inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Minnesota Timberwolves 117 Excitement6.0 [607] MVPMichael Finley (DAL): +20.3%
Dallas Mavericks 125 Comeback2.5 [611] LVPTerrell Brandon (MIN): -17.5%


Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Wally Szczerbiak0.110,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.110.130.010.041573%0.121-0.02771%-0.01
Joe Smith0.050,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.030.01-0.011062%0.071-0.02475%0.01
Kevin Garnett0.040,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.040.060.010.031368%0.092-0.05887%0.02
Rasho Nesterovic0.030,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.000.040.011155%0.102-0.0700%0.00
Sam Mitchell0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Anthony Peeler0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.04-0.010.01961%0.041-0.0300%0.00
Chauncey Billups-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.00555%0.021-0.021100%0.01
Gary Trent-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.02-0.020.001157%0.031-0.031100%0.01
Terrell Brandon-0.180,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18-0.13-0.040.011625%-0.141-0.0300%0.00

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Michael Finley0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.20.200.110.07-0.021868%0.252-0.05887%0.02
Tim Hardaway0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.110.03-0.001073%0.1400.00250%-0.00
Eduardo Najera0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.060.01-0.00483%0.0700.004100%0.02
Juwan Howard0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.040.04-0.010.01-0.041068%0.094-0.05887%0.02
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.00-0.001557%0.061-0.02771%0.01
Steve Nash0,0,0,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.050.000.031766%0.144-0.124100%0.02
Adrian Griffin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.000.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Evan Eschmeyer0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.01420%-0.061-0.012100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.02.528.216.825.42.733.5135.0
league avg46.42.228.514.624.52.330.0149.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +29.4%
DAL +10.9%
DAL +0.2%
DAL +3.1%
DAL +6.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMINDALNBAMINDALNBA
this game14.415.115.6119.4128.9102.3
season15.014.8106.7109.6
opponent15.516.1105.8103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIN13.315.016.313.014.4
DAL14.313.214.318.915.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Sam Mitchell1010-0.02-0.480.450.03-2-6416.114.21.8715.415.10.31
Rasho Nesterovic4848-0.13-0.370.23-0.10-1-7613.115.7-2.6614.216.0-1.73
Chauncey Billups2726-0.17-0.330.17-0.02-5-3-215.514.01.5216.914.52.41
Joe Smith7171-0.26-0.24-0.03-0.18-3-5214.813.41.4013.818.8-4.98
Anthony Peeler4142-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.21-3-5214.314.5-0.2216.014.41.63
Terrell Brandon7171-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.25-3-5214.015.5-1.5214.516.9-2.41
Gary Trent4947-0.37-0.13-0.23-0.10-91-1015.713.12.5516.114.21.82
Kevin Garnett8280-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.24-5-3-214.116.0-1.8915.712.23.57
Wally Szczerbiak9190-0.520.02-0.55-0.26-91-1014.316.0-1.7015.115.00.13

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Juwan Howard86870.59-0.090.690.2711-31415.413.12.2914.613.11.50
Dirk Nowitzki87880.50-0.000.500.2110-21215.611.14.4914.315.7-1.43
Michael Finley93930.450.050.400.2280815.310.74.5614.414.40.02
Steve Nash79810.350.150.210.2735-214.916.2-1.2814.016.6-2.70
Tim Hardaway42390.330.170.150.0980815.914.51.4215.213.91.35
Evan Eschmeyer40400.230.27-0.03-0.0080814.415.6-1.1914.814.20.60
Eduardo Najera31330.120.38-0.260.1208-814.215.6-1.4114.914.20.69
Adrian Griffin2729-0.080.58-0.660.15-816-2413.715.7-1.9213.614.8-1.23


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.32,0.37,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.77,0.76,0.77,0.71,0.71,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MEM 83, WAS 930.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.7,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.67,0.72,0.9,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,194.5%
ORL 93, WAS 1040.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,194.3%
PHX 92, POR 1000.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.37,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.45,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.69,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.91,0.88,0.95,0.97,0.98,1,0.99,194.3%