NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	82		Excitement	1.7 [1257]		MVP	Damon Stoudamire (POR): +7.2%
Portland Trail Blazers	120		Comeback	1.1 [1240]		LVP	Rodney Buford (MEM): -7.9%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Grant Long	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Solomon	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.11	0.00	0.12	12	85%	0.02	3	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00
Antonis Fotsis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	8	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	-0.06	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.13	-0.00	-0.07	6	14%	-0.04	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Pau Gasol	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.00	-0.00	0.08	11	72%	-0.02	5	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Stromile Swift	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	9	45%	-0.04	3	-0.04	4	100%	-0.01
Jason Williams	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	0.00	-0.03	13	35%	-0.05	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Buford	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.13	-0.00	-0.05	15	28%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	-0.00	0.00	12	67%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.11	0.00	0.08	13	69%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Chris Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	7	71%	0.02	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.11	0.00	0.10	8	86%	0.02	1	-0.00	6	83%	0.00
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.04	6	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	6	17%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	10	61%	0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	4	11%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	6	64%	0.01	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.07	0.00	0.10	9	73%	-0.03	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	1.7	27.2	15.5	23.4	2.5	22.2	115.3
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +25.8%

POR +8.5%

POR +6.8%

POR +8.1%

POR +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	POR	NBA	MEM	POR	NBA
this game	15.8	15.2	15.6	87.2	130.4	102.3
season	15.7	16.0		96.0	105.0
opponent	15.6	15.2		102.2	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	15.7	16.8	16.4	14.3	15.8
POR	14.3	15.1	15.5	15.7	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonis Fotsis	33	33	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.06	2	-40	42	14.5	16.5	-1.93	15.5	14.9	0.60
Will Solomon	29	29	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	-35	32	15.6	15.9	-0.36	14.7	15.4	-0.69
Stromile Swift	60	58	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.05	-7	-31	24	14.8	17.5	-2.67	16.7	12.5	4.22
Grant Long	36	35	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.45	-26	-12	-14	17.1	15.0	2.08	13.5	16.2	-2.66
Brevin Knight	52	52	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.12	-16	-22	6	14.8	17.0	-2.26	15.8	14.3	1.44
Rodney Buford	68	66	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.53	-30	-8	-22	16.1	15.1	0.94	15.7	13.8	1.94
Pau Gasol	77	77	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.55	-33	-5	-28	16.0	14.8	1.26	14.7	17.5	-2.75
Tony Massenburg	46	44	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.63	-36	-2	-34	16.9	14.7	2.23	14.0	16.2	-2.23
Jason Williams	69	66	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.77	-41	3	-44	16.2	14.8	1.36	14.9	15.7	-0.79

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damon Stoudamire	45	47	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.56	32	6	26	15.1	15.2	-0.06	17.0	14.6	2.36
Derek Anderson	37	38	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.46	28	10	18	15.8	14.8	0.99	15.6	15.9	-0.37
Scottie Pippen	45	46	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.57	31	7	24	14.3	16.0	-1.75	16.6	15.0	1.59
Shawn Kemp	35	37	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.34	22	16	6	15.7	14.8	0.94	15.3	16.1	-0.87
Ruben Patterson	52	53	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.23	17	21	-4	15.2	15.1	0.02	15.5	16.2	-0.70
Chris Dudley	43	44	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.18	15	23	-8	15.6	14.8	0.83	15.0	16.5	-1.54
Dale Davis	47	47	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.42	22	16	6	14.9	15.5	-0.59	17.0	14.6	2.49
Rasheed Wallace	35	36	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.48	24	14	10	14.1	15.8	-1.78	16.7	15.2	1.50
Bonzi Wells	33	34	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.36	17	21	-4	14.3	15.6	-1.34	16.9	15.2	1.70
Steve Kerr	35	35	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.12	-4	42	-46	16.3	14.5	1.81	14.2	16.8	-2.59
Rick Brunson	29	29	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.21	-7	45	-52	15.4	15.0	0.42	14.1	16.5	-2.40
Zach Randolph	24	24	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	45	-52	15.7	15.0	0.74	14.3	16.3	-2.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 84, LAC 123	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.59,0.62,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.9%
PHI 86, DET 108	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%
POR 84, TOR 120	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%