NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	83		Excitement	7.5 [315]		MVP	Marcus Fizer (CHI): +26.8%
Chicago Bulls	91		Comeback	2.2 [369]		LVP	Tom Gugliotta (PHX): -29.0%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.26,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07	0.11	-0.04	-0.00	18	64%	0.15	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.01,-0.02	0.04	-0.04	0.03	17	61%	0.05	2	-0.07	10	100%	0.09
Dan Majerle	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	2	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Shawn Marion	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.02	-0.00	15	50%	0.03	5	-0.08	2	100%	0.03
John Wallace	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	6	19%	-0.12	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	-0.02	9	22%	-0.08	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	-0.29	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.21,-0.3,-0.37,-0.29,-0.29	-0.15	-0.15	-0.01	10	20%	-0.15	3	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Fizer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.15,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.12	0.15	0.00	12	72%	0.27	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.07	0.01	11	57%	0.09	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.01	8	56%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dalibor Bagaric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
A.J. Guyton	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	8	62%	0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	8	28%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	8	37%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.15,-0.15,-0.05,-0.07	-0.07	-0.12	0.06	0.01	19	49%	0.08	6	-0.15	7	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.8	29.0	15.4	22.6	2.6	37.0	132.6
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +62.0%

PHX -10.6%

PHX -10.1%

CHI +8.3%

CHI +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	CHI	NBA	PHX	CHI	NBA
this game	14.6	16.2	15.6	88.3	97.8	102.3
season	15.1	15.6		101.0	96.3
opponent	15.6	15.8		105.5	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.0	15.3	13.6	14.7	14.6
CHI	16.3	16.7	15.8	15.9	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Milt Palacio	16	14	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.10	-3	-5	2	14.9	14.6	0.36	15.4	16.3	-0.88
Jake Tsakalidis	42	42	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.06	0	-8	8	15.2	14.2	1.08	14.9	17.2	-2.27
Dan Majerle	25	24	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.00	-5	-3	-2	12.8	15.3	-2.56	17.1	15.8	1.28
John Wallace	26	23	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.03	-7	-1	-6	13.2	15.2	-2.05	17.1	15.9	1.27
Tom Gugliotta	65	65	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.31	-1	-7	6	15.3	13.1	2.22	16.1	16.4	-0.37
Joe Johnson	79	79	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.31	-2	-6	4	14.6	14.6	0.05	16.0	17.3	-1.31
Bo Outlaw	53	53	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.24	-6	-2	-4	14.5	14.8	-0.34	17.5	14.4	3.11
Shawn Marion	86	86	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.17	-11	3	-14	14.9	11.7	3.16	15.7	22.0	-6.30
Stephon Marbury	78	79	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.36	-5	-3	-2	14.6	14.9	-0.36	16.3	15.4	0.88

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Best	56	56	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.21	18	-10	28	16.8	15.2	1.59	14.5	14.8	-0.25
Marcus Fizer	56	56	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.21	18	-10	28	16.8	15.2	1.59	14.5	14.8	-0.25
Tyson Chandler	60	63	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.31	10	-2	12	14.8	18.6	-3.82	14.7	14.5	0.23
Jalen Rose	93	94	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.27	8	0	8	16.2	0.0	16.17	14.6	0.0	14.64
Trenton Hassell	83	84	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.26	-1	9	-10	16.1	16.9	-0.82	14.4	16.9	-2.53
A.J. Guyton	50	50	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.00	1	7	-6	14.9	17.6	-2.66	14.7	14.5	0.22
Dalibor Bagaric	12	11	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.02	-2	10	-12	14.9	16.4	-1.44	16.6	14.4	2.26
Charles Oakley	28	28	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.03	-2	10	-12	19.6	14.7	4.91	14.7	14.6	0.06
Eddy Curry	27	28	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.06	-10	18	-28	16.1	16.2	-0.09	14.7	14.6	0.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.51,0.7,0.63,0.72,0.72,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.71,0.77,0.69,0.53,0.67,0.61,0.72,0.68,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 104, ORL 108	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.71,0.78,0.84,1	92.6%
PHX 73, MIN 82	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.37,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.86,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.46,0.53,0.64,0.78,0.98,1	92.2%
DEN 82, ORL 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.83,0.6,0.6,0.81,0.85,0.77,0.87,1	91.9%