NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	90		Excitement	3.3 [1087]		MVP	Robert Horry (LAL): +13.2%
Los Angeles Lakers	114		Comeback	1.1 [1126]		LVP	Cuttino Mobley (HOU): -8.7%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Griffin	0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.01	11	65%	0.07	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Kevin Willis	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	70%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Oscar Torres	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	6	67%	0.00	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Jason Collier	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	1	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Terence Morris	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	-0.00	-0.07	3	33%	0.02	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tierre Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	6	35%	-0.00	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.00
Walt Williams	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	8	44%	-0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	11	50%	-0.00	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.02
Cuttino Mobley	-0.09	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.12	-0.01	-0.04	17	39%	-0.07	1	-0.01	12	100%	0.05

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.02	-0.01	10	70%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.01	0.01	9	73%	0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Samaki Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	9	67%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	0.00	0.03	6	86%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Mitch Richmond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.00	-0.06	6	50%	0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	17	44%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jelani McCoy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	4	30%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	0.00	0.06	9	67%	-0.00	1	0.00	3	67%	0.01
Slava Medvedenko	0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	7	29%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.0	1.8	29.0	16.7	26.6	2.7	28.2	126.0
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +43.1%

HOU -6.5%

HOU -2.6%

LAL +13.5%

LAL +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	LAL	NBA	HOU	LAL	NBA
this game	17.7	15.6	15.6	104.7	131.0	102.3
season	16.8	15.3		100.9	106.9
opponent	15.4	15.2		99.8	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	17.5	18.1	18.6	16.8	17.7
LAL	14.6	15.3	17.4	15.2	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Collier	13	13	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-25	26	16.3	18.0	-1.68	16.4	15.4	0.95
Kelvin Cato	45	44	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.15	3	-27	30	17.6	17.9	-0.37	17.2	13.9	3.34
Tierre Brown	34	34	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.30	-16	-8	-8	17.5	17.9	-0.38	14.9	16.0	-1.09
Oscar Torres	35	34	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.05	-5	-19	14	17.4	17.9	-0.51	15.7	15.5	0.26
Walt Williams	49	50	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.11	-6	-18	12	17.9	17.5	0.34	16.2	14.7	1.56
Terence Morris	39	39	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.35	-23	-1	-22	17.8	17.7	0.11	14.3	16.6	-2.34
Moochie Norris	52	53	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-8	-16	8	17.9	17.5	0.38	16.0	14.9	1.09
Kevin Willis	26	28	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.34	-23	-1	-22	18.4	17.4	0.93	13.2	16.7	-3.48
Eddie Griffin	66	67	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.25	-20	-4	-16	17.6	18.1	-0.54	15.4	16.0	-0.62
Cuttino Mobley	71	73	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.20	-23	-1	-22	18.0	16.5	1.53	15.6	15.3	0.34

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Samaki Walker	52	52	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.00	14	10	4	15.2	16.1	-0.85	18.5	16.6	1.84
Kobe Bryant	55	56	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.05	10	14	-4	15.7	15.3	0.41	17.9	17.5	0.36
Robert Horry	44	43	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.16	17	7	10	14.3	16.9	-2.54	18.0	17.5	0.44
Lindsey Hunter	41	39	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.31	22	2	20	14.2	16.8	-2.56	17.7	17.8	-0.07
Devean George	41	39	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.31	22	2	20	14.2	16.8	-2.56	17.7	17.8	-0.07
Derek Fisher	46	47	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.11	2	22	-20	16.8	14.2	2.56	17.8	17.7	0.07
Rick Fox	46	47	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.11	2	22	-20	16.8	14.2	2.56	17.8	17.7	0.07
Slava Medvedenko	33	34	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.01	5	19	-14	16.9	14.8	2.15	17.8	17.7	0.10
Mitch Richmond	22	21	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.20	12	12	0	14.7	15.9	-1.20	18.0	17.7	0.29
Mark Madsen	35	34	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.20	10	14	-4	16.1	15.2	0.85	16.6	18.5	-1.84
Brian Shaw	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	22	-20	16.7	15.4	1.27	16.4	17.9	-1.44
Jelani McCoy	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	22	-20	16.7	15.4	1.27	16.4	17.9	-1.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.82,0.76,0.83,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.89,0.83,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.81,0.89,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 83, SAS 109	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.84,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
SEA 83, MIN 108	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.79,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.89,0.87,0.93,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.8,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
UTA 94, GSW 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.79,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.87,0.89,0.82,0.79,0.74,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%