NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	90		Excitement	2.8 [1174]		MVP	Jon Barry (DET): +5.7%
Boston Celtics	104		Comeback	1.0 [1029]		LVP	Antoine Walker (BOS): -13.9%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jon Barry	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	3	125%	0.08	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Brian Cardinal	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	5	60%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Victor Alexander	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.03	12	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	4	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Corliss Williamson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	11	36%	-0.03	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	8	42%	-0.04	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.00
Michael Curry	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Zeljko Rebraca	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Chucky Atkins	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.12	0.00	-0.05	13	23%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	15	54%	-0.00	5	-0.08	9	78%	-0.00
Clifford Robinson	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.00	8	28%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	0.01	0.04	7	86%	0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	0.02	0.04	6	93%	0.08	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	7	60%	0.04	1	-0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	-0.03	11	55%	0.05	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	0.00	0.04	8	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	70%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	8	62%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	10	55%	0.02	2	-0.02	9	89%	0.02
Mark Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.04	4	87%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.22	0.01	-0.07	14	16%	-0.10	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.7	31.2	15.7	24.2	2.3	22.5	122.7
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +44.0%

DET -1.6%

BOS +8.7%

DET -4.8%

BOS +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	BOS	NBA	DET	BOS	NBA
this game	16.0	14.8	15.6	95.7	111.8	102.3
season	15.7	15.0		101.9	100.9
opponent	15.7	15.8		98.8	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	16.6	15.6	16.7	15.0	16.0
BOS	12.8	15.7	12.8	18.6	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Cardinal	6	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-16	18	16.5	16.0	0.55	21.7	14.3	7.33
Mikki Moore	24	24	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.44	15	-29	44	14.7	16.4	-1.78	17.9	13.7	4.14
Victor Alexander	22	21	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.38	13	-27	40	15.0	16.3	-1.29	18.6	13.7	4.86
Corliss Williamson	41	40	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.28	5	-19	24	15.3	16.5	-1.24	15.9	13.9	2.01
Zeljko Rebraca	15	16	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.01	-6	-8	2	15.5	16.1	-0.62	15.6	14.6	0.91
Damon Jones	38	39	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.39	6	-20	26	15.9	16.1	-0.20	16.9	13.3	3.56
Michael Curry	41	41	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.16	-13	-1	-12	16.2	15.8	0.32	12.8	16.4	-3.54
Chucky Atkins	56	54	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.30	-20	6	-26	16.1	15.9	0.20	13.3	16.9	-3.56
Jon Barry	42	42	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.34	1	-15	16	15.7	16.2	-0.54	17.0	13.0	3.96
Jerry Stackhouse	58	57	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.34	-23	9	-32	16.5	15.1	1.38	13.1	17.5	-4.39
Clifford Robinson	64	64	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.28	-23	9	-32	16.2	15.6	0.57	14.0	16.5	-2.49
Ben Wallace	63	61	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.37	-27	13	-40	16.8	14.4	2.39	12.9	18.4	-5.49

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenny Anderson	48	48	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.36	29	-15	44	12.8	16.9	-4.12	17.5	14.4	3.17
Antoine Walker	63	63	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.06	17	-3	20	13.2	18.3	-5.11	16.1	15.7	0.47
Paul Pierce	51	51	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.40	26	-12	38	13.0	17.0	-4.00	17.5	14.2	3.24
Eric Williams	40	40	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.36	24	-10	34	14.8	14.8	0.08	16.6	15.6	1.02
Vitaly Potapenko	55	55	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.04	12	2	10	15.9	13.2	2.70	15.9	16.1	-0.19
Erick Strickland	48	48	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.11	12	2	10	13.1	16.6	-3.43	16.4	15.6	0.83
Tony Battie	33	35	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.01	6	8	-2	12.7	16.0	-3.27	16.4	15.7	0.65
Joe Johnson	40	41	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.50	-14	28	-42	17.3	12.9	4.33	14.0	17.5	-3.57
Walter McCarty	47	48	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.47	-14	28	-42	17.6	11.9	5.68	14.5	17.6	-3.09
Mark Blount	16	16	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.32	-11	25	-36	18.8	14.0	4.84	16.2	15.9	0.24
Milt Palacio	24	25	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.48	-17	31	-48	18.3	13.6	4.70	13.6	16.9	-3.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.79,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 100, DEN 122	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.62,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.77,0.79,0.82,0.76,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
DEN 78, UTA 116	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
SAS 90, GSW 120	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%