NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	85		Excitement	6.0 [606]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +18.1%
Los Angeles Lakers	104		Comeback	4.6 [593]		LVP	Glenn Robinson (MIL): -16.8%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Thomas	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.10	0.04	-0.03	9	94%	0.22	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.02	0.00	15	68%	0.13	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Rafer Alston	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.06	4	37%	0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Foster	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Caffey	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Redd	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	4	60%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	-0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	1	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ray Allen	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	14	46%	-0.01	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	12	28%	-0.09	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.10	-0.07	-0.00	17	33%	-0.13	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.08	0.08	-0.02	23	59%	0.19	1	-0.01	10	80%	0.00
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	11	54%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Rick Fox	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	7	44%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mitch Richmond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brian Shaw	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Slava Medvedenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	0.02	6	56%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	8	31%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	11	27%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.04	0.01	14	49%	-0.09	3	-0.07	11	45%	-0.10

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.6	27.4	18.7	26.2	2.7	29.3	130.9
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +9.8%

LAL +6.5%

LAL +35.3%

LAL +4.2%

MIL -5.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	LAL	NBA	MIL	LAL	NBA
this game	14.7	17.5	15.6	94.4	116.9	102.3
season	15.3	15.3		104.7	106.9
opponent	15.4	16.0		99.8	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.8	14.5	14.9	14.8	14.7
LAL	19.5	14.9	18.7	17.1	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rafer Alston	21	19	0.14	-0.64	0.78	0.14	0	-19	19	13.7	15.0	-1.38	18.3	17.3	1.01
Joel Przybilla	22	22	0.12	-0.62	0.73	0.09	1	-20	21	16.8	14.1	2.71	19.7	16.7	2.94
Greg Foster	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-16	13	12.4	14.9	-2.46	18.2	17.4	0.77
Jason Caffey	13	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.20	-7	-12	5	14.1	14.8	-0.75	15.9	17.7	-1.81
Michael Redd	35	34	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.15	-13	-6	-7	13.6	15.4	-1.79	17.1	17.7	-0.67
Tim Thomas	45	44	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.10	-6	-13	7	13.2	16.3	-3.13	18.0	17.0	1.00
Sam Cassell	64	66	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.01	-13	-6	-7	15.0	14.0	1.07	17.3	18.0	-0.65
Ray Allen	75	74	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.16	-10	-9	-1	14.5	16.1	-1.61	17.8	15.9	1.93
Glenn Robinson	68	69	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.08	-13	-6	-7	15.0	13.8	1.26	17.4	17.7	-0.36
Ervin Johnson	27	25	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.03	-17	-2	-15	16.2	14.1	2.09	14.9	18.5	-3.60
Anthony Mason	75	74	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.06	-14	-5	-9	15.3	11.7	3.67	17.5	17.3	0.17

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Fisher	55	57	0.67	-0.17	0.84	-0.06	25	-6	31	16.1	19.7	-3.66	14.2	15.7	-1.54
Devean George	49	50	0.62	-0.12	0.75	-0.05	23	-4	27	16.2	19.1	-2.91	14.2	15.4	-1.26
Kobe Bryant	72	72	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.11	14	5	9	17.9	15.5	2.40	14.7	14.7	0.00
Robert Horry	57	57	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.09	12	7	5	16.8	18.6	-1.80	13.9	16.2	-2.30
Shaquille O'Neal	62	63	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.09	15	4	11	17.0	18.6	-1.66	15.7	12.4	3.25
Samaki Walker	47	47	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.02	3	16	-13	18.7	16.1	2.52	15.4	13.9	1.52
Brian Shaw	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	16	-13	19.0	17.4	1.64	12.2	14.9	-2.74
Mark Madsen	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	16	-13	18.2	17.4	0.77	12.4	14.9	-2.46
Slava Medvedenko	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	16	-13	18.2	17.4	0.77	12.4	14.9	-2.46
Mitch Richmond	11	12	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.08	2	17	-15	13.6	18.0	-4.38	16.0	14.5	1.47
Rick Fox	42	43	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	21	-23	19.1	16.0	3.12	14.8	14.6	0.18
Lindsey Hunter	34	33	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.01	-6	25	-31	19.7	16.1	3.66	15.7	14.2	1.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.23,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.24,0.26,0.27,0.33,0.49,0.41,0.28,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.47,0.63,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.75,0.89,0.88,0.96,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 93, WAS 102	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.37,0.38,0.33,0.38,0.3,0.3,0.23,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.33,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.97,1,1,1	93.0%
MIN 95, POR 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.34,0.24,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.62,0.62,0.82,0.89,0.88,0.83,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.97,1,1	92.9%
BKN 96, NYK 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.32,0.37,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.22,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.39,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.49,0.36,0.33,0.23,0.23,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.7,0.79,0.76,0.91,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	92.8%