NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	83		Excitement	3.3 [1095]		MVP	Aaron McKie (PHI): +7.3%
Philadelphia 76ers	94		Comeback	1.0 [1194]		LVP	Toni Kukoc (ATL): -9.9%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jacque Vaughn	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	5	83%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Mark Strickland	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	11	74%	0.08	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Jason Terry	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	14	65%	0.06	4	-0.06	6	83%	0.00
DerMarr Johnson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	10	55%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Reggie Slater	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	2	60%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Hanno Mottola	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	8	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cal Bowdler	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	4	0%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	-0.00	-0.05	9	30%	-0.05	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Nazr Mohammed	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.04	6	27%	-0.05	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Toni Kukoc	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	7	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.00	-0.08	12	63%	0.12	4	-0.05	3	100%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.03	0.03	-0.07	17	53%	0.09	2	-0.02	11	64%	-0.01
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	12	53%	0.05	3	-0.04	6	83%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	6	61%	0.02	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	11	55%	0.05	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damone Brown	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vonteego Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	11	37%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.3	26.4	15.5	28.2	2.5	31.7	130.9
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +38.6%

ATL -1.0%

PHI +12.6%

ATL -1.8%

PHI +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	PHI	NBA	ATL	PHI	NBA
this game	15.0	15.5	15.6	87.4	100.0	102.3
season	15.5	15.9		99.7	99.3
opponent	15.6	15.2		98.2	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.4	14.6	13.7	16.2	15.0
PHI	15.2	16.7	15.7	14.3	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cal Bowdler	31	32	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.44	16	-27	43	14.8	15.1	-0.30	16.7	14.9	1.85
Reggie Slater	14	14	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.12	1	-12	13	16.6	14.7	1.95	12.4	16.0	-3.61
Nazr Mohammed	33	32	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.13	1	-12	13	16.0	14.4	1.56	16.8	14.8	1.99
DerMarr Johnson	51	50	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.26	3	-14	17	15.7	14.2	1.53	15.1	16.0	-0.85
Mark Strickland	57	56	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.23	2	-13	15	15.0	15.0	0.01	15.3	15.8	-0.49
Hanno Mottola	48	48	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.07	-13	2	-15	13.8	16.2	-2.40	15.5	15.5	0.04
Jacque Vaughn	60	59	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.17	-5	-6	1	15.2	14.6	0.65	16.1	14.5	1.62
Toni Kukoc	38	38	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.06	-13	2	-15	15.0	15.0	-0.01	15.8	15.3	0.49
Jason Terry	79	79	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.07	-20	9	-29	14.3	18.1	-3.78	15.3	16.5	-1.23
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	64	62	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	0.27	-27	16	-43	15.1	14.8	0.30	14.9	16.7	-1.85

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allen Iverson	80	79	0.65	-0.15	0.80	-0.11	26	-15	41	15.3	16.5	-1.17	15.2	13.7	1.48
Eric Snow	73	71	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.07	18	-7	25	15.6	15.0	0.58	14.5	16.5	-2.04
Dikembe Mutombo	69	70	0.57	-0.07	0.65	-0.13	24	-13	37	14.9	17.2	-2.37	14.9	15.1	-0.14
Matt Harpring	48	50	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.03	11	0	11	15.7	15.3	0.34	16.0	13.9	2.11
Derrick Coleman	75	75	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.23	3	8	-5	16.2	12.6	3.60	15.3	13.7	1.62
Corie Blount	38	38	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.14	-1	12	-13	16.2	15.0	1.15	13.5	16.0	-2.51
Aaron McKie	60	60	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.27	-8	19	-27	15.2	16.0	-0.78	14.2	16.3	-2.02
Samuel Dalembert	2	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	12	-13	6.5	15.7	-9.20	21.3	14.8	6.56
Damone Brown	2	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	12	-13	6.5	15.7	-9.20	21.3	14.8	6.56
Vonteego Cummings	2	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	12	-13	6.5	15.7	-9.20	21.3	14.8	6.56
Raja Bell	21	23	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.31	-15	26	-41	17.0	15.1	1.87	14.5	15.1	-0.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.85,0.79,0.79,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.81,0.89,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 100, DEN 111	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.84,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.82,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.66,0.78,0.81,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
BKN 110, PHI 123	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.87,0.86,0.77,0.77,0.83,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.88,0.92,0.9,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.9%
NJN 74, WAS 94	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.57,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.9,0.81,0.78,0.83,0.79,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%