NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	74		Excitement	2.1 [1236]		MVP	Mike Miller (ORL): +13.4%
Orlando Magic	102		Comeback	1.0 [1257]		LVP	Ron Mercer (CHI): -9.8%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Fizer	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.10	11	46%	0.04	3	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Eddy Curry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	4	42%	0.00	0	0.00	4	25%	0.00
Brad Miller	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	6	57%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
A.J. Guyton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	2	50%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	6	50%	0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	-0.01	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	7	37%	-0.01	2	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	5	60%	0.01	4	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anthony	-0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	8	56%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Charles Oakley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	2	0%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	7	31%	-0.05	1	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
Ron Mercer	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.14	0.00	-0.04	14	47%	-0.03	6	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Miller	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.14	0.00	0.01	11	84%	0.15	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.00
Steven Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	0.00	0.04	9	77%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.10	0.01	-0.14	8	44%	0.07	5	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.02	10	50%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Horace Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.00	0.02	6	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Don Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	70%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	11	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.01
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	11	46%	0.04	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	2	0%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	0.3	24.0	15.7	24.2	2.5	24.7	117.1
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +40.8%

ORL +3.9%

CHI -5.8%

ORL +10.3%

ORL +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	ORL	NBA	CHI	ORL	NBA
this game	16.7	14.4	15.6	79.6	110.9	102.3
season	15.6	14.6		96.3	104.6
opponent	15.8	15.6		103.3	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	19.3	19.4	15.1	13.8	16.7
ORL	11.5	17.5	15.5	13.8	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
A.J. Guyton	17	17	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.35	12	-40	52	12.0	17.8	-5.79	14.6	14.3	0.31
Tyson Chandler	37	37	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.08	-3	-25	22	14.4	18.3	-3.91	14.4	14.4	0.07
Eddy Curry	23	23	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.35	11	-39	50	12.6	18.1	-5.53	14.2	14.5	-0.29
Kevin Ollie	26	25	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.33	-15	-13	-2	19.0	15.8	3.20	15.2	14.1	1.17
Fred Hoiberg	43	42	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.03	-3	-25	22	16.3	17.1	-0.88	15.0	13.9	1.12
Marcus Fizer	62	62	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.12	-14	-14	0	16.5	17.2	-0.65	14.6	14.0	0.63
Brad Miller	42	41	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.17	-16	-12	-4	17.7	15.9	1.84	15.3	13.6	1.67
Charles Oakley	39	38	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.28	-22	-6	-16	18.6	15.4	3.25	13.3	15.2	-1.92
Greg Anthony	50	50	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.35	-25	-3	-22	17.1	16.3	0.88	13.9	15.0	-1.12
Trenton Hassell	56	55	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.36	-26	-2	-24	17.6	15.5	2.07	13.7	15.4	-1.65
Ron Mercer	70	70	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.66	-39	11	-50	17.5	14.3	3.17	14.5	14.1	0.39

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Miller	64	66	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.51	32	-4	36	14.1	15.1	-0.98	17.4	15.1	2.28
Darrell Armstrong	49	50	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.37	26	2	24	13.8	15.0	-1.19	18.3	15.0	3.31
Tracy McGrady	50	51	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.41	27	1	26	14.0	14.9	-0.86	18.4	14.7	3.63
Horace Grant	47	49	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.33	24	4	20	14.1	14.7	-0.63	18.2	15.0	3.20
Steven Hunter	41	42	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.25	18	10	8	14.3	14.5	-0.18	18.3	15.5	2.79
Troy Hudson	49	47	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.03	5	23	-18	15.1	13.6	1.48	15.1	18.4	-3.24
Pat Garrity	50	51	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.03	7	21	-14	14.5	14.3	0.15	15.5	18.3	-2.79
Patrick Ewing	18	17	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.00	6	22	-16	16.7	13.8	2.90	17.5	16.6	0.98
Jud Buechler	44	44	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.06	2	26	-24	15.2	13.7	1.52	15.3	18.0	-2.77
Don Reid	27	27	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.00	0	28	-28	13.3	14.8	-1.50	13.5	18.1	-4.58
Andrew DeClercq	21	21	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	35	-42	14.3	14.4	-0.08	13.7	17.6	-3.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.74,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 88, SAS 123	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.9%
OKC 87, LAL 111	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
CHI 80, BOS 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%