NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	103		Excitement	8.6 [156]		MVP	Reggie Miller (IND): +24.3%
Atlanta Hawks	100		Comeback	24.0 [48]		LVP	Nazr Mohammed (ATL): -45.8%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.24	0.12	0.13	-0.00	15	72%	0.30	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.08
Al Harrington	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.04	0.00	4	92%	0.13	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	64%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Travis Best	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.01	10	45%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jonathan Bender	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.16	-0.03	-0.14	-0.00	12	62%	-0.07	4	-0.10	8	75%	0.02
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.18	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.11	-0.06	0.01	8	39%	-0.05	4	-0.13	2	50%	-0.02
Jalen Rose	-0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.33,-0.33	-0.07	-0.26	-0.00	16	41%	-0.15	2	-0.17	2	100%	0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DerMarr Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.03	0.00	5	80%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	-0.00	0.01	14	82%	0.24	5	-0.15	5	100%	0.04
Hanno Mottola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dion Glover	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	11	46%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	5	33%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	5	25%	-0.06	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.26	-0.26	-0.09	-0.19	-0.02	27	48%	0.02	5	-0.28	4	50%	-0.02
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.15,-0.46	-0.46	-0.07	-0.38	0.01	14	43%	-0.43	1	-0.03	7	71%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.5	24.5	15.3	27.3	1.8	39.6	134.3
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +27.9%

IND +36.1%

ATL -11.8%

ATL -3.4%

IND +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	ATL	NBA	IND	ATL	NBA
this game	14.6	15.9	15.6	110.8	104.2	102.3
season	15.3	15.5		101.6	99.7
opponent	15.2	15.4		103.9	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.7	13.7	17.3	14.0	14.6
ATL	18.2	13.5	14.8	17.3	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Rose	69	71	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.42	12	-9	21	14.3	15.5	-1.15	16.4	14.2	2.18
Jermaine O'Neal	67	71	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.40	11	-8	19	14.1	15.9	-1.83	16.5	14.1	2.40
Jamaal Tinsley	68	71	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.46	5	-2	7	14.3	15.4	-1.15	16.1	15.1	0.99
Reggie Miller	72	76	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.52	0	3	-3	14.2	15.9	-1.62	15.8	15.9	-0.12
Jeff Foster	52	56	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.50	0	3	-3	15.0	14.0	0.99	16.6	14.7	1.89
Jonathan Bender	13	13	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.03	-2	5	-7	14.1	14.7	-0.61	13.3	16.3	-2.95
Travis Best	41	39	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	-0.10	-2	5	-7	15.7	13.7	2.02	15.2	16.3	-1.09
Austin Croshere	37	37	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	-0.09	-3	6	-9	14.6	14.6	0.03	15.0	16.4	-1.43
Al Harrington	46	46	-0.27	0.77	-1.03	-0.09	-6	9	-15	15.5	13.8	1.69	14.7	16.9	-2.27

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hanno Mottola	27	27	0.22	-0.72	0.93	0.10	4	-7	11	15.3	16.1	-0.72	15.3	14.3	1.03
Toni Kukoc	57	56	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.25	4	-7	11	16.6	14.8	1.78	14.9	14.2	0.69
Jacque Vaughn	52	50	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.22	1	-4	5	16.2	15.4	0.86	15.1	14.1	0.99
DerMarr Johnson	43	41	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.12	-3	0	-3	15.8	15.9	-0.03	14.1	15.0	-0.82
Dion Glover	49	48	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.23	-6	3	-9	14.4	17.4	-3.00	14.0	15.2	-1.24
Jason Terry	87	84	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.42	-5	2	-7	16.0	14.7	1.31	14.7	13.6	1.16
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	89	86	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.37	-7	4	-11	15.9	14.9	1.08	14.6	14.9	-0.28
Nazr Mohammed	76	73	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.56	-3	0	-3	15.9	15.5	0.45	14.4	15.5	-1.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.45,0.48,0.4,0.49,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.59,0.54,0.53,0.61,0.7,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.81,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.92,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.78,0.57,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 104, SAS 98	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.46,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.79,0.81,0.9,0.85,0.92,0.81,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.58,0	91.6%
LAL 87, SAS 85	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.73,0.76,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.77,0.85,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.84,0.86,0.93,0.95,0.86,0.85,0.57,0.42,0	91.0%
NJN 85, PHI 83	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.53,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.73,0.69,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.79,0.84,0.9,0.95,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.87,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.86,0.72,0.78,0.72,0	91.0%