NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	93		Excitement	6.5 [516]		MVP	Chris Whitney (WAS): +17.2%
Toronto Raptors	88		Comeback	4.4 [76]		LVP	Richard Hamilton (WAS): -15.9%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Whitney	0.17	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.09	0.08	-0.00	6	92%	0.22	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	4	69%	0.02	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Popeye Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jahidi White	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	10	38%	-0.01	1	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Hubert Davis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	8	45%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Michael Jordan	-0.09	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.12	-0.01	-0.04	21	44%	0.01	4	-0.09	6	83%	0.03
Tyrone Nesby	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	5	14%	-0.11	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Richard Hamilton	-0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.06	-0.07	0.03	20	53%	0.00	4	-0.16	11	82%	0.02

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.08	-0.06	0.02	17	61%	-0.00	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	15	52%	0.02	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.03	0.03	14	57%	0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Tracy Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.06	0.01	9	56%	0.02	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Keon Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	11	42%	-0.07	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.02
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	0.00	12	40%	-0.06	2	-0.07	6	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	1.7	29.0	16.5	25.5	2.6	30.0	131.1
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +25.6%

WAS +1.1%

WAS +20.1%

WAS +0.3%

WAS +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	TOR	NBA	WAS	TOR	NBA
this game	16.7	14.8	15.6	102.2	95.7	102.3
season	16.5	16.2		102.2	100.3
opponent	15.6	15.3		100.9	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	17.2	15.4	17.2	17.3	16.7
TOR	14.9	13.4	17.0	14.0	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Hamilton	80	81	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.37	4	1	3	16.2	20.3	-4.02	14.6	15.6	-1.01
Brendan Haywood	60	61	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.17	9	-4	13	16.5	17.2	-0.64	14.0	16.2	-2.13
Popeye Jones	44	44	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.20	7	-2	9	17.1	16.4	0.69	15.9	13.7	2.18
Chris Whitney	42	43	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.29	3	2	1	17.1	16.4	0.62	16.2	13.5	2.70
Michael Jordan	68	69	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.35	-1	6	-7	16.6	17.3	-0.70	14.9	14.3	0.59
Kwame Brown	37	38	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.02	5	0	5	17.5	16.2	1.36	14.8	14.7	0.07
Tyronn Lue	49	49	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.06	2	3	-1	16.4	17.1	-0.62	13.5	16.2	-2.70
Tyrone Nesby	32	31	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.06	5	0	5	16.4	16.9	-0.56	13.8	15.2	-1.42
Jahidi White	31	31	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.19	-4	9	-13	17.2	16.5	0.64	16.2	14.0	2.13
Hubert Davis	12	13	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.17	-5	10	-15	18.2	16.5	1.65	13.0	15.0	-2.04

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tracy Murray	8	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-10	15	10.7	15.1	-4.38	14.4	17.0	-2.54
Jerome Williams	23	20	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-4	3	13.1	15.3	-2.22	17.5	16.5	0.98
Chris Childs	12	12	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.09	-7	2	-9	15.9	14.6	1.34	13.9	17.2	-3.25
Dell Curry	11	11	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.06	-6	1	-7	15.9	14.6	1.32	15.1	17.0	-1.87
Antonio Davis	70	68	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.18	-1	-4	3	15.0	14.0	1.05	17.0	15.9	1.10
Hakeem Olajuwon	52	53	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.28	-2	-3	1	16.2	12.9	3.32	17.2	16.1	1.04
Morris Peterson	71	70	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.41	2	-7	9	14.5	15.6	-1.06	17.0	15.9	1.14
Alvin Williams	81	80	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.41	1	-6	7	14.6	15.9	-1.32	17.0	15.1	1.87
Vince Carter	84	84	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.29	-3	-2	-1	15.0	12.6	2.33	16.4	21.1	-4.77
Keon Clark	48	48	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.12	-13	8	-21	14.0	15.6	-1.57	16.9	16.5	0.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.74,0.82,0.76,0.75,0.72,0.72,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.4,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.16,0.29,0.35,0.22,0.14,0.01,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 88, BOS 79	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.78,0.79,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.75,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.67,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.34,0.29,0.38,0.29,0.26,0.29,0.13,0.08,0.01,0,0,0	92.7%
CHI 103, OKC 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.53,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.48,0.4,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.01,0,0.04,0	92.5%
CHA 91, NJN 83	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.7,0.59,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.52,0.43,0.35,0.29,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.38,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.15,0.21,0.08,0.22,0.1,0.01,0.01,0,0	92.5%