0	2.4	25.4	119.4
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +28.8%

IND +7.1%

ATL -1.7%

IND +13.6%

IND +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	IND	NBA	ATL	IND	NBA
this game	15.7	15.1	15.6	72.3	91.4	102.3
season	15.5	15.3		99.7	101.6
opponent	15.4	15.2		100.9	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	18.0	17.4	14.6	12.8	15.7
IND	13.3	14.5	16.1	16.5	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cal Bowdler	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-19	21	8.3	16.2	-7.83	14.0	15.2	-1.22
Mark Strickland	20	19	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-16	15	12.6	16.5	-3.89	16.1	14.9	1.21
Hanno Mottola	31	31	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.14	2	-19	21	13.0	17.0	-3.92	18.1	13.7	4.39
Jacque Vaughn	44	43	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.01	-7	-10	3	15.4	15.9	-0.47	16.6	13.9	2.72
Alan Henderson	35	33	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.05	-6	-11	5	17.4	14.6	2.82	15.0	15.2	-0.22
Toni Kukoc	38	38	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.05	-10	-7	-3	16.1	15.3	0.79	16.8	14.0	2.74
DerMarr Johnson	48	49	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.11	-5	-12	7	15.2	16.1	-0.84	13.7	16.8	-3.10
Nazr Mohammed	53	54	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.11	-13	-4	-9	15.3	16.1	-0.78	15.4	14.8	0.51
Jason Terry	73	73	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.03	-13	-4	-9	15.4	16.6	-1.17	15.1	15.3	-0.27
Ira Newble	59	57	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.03	-15	-2	-13	17.2	13.0	4.24	14.0	17.0	-3.04
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	63	62	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.13	-19	2	-21	17.0	13.0	3.92	13.7	18.1	-4.39

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamaal Tinsley	64	65	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.10	9	8	1	15.4	14.5	0.95	15.9	15.2	0.65
Jeff Foster	54	53	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.07	14	3	11	15.8	14.2	1.61	16.1	15.0	1.08
Jonathan Bender	48	49	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.01	10	7	3	15.6	14.6	1.05	14.7	16.7	-2.02
Austin Croshere	46	47	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.09	13	4	9	16.3	14.0	2.35	15.7	15.6	0.09
Jermaine O'Neal	44	46	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.05	11	6	5	14.5	15.7	-1.26	16.8	14.5	2.33
Metta World Peace	49	50	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.07	5	12	-7	14.8	15.5	-0.73	16.2	15.1	1.11
Brad Miller	42	43	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.03	6	11	-5	13.7	16.3	-2.60	16.9	14.6	2.26
Reggie Miller	45	45	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.00	7	10	-3	14.6	15.6	-1.05	16.7	14.7	2.02
Ron Mercer	32	31	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.02	6	11	-5	16.0	14.7	1.36	13.3	16.8	-3.49
Kevin Ollie	29	29	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.10	8	9	-1	14.5	15.4	-0.95	15.2	15.9	-0.65
Primoz Brezec	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	19	-21	14.0	15.2	-1.22	8.3	16.2	-7.83
Bruno Sundov	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	19	-21	14.0	15.2	-1.22	8.3	16.2	-7.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 94, BOS 112	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
LAC 80, PHI 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.81,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
UTA 85, OKC 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.67,0.58,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.71,0.78,0.83,0.87,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.96,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%