NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	117		Excitement	7.3 [373]		MVP	Jeff McInnis (LAC): +31.3%
Dallas Mavericks	100		Comeback	2.7 [102]		LVP	Michael Olowokandi (LAC): -14.2%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff McInnis	0.31	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.3,0.31,0.31	0.17	0.16	0.02	21	70%	0.35	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.06	0.11	0.01	11	71%	0.22	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Eric Piatkowski	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	5	67%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Elton Brand	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.04	0.01	14	59%	0.09	3	-0.09	11	82%	0.03
Earl Boykins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.05	10	62%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Darius Miles	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	0.04	9	59%	0.02	3	-0.10	4	50%	-0.02
Michael Olowokandi	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.05	-0.02	7	43%	-0.02	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Juwan Howard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.04	0.11	-0.00	13	54%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.05	0.01	11	64%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wang Zhi-zhi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	7	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tim Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.04	-0.02	14	46%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.07	-0.00	15	65%	0.08	4	-0.13	4	100%	0.03
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	8	39%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Steve Nash	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.14,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	19	51%	0.03	5	-0.14	5	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	3.4	27.6	19.5	25.3	2.5	29.2	130.7
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +36.6%

LAC +14.1%

LAC +10.3%

DAL -15.9%

LAC +4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	DAL	NBA	LAC	DAL	NBA
this game	15.8	14.0	15.6	121.9	103.1	102.3
season	15.9	14.8		103.6	109.6
opponent	15.5	15.4		105.8	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.8	13.3	16.7	17.9	15.8
DAL	13.7	15.0	13.3	14.2	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corey Maggette	77	79	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.03	17	0	17	16.4	13.5	2.92	13.5	16.5	-3.02
Elton Brand	76	76	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.00	17	0	17	15.9	15.3	0.58	14.4	12.7	1.69
Darius Miles	59	60	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.00	17	0	17	15.6	16.2	-0.66	14.4	13.5	0.94
Jeff McInnis	86	87	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.02	16	1	15	16.0	13.9	2.13	13.7	17.2	-3.52
Quentin Richardson	62	64	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.07	13	4	9	15.7	16.1	-0.38	14.1	14.0	0.06
Earl Boykins	11	12	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.04	3	14	-11	13.1	16.2	-3.07	14.9	13.9	1.00
Eric Piatkowski	34	33	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.07	4	13	-9	16.1	15.7	0.38	14.0	14.1	-0.06
Michael Olowokandi	58	58	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.10	1	16	-15	16.2	15.2	1.00	13.6	14.7	-1.05
Sean Rooks	17	16	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	20	-23	12.8	16.5	-3.63	16.6	13.5	3.02

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wang Zhi-zhi	22	24	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.16	-5	-12	7	13.6	14.2	-0.52	14.3	16.3	-2.03
Michael Finley	59	59	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.10	-7	-10	3	14.5	13.3	1.19	15.1	16.9	-1.84
Eduardo Najera	49	49	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.16	1	-18	19	14.1	14.0	0.16	14.9	16.8	-1.95
Shawn Bradley	8	7	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.04	-4	-13	9	17.2	13.8	3.50	20.7	15.4	5.29
Juwan Howard	73	74	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.16	-13	-4	-9	13.9	14.4	-0.50	15.8	15.9	-0.07
Adrian Griffin	71	70	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.25	-7	-10	3	14.1	13.9	0.21	16.2	14.8	1.38
Tim Hardaway	52	52	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.07	-13	-4	-9	13.8	14.3	-0.54	16.3	15.3	1.00
Steve Nash	71	67	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.10	-19	2	-21	13.6	15.2	-1.63	16.4	14.4	2.05
Dirk Nowitzki	80	78	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.02	-18	1	-19	14.0	14.0	0.05	15.8	15.8	0.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.59,0.64,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.46,0.62,0.33,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.12,0.07,0.15,0.21,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 101, SAS 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.52,0.43,0.41,0.32,0.26,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.06,0,0	92.9%
POR 100, BOS 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.44,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.33,0.29,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.26,0.14,0.15,0.06,0.02,0	92.9%
HOU 104, PHX 97	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.53,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.5,0.58,0.48,0.33,0.22,0.17,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0	92.8%