NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	82		Excitement	7.6 [304]		MVP	Allan Houston (NYK): +20.1%
New York Knicks	89		Comeback	3.1 [269]		LVP	Bonzi Wells (POR): -32.6%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dale Davis	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.03	0.00	9	74%	0.12	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.03
Steve Kerr	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	5	60%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Boumtje-Boumtje	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Barkley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	16	38%	-0.07	0	0.00	5	80%	0.02
Ruben Patterson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.08	-0.01	7	47%	-0.05	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	-0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.2,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.09	-0.20	-0.01	15	44%	-0.21	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.01
Derek Anderson	-0.30	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.3,-0.3	-0.15	-0.16	-0.01	18	39%	-0.22	3	-0.09	8	87%	0.01
Bonzi Wells	-0.33	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.24,-0.27,-0.27,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.33	-0.21	-0.11	0.00	15	18%	-0.27	2	-0.06	3	0%	-0.07

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allan Houston	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.13,0.22,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.06	0.15	0.01	13	70%	0.26	2	-0.05	7	86%	-0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.06	-0.01	5	58%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.04	0.01	8	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Kurt Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	9	44%	0.00	2	-0.05	7	100%	0.04
Mark Jackson	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	9	40%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	9	57%	0.02	3	-0.12	5	40%	-0.08
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	4	10%	-0.10	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	14	32%	-0.09	1	-0.04	3	67%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.4	28.9	17.4	26.5	2.5	38.4	143.4
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +86.1%

POR -0.4%

POR -35.2%

POR -1.8%

NYK +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	NYK	NBA	POR	NYK	NBA
this game	17.6	15.4	15.6	94.3	101.1	102.3
season	16.0	15.9		105.0	99.6
opponent	15.6	15.6		103.9	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	18.9	17.2	14.8	19.8	17.6
NYK	15.4	15.5	16.5	13.9	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Kemp	15	14	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.07	3	-10	13	15.2	18.1	-2.87	13.9	15.6	-1.78
Ruben Boumtje-Boumtje	4	4	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-7	7	27.2	17.1	10.14	15.7	15.3	0.42
Steve Kerr	23	24	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.05	0	-7	7	18.5	17.2	1.29	14.2	15.8	-1.52
Zach Randolph	5	6	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.04	-4	-3	-1	28.6	16.9	11.70	12.5	15.6	-3.06
Erick Barkley	8	8	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.11	-10	3	-13	31.1	16.2	14.92	16.1	15.3	0.85
Ruben Patterson	30	31	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.08	-4	-3	-1	19.0	16.8	2.12	17.0	14.5	2.49
Rasheed Wallace	60	61	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.32	1	-8	9	16.7	19.5	-2.82	15.7	14.7	0.99
Scottie Pippen	79	80	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.41	3	-10	13	16.2	31.1	-14.92	15.3	16.1	-0.85
Dale Davis	63	62	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.19	-5	-2	-3	17.7	17.1	0.62	16.1	13.6	2.47
Derek Anderson	69	70	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.24	-9	2	-11	16.8	20.6	-3.76	14.6	18.2	-3.54
Bonzi Wells	79	80	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.25	-10	3	-13	17.2	20.9	-3.63	15.3	15.4	-0.02

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Latrell Sprewell	74	72	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.30	14	-7	21	15.1	16.4	-1.28	17.3	18.9	-1.56
Howard Eisley	29	28	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.33	9	-2	11	13.6	16.2	-2.63	19.3	16.8	2.52
Kurt Thomas	78	76	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.31	5	2	3	15.7	12.6	3.11	17.6	17.3	0.35
Clar. Weatherspoon	58	58	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.28	5	2	3	16.3	13.4	2.91	17.0	18.7	-1.67
Allan Houston	65	65	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.27	5	2	3	15.6	14.7	0.83	17.2	18.6	-1.36
Mark Jackson	41	40	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	4	-1	16.3	14.5	1.76	16.1	18.8	-2.64
Othella Harrington	35	35	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	5	-3	14.7	15.8	-1.11	19.3	16.4	2.91
Shandon Anderson	42	41	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.00	-3	10	-13	13.9	16.7	-2.77	17.8	17.4	0.34
Charlie Ward	18	20	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.02	-5	12	-17	16.1	15.2	0.88	18.1	17.4	0.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.58,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.48,0.41,0.32,0.37,0.33,0.25,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.52,0.47,0.31,0.47,0.39,0.44,0.63,0.85,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 97, BKN 102	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.79,0.65,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.32,0.31,0.41,0.54,0.45,0.63,0.91,0.91,1	91.5%
HOU 97, CHH 102	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.72,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.72,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.52,0.32,0.26,0.34,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.9,0.9,1	91.4%
SEA 105, SAC 111	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.72,0.7,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.48,0.55,0.45,0.31,0.37,0.22,0.25,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.47,0.27,0.31,0.59,0.67,0.62,0.71,0.91,0.99,1	91.2%