NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	110		Excitement	5.7 [668]		MVP	Antoine Walker (BOS): +14.8%
Denver Nuggets	93		Comeback	1.4 [730]		LVP	James Posey (DEN): -15.1%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antoine Walker	0.15	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.19	0.03	0.07	21	68%	0.15	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Eric Williams	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.00	7	68%	0.09	0	0.00	8	62%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.12	-0.00	0.06	13	81%	0.10	3	-0.04	5	60%	-0.01
Erick Strickland	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.04	0.03	-0.06	10	52%	0.15	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
Vitaly Potapenko	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.02	6	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	3	57%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Kenny Anderson	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.03	-0.02	12	67%	0.07	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Joe Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	1	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George McCloud	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	9	58%	0.05	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	11	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	4	40%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	6	50%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.12	-0.02	-0.07	18	32%	-0.03	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.02	-0.04	0.08	11	66%	-0.03	2	-0.06	10	70%	-0.01
Zendon Hamilton	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	7	37%	-0.12	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.01	0.01	14	33%	-0.10	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
James Posey	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.06	-0.02	6	29%	-0.06	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.3	29.7	16.4	29.2	1.8	26.1	132.0
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +74.1%

DEN -5.3%

DEN -33.3%

BOS +19.8%

DEN -5.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	DEN	NBA	BOS	DEN	NBA
this game	15.8	16.6	15.6	123.6	104.5	102.3
season	15.0	16.1		100.9	99.7
opponent	15.2	15.7		105.9	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.8	16.1	17.0	15.5	15.8
DEN	17.2	18.2	16.5	14.5	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antoine Walker	82	83	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.01	16	1	15	16.3	10.3	5.99	16.8	13.2	3.63
Kenny Anderson	61	63	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.13	20	-3	23	15.8	15.9	-0.12	17.2	15.0	2.19
Eric Williams	55	57	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.20	21	-4	25	15.9	15.7	0.21	16.6	16.5	0.13
Vitaly Potapenko	41	41	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.13	8	9	-1	14.6	16.8	-2.18	15.5	17.4	-1.93
Paul Pierce	44	45	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.16	17	0	17	15.1	16.5	-1.42	16.8	16.3	0.50
Erick Strickland	55	55	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.07	7	10	-3	15.5	16.3	-0.79	15.1	18.9	-3.87
Tony Battie	43	42	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.01	5	12	-7	16.7	15.0	1.72	18.4	14.9	3.47
Milt Palacio	15	13	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.11	-1	18	-19	15.7	15.8	-0.09	15.1	16.8	-1.73
Walter McCarty	38	36	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.19	-4	21	-25	15.4	16.1	-0.68	16.5	16.6	-0.13
Joe Johnson	11	10	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	-0.01	-4	21	-25	18.8	15.4	3.43	16.0	16.6	-0.62

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Andersen	10	11	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.05	-1	-16	15	16.0	16.6	-0.62	14.5	16.0	-1.55
Avery Johnson	58	60	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	-15	13	16.3	17.1	-0.79	16.2	14.9	1.30
Calbert Cheaney	59	59	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-14	11	17.4	15.0	2.39	16.3	14.8	1.47
James Posey	41	41	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.15	-11	-6	-5	15.9	17.1	-1.29	17.0	14.8	2.21
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	23	24	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.01	-7	-10	3	17.0	16.4	0.61	15.2	16.0	-0.77
George McCloud	36	36	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.03	-7	-10	3	16.1	16.9	-0.78	14.0	17.0	-2.99
Zendon Hamilton	43	42	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.02	-11	-6	-5	17.1	16.0	1.14	16.8	14.9	1.85
Ryan Bowen	52	53	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.02	-11	-6	-5	15.9	17.4	-1.46	14.6	17.6	-3.03
Raef LaFrentz	71	68	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.02	-14	-3	-11	17.4	13.3	4.10	16.6	13.2	3.36
Nick Van Exel	52	51	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.09	-18	1	-19	15.7	17.7	-2.02	15.0	16.9	-1.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.31,0.34,0.23,0.27,0.36,0.5,0.42,0.34,0.42,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.36,0.19,0.16,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.08,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 91, CLE 78	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.37,0.22,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.3%
PHI 111, PHX 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.28,0.29,0.41,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.39,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.48,0.52,0.63,0.48,0.36,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0	94.0%
SAS 102, SAC 94	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.31,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.32,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.09,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0	93.3%