NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	103		Excitement	4.6 [873]		MVP	Dion Glover (ATL): +12.9%
Atlanta Hawks	112		Comeback	1.0 [577]		LVP	Tony Battie (BOS): -5.6%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antoine Walker	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.03	-0.00	18	57%	0.12	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Milt Palacio	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.03	0.01	9	83%	0.15	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.03	0.03	12	61%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Paul Pierce	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.11	-0.03	0.08	21	66%	0.07	3	-0.08	8	87%	0.01
Kenny Anderson	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	9	47%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	7	14%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	-0.04	3	20%	-0.05	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dion Glover	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.14	-0.01	0.00	16	75%	0.19	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.05	-0.02	15	65%	0.16	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	-0.00	0.01	6	93%	0.09	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.02	-0.02	6	59%	0.05	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.01
Hanno Mottola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	17	64%	0.11	6	-0.12	11	64%	0.00
Cal Bowdler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emanual Davis	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	7	43%	0.02	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.4	2.4	25.8	15.7	21.4	2.3	34.7	122.7
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +39.0%

ATL +3.4%

ATL +9.9%

BOS -7.2%

ATL +4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	ATL	NBA	BOS	ATL	NBA
this game	14.9	15.3	15.6	107.3	117.9	102.3
season	15.0	15.5		100.9	99.7
opponent	15.2	15.7		103.9	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	16.2	14.3	14.1	15.0	14.9
ATL	13.8	15.1	16.6	15.7	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Blount	19	18	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-9	9	12.5	15.5	-2.98	14.9	15.4	-0.43
Walter McCarty	1	0	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.03	-2	-7	5	12.0	14.9	-2.89	0.0	15.3	-15.29
Milt Palacio	38	36	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.06	0	-9	9	12.6	16.3	-3.70	15.0	15.5	-0.47
Vitaly Potapenko	24	24	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.09	0	-9	9	15.0	14.8	0.12	16.6	14.9	1.72
Joe Johnson	47	48	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.04	-2	-7	5	14.9	14.9	-0.03	15.6	15.0	0.58
Tony Battie	51	51	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.10	-9	0	-9	16.5	13.1	3.38	15.4	15.1	0.30
Erick Strickland	56	55	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.19	-8	-1	-7	14.1	15.9	-1.73	14.7	16.1	-1.48
Kenny Anderson	58	59	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.18	-9	0	-9	16.3	12.6	3.70	15.5	15.0	0.47
Paul Pierce	94	92	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.24	-8	-1	-7	14.9	11.5	3.44	15.3	16.3	-1.07
Antoine Walker	92	92	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.28	-7	-2	-5	14.9	15.0	-0.14	15.2	18.0	-2.79

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	84	85	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.21	10	-1	11	15.0	17.8	-2.85	14.7	16.1	-1.39
Toni Kukoc	52	52	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.23	8	1	7	15.7	14.8	0.92	14.9	14.8	0.04
Jason Terry	77	78	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.22	5	4	1	15.1	16.0	-0.87	14.7	15.6	-0.92
Hanno Mottola	35	34	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.22	4	5	-1	16.3	14.7	1.66	15.3	14.6	0.71
Emanual Davis	69	70	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.12	5	4	1	15.0	16.0	-0.92	15.1	14.2	0.97
Jacque Vaughn	26	26	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.11	4	5	-1	16.0	15.0	0.92	14.2	15.1	-0.97
Dion Glover	61	62	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.02	5	4	1	15.1	15.6	-0.41	15.1	14.5	0.56
Nazr Mohammed	63	65	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.01	5	4	1	15.2	15.4	-0.22	15.1	14.4	0.75
Cal Bowdler	8	8	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	10	-11	14.7	15.3	-0.59	12.6	15.1	-2.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.7,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.82,0.77,0.83,0.69,0.77,0.7,0.78,0.66,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.88,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 89, TOR 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.81,0.8,0.79,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.84,0.86,0.83,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.72,0.74,0.64,0.58,0.73,0.82,0.83,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%
NYK 92, DET 112	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.82,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.69,0.71,0.65,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.84,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.8,0.74,0.72,0.79,0.7,0.72,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%
IND 87, LAL 104	0.5,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.89,0.86,0.82,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.87,0.85,0.82,0.76,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.9,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.92,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%