NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	105		Excitement	8.3 [211]		MVP	Lucious Harris (NJN): +13.7%
Dallas Mavericks	113		Comeback	5.5 [273]		LVP	Jason Kidd (NJN): -58.4%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lucious Harris	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.1,0,0,0,0.05,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.11	0.03	0.01	13	77%	0.23	2	-0.10	4	75%	-0.01
Keith Van Horn	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	-0.03	0.10	-0.03	14	46%	0.13	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.02	0.01	6	86%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Williams	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.02	-0.00	7	72%	0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Jason Collins	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Todd MacCulloch	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	9	59%	0.06	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Donny Marshall	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	7	31%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kenyon Martin	-0.22	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.07	-0.15	-0.00	16	49%	-0.16	2	-0.06	11	64%	-0.07
Jason Kidd	-0.58	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.21,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.28,-0.28,-0.31,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.42,-0.53,-0.58,-0.58	-0.34	-0.29	-0.04	17	9%	-0.34	6	-0.24	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Juwan Howard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.00	17	55%	0.07	0	0.00	6	67%	0.00
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	2	80%	0.02	1	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.01	3	70%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.03	0.00	4	78%	0.04	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	-0.00	9	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	14	53%	0.03	3	-0.08	8	100%	0.03
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.15,-0.17,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.06	0.01	27	54%	0.04	2	-0.12	18	89%	0.12
Wang Zhi-zhi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	5	36%	-0.04	1	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	2.6	27.4	17.3	32.5	2.3	30.7	135.3
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN -13.1%

DAL +41.5%

DAL +7.3%

DAL +12.9%

DAL +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	DAL	NBA	NJN	DAL	NBA
this game	14.6	15.0	15.6	107.1	116.5	102.3
season	14.7	14.8		101.4	109.6
opponent	15.5	16.0		105.8	98.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.1	13.2	14.7	15.2	14.6
DAL	15.5	16.8	16.7	11.5	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Todd MacCulloch	35	36	0.19	-0.69	0.87	0.13	2	-10	12	14.4	14.7	-0.28	16.3	14.2	2.14
Donny Marshall	4	5	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-7	6	15.2	14.5	0.73	15.0	15.0	0.01
Richard Jefferson	32	32	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.15	-1	-7	6	15.0	14.3	0.62	15.2	14.9	0.39
Jason Collins	27	26	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.36	4	-12	16	15.0	14.4	0.67	15.7	14.7	0.96
Aaron Williams	32	31	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.08	-6	-2	-4	15.3	14.2	1.13	15.2	14.9	0.30
Keith Van Horn	76	74	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.13	-6	-2	-4	14.1	16.0	-1.81	14.9	15.3	-0.41
Lucious Harris	55	55	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.20	-4	-4	0	14.6	14.5	0.11	13.9	16.5	-2.62
Kerry Kittles	58	56	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.09	-10	2	-12	14.4	14.8	-0.38	15.1	14.9	0.19
Jason Kidd	90	90	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.25	-6	-2	-4	14.3	17.9	-3.62	15.0	14.6	0.45
Kenyon Martin	81	80	-0.55	0.04	-0.59	-0.19	-12	4	-16	14.8	13.6	1.16	14.7	16.1	-1.37

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adrian Griffin	59	58	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.29	10	-2	12	14.7	15.5	-0.80	14.3	14.8	-0.51
Eduardo Najera	60	60	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.37	6	2	4	14.1	16.4	-2.25	14.7	14.3	0.38
Steve Nash	87	89	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.22	10	-2	12	14.7	17.5	-2.80	14.7	12.7	2.07
Juwan Howard	72	72	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.27	7	1	6	15.1	14.8	0.26	14.9	13.5	1.48
Dirk Nowitzki	88	89	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.23	7	1	6	15.3	12.3	2.93	14.4	15.7	-1.23
Wang Zhi-zhi	24	26	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.04	7	1	6	14.1	15.3	-1.20	13.9	14.8	-0.85
Greg Buckner	12	12	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.04	5	3	2	14.7	15.0	-0.27	13.4	14.7	-1.29
Tim Hardaway	44	46	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.01	1	7	-6	14.6	15.3	-0.69	14.7	14.4	0.27
Shawn Bradley	3	2	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.00	-5	13	-18	25.0	14.7	10.33	11.5	14.6	-3.11
Johnny Newman	36	36	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	-0.06	-8	16	-24	17.1	13.7	3.42	14.5	14.6	-0.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.6,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.26,0.28,0.24,0.31,0.37,0.47,0.46,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.15,0.28,0.55,0.45,0.78,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 80, SAS 83	0.5,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.5,0.45,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.3,0.36,0.5,0.48,0.38,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.26,0.27,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.95,1	91.4%
WAS 93, CHH 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.6,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.58,0.58,0.46,0.33,0.27,0.39,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.43,0.32,0.18,0.19,0.33,0.53,0.46,0.76,0.73,1	89.8%
DAL 114, OKC 117	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.68,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.67,0.73,0.65,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.31,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.39,0.46,0.91,0.73,1	89.2%