inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 91 Excitement4.7 [858] MVPMike Penberthy (LAL): +5.5%
Los Angeles Lakers 108 Comeback1.6 [1224] LVPRobert Pack (DEN): -16.1%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Raef LaFrentz0.030,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.04-0.010.001663%0.073-0.043100%0.01
Ryan Bowen0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.00-0.00367%0.0300.0000%0.00
Dan McClintock-0.030,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.000.02650%-0.0300.0040%-0.06
James Posey-0.030,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.01333%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Terry Davis-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.08-0.00-0.02242%-0.041-0.02837%-0.04
Voshon Lenard-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.070.00-0.010.061259%-0.032-0.041090%-0.00
Anthony Goldwire-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.11-0.02-0.051943%0.014-0.09475%-0.01
George McCloud-0.140,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.16-0.03-0.051929%-0.111-0.034100%0.01
Robert Pack-0.160,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.15-0.03-0.0140%-0.084-0.0800%0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mike Penberthy0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.06-0.000.02-0.04362%0.071-0.012100%0.01
Greg Foster0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.00-0.02658%0.0500.0000%0.00
Kobe Bryant0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.05-0.01-0.001367%0.072-0.041385%0.03
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.08-0.000.041965%0.072-0.0413100%0.05
Slava Medvedenko0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00-0.02856%0.021-0.0020%-0.01
Brian Shaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.01-0.000.03560%-0.011-0.0100%0.00
Mark Madsen0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.080.00-0.05729%-0.012-0.0200%0.00
Devean George0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.01433%-0.0610.004100%0.00
Robert Horry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.000.00729%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Rick Fox0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.02-0.02750%0.034-0.1000%0.00
Derek Fisher0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.12-0.01-0.03714%-0.062-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.52.431.916.426.52.632.6138.9
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.1139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +15.6%
LAL +22.6%
LAL +7.2%
LAL +3.6%
LAL +1.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENLALNBADENLALNBA
this game15.713.515.591.9110.2100.9
season15.215.6101.4106.8
opponent15.215.2101.8104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN14.418.017.313.315.7
LAL13.813.311.515.613.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
James Posey21220.05-0.550.600.021-181913.816.2-2.3814.313.31.00
Voshon Lenard6059-0.11-0.390.28-0.08-1-161514.817.1-2.2915.211.14.14
Anthony Goldwire7271-0.14-0.360.23-0.05-3-141115.217.0-1.8113.912.51.41
Dan McClintock4647-0.26-0.24-0.010.07-11-6-516.115.40.7112.814.2-1.41
Terry Davis5553-0.28-0.22-0.060.02-10-7-315.216.3-1.1414.212.71.49
Robert Pack2727-0.36-0.14-0.230.05-14-3-1117.015.21.8112.513.9-1.41
Raef LaFrentz7879-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.21-6-11516.313.33.0513.513.7-0.18
George McCloud8786-0.50-0.00-0.490.03-181-1915.517.3-1.8713.216.0-2.80
Ryan Bowen4946-0.530.03-0.560.15-236-2917.214.22.9611.715.2-3.44

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Derek Fisher69680.50-0.000.50-0.2024-73113.613.50.0816.114.91.19
Shaquille O'Neal71680.420.080.35-0.1018-11912.915.3-2.3716.214.61.61
Kobe Bryant69680.290.210.070.11611-512.615.9-3.3516.514.02.50
Robert Horry41420.260.240.02-0.3019-22115.112.42.7615.515.8-0.24
Rick Fox55540.250.250.000.08611-513.213.9-0.6915.515.9-0.33
Devean George27290.220.28-0.06-0.0189-113.113.7-0.5415.115.9-0.83
Brian Shaw41430.210.29-0.09-0.12116515.612.13.5614.916.3-1.34
Mark Madsen45460.160.34-0.190.27-421-2512.814.2-1.3715.216.1-0.88
Slava Medvedenko24260.080.42-0.330.03215-1312.613.8-1.2114.816.0-1.14
Greg Foster15160.080.42-0.350.10-118-1915.913.12.8216.615.51.12
Mike Penberthy33350.030.47-0.430.15-421-2513.813.40.4215.116.0-0.93


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.54,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.6,0.72,0.78,0.87,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.9,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.98,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 104, LAC 1140.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.66,0.72,0.82,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.6%
NYK 113, IND 1210.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.54,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.8,0.93,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.87,0.87,0.94,0.92,0.88,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,195.3%
GSW 72, DET 1010.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.69,0.77,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.3%