NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	95		Excitement	3.8 [1020]		MVP	Dikembe Mutombo (PHI): +9.4%
Philadelphia 76ers	108		Comeback	1.0 [1094]		LVP	Antoine Walker (BOS): -4.9%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vitaly Potapenko	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	9	63%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Walter McCarty	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	0.00	0.05	5	80%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Herren	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryant Stith	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	37%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	6	57%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Tony Battie	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	5	57%	0.02	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Paul Pierce	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	20	51%	0.02	2	-0.05	5	60%	0.00
Antoine Walker	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	24	53%	0.04	5	-0.09	1	0%	-0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.01	4	86%	0.09	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.02	7	72%	0.08	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.01	0.04	11	67%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	7	71%	0.09	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.01	-0.04	33	47%	0.04	2	-0.04	12	83%	0.02
Todd MacCulloch	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Geiger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	1	75%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	12	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.01	7	44%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	1.8	25.4	15.3	26.5	1.8	31.3	127.6
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +13.6%

PHI +8.0%

PHI +18.1%

PHI +7.9%

PHI +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	PHI	NBA	BOS	PHI	NBA
this game	15.9	16.4	15.5	106.7	121.3	100.9
season	15.1	15.7		99.7	101.4
opponent	15.5	15.4		97.1	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.3	16.3	16.3	17.0	15.9
PHI	15.7	16.4	15.0	19.0	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adrian Griffin	3	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-10	7	10.0	16.2	-6.15	6.0	16.8	-10.78
Walter McCarty	12	13	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.10	3	-16	19	14.3	16.2	-1.86	18.1	16.1	1.95
Tony Battie	14	14	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-11	9	16.6	15.8	0.74	15.8	16.5	-0.75
Mark Blount	29	29	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.02	-4	-9	5	15.6	16.1	-0.58	16.2	16.5	-0.26
Chris Herren	28	29	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.06	-8	-5	-3	16.4	15.7	0.66	15.5	16.8	-1.33
Eric Williams	28	29	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.05	-9	-4	-5	17.1	15.4	1.65	15.0	17.1	-2.15
Vitaly Potapenko	41	39	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.05	-9	-4	-5	16.3	15.6	0.69	16.1	16.7	-0.65
Milt Palacio	61	60	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.18	-5	-8	3	15.7	16.4	-0.66	16.8	15.5	1.33
Bryant Stith	67	67	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.24	-3	-10	7	16.1	15.6	0.47	17.2	14.0	3.15
Paul Pierce	80	79	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.13	-11	-2	-9	15.7	18.3	-2.66	16.7	14.3	2.38
Antoine Walker	82	83	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.07	-14	1	-15	16.0	15.0	1.02	16.5	15.3	1.16

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron McKie	54	55	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.04	15	-2	17	15.7	17.5	-1.86	16.4	15.3	1.10
Dikembe Mutombo	64	64	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.17	10	3	7	16.6	16.0	0.58	16.0	15.8	0.14
Allen Iverson	72	72	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.16	10	3	7	16.8	14.7	2.11	15.6	17.5	-1.89
George Lynch	54	54	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.00	12	1	11	16.3	16.7	-0.40	16.7	14.7	1.98
Eric Snow	69	70	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.27	2	11	-9	17.0	14.4	2.60	15.7	16.7	-0.94
Tyrone Hill	70	68	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.31	-2	15	-17	17.7	11.7	6.02	16.1	15.4	0.67
Jumaine Jones	29	30	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.12	11	2	9	14.3	17.4	-3.07	16.3	15.8	0.49
Matt Geiger	22	22	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	13	-13	17.4	16.1	1.26	16.6	15.7	0.92
Todd MacCulloch	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	9	-5	1.5	16.8	-15.26	11.0	16.1	-5.06
Raja Bell	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	9	-5	1.5	16.8	-15.26	11.0	16.1	-5.06
Kevin Ollie	7	6	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	-0.02	-1	14	-15	13.1	16.7	-3.55	8.7	16.5	-7.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.79,0.76,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 77, LAC 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.77,0.85,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
ATL 69, CHI 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.72,0.64,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.73,0.67,0.71,0.83,0.81,0.89,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
NYK 100, BOS 128	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.65,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.86,0.82,0.82,0.87,0.79,0.84,0.83,0.79,0.82,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%