NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	104		Excitement	7.8 [256]		MVP	Brian Shaw (LAL): +24.0%
Minnesota Timberwolves	99		Comeback	4.7 [181]		LVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): -34.0%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Shaw	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.22,0.24,0.24	0.05	0.19	-0.00	11	71%	0.30	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Mark Madsen	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Horace Grant	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	11	57%	0.05	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Shaquille O'Neal	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.05	0.01	24	57%	0.14	4	-0.13	12	67%	-0.05
Robert Horry	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.04	-0.01	15	58%	0.07	2	-0.07	3	67%	0.02
Devean George	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.02	-0.02	9	43%	-0.01	1	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Rick Fox	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	9	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mike Penberthy	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.03	-0.01	10	63%	0.10	0	0.00	7	86%	0.02
LaPhonso Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08	0.08	0.13	-0.01	0.05	7	106%	0.15	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.06	-0.00	2	100%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dean Garrett	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.02	0.08	-0.01	4	60%	0.12	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	4	83%	0.08	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Felipe Lopez	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	5	60%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Slater	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	3	44%	-0.02	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Terrell Brandon	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.07	-0.02	20	50%	-0.02	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.02
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.22,-0.28,-0.28,-0.34	-0.34	-0.22	-0.17	-0.05	14	34%	-0.09	7	-0.25	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.5	30.2	17.8	27.4	2.0	45.2	151.2
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +28.6%

MIN -16.2%

LAL +6.6%

LAL +30.2%

LAL +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	MIN	NBA	LAL	MIN	NBA
this game	16.5	13.9	15.5	108.3	106.5	100.9
season	15.6	15.0		106.8	102.9
opponent	15.9	15.2		101.7	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	19.4	17.9	15.9	13.5	16.5
MIN	13.4	13.4	14.0	14.8	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devean George	34	34	0.88	-0.38	1.26	0.38	17	-12	29	15.0	17.4	-2.35	14.9	13.4	1.53
Derek Fisher	85	81	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.32	14	-9	23	16.4	17.1	-0.64	13.7	15.2	-1.53
Brian Shaw	85	83	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.43	6	-1	7	15.9	21.3	-5.37	14.1	12.0	2.14
Shaquille O'Neal	85	81	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.39	7	-2	9	15.8	21.8	-5.98	14.0	13.2	0.86
Robert Horry	41	41	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.34	1	4	-3	14.8	17.8	-3.04	14.3	13.6	0.76
Horace Grant	56	54	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.02	5	0	5	17.9	14.6	3.34	13.6	14.3	-0.72
Mark Madsen	9	9	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.01	-3	8	-11	24.1	15.7	8.38	12.8	14.0	-1.26
Rick Fox	67	64	-0.35	0.85	-1.19	-0.05	-10	15	-25	17.8	13.7	4.11	13.1	15.8	-2.73
Mike Penberthy	18	18	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	-0.01	-12	17	-29	17.1	16.4	0.73	14.9	13.7	1.28

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chauncey Billups	19	21	0.29	-0.79	1.07	0.02	9	-14	23	12.3	14.3	-2.07	19.2	15.8	3.42
LaPhonso Ellis	39	41	0.27	-0.77	1.03	-0.03	10	-15	25	13.2	14.4	-1.18	14.7	17.9	-3.17
Sam Mitchell	27	30	0.23	-0.73	0.96	0.08	5	-10	15	13.8	14.0	-0.14	17.1	16.2	0.89
Reggie Slater	24	24	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.04	3	-8	11	14.7	13.6	1.13	19.7	15.5	4.25
Rasho Nesterovic	2	2	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.00	1	-6	7	5.5	14.1	-8.60	21.0	16.4	4.57
Felipe Lopez	34	36	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.02	-8	3	-11	13.5	14.2	-0.70	16.5	16.5	-0.03
Anthony Peeler	59	60	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.37	3	-8	11	14.2	13.5	0.70	16.5	16.5	0.03
Dean Garrett	44	45	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.30	-6	1	-7	14.1	13.7	0.42	16.8	16.3	0.48
Wally Szczerbiak	66	67	-0.74	0.24	-0.97	-0.44	-10	5	-15	14.0	13.8	0.14	16.0	17.7	-1.63
Terrell Brandon	74	75	-0.79	0.29	-1.07	-0.38	-14	9	-23	14.3	12.3	2.07	15.8	19.2	-3.42
Kevin Garnett	77	79	-0.86	0.36	-1.21	-0.33	-18	13	-31	14.1	13.1	1.03	16.4	17.0	-0.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.56,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.67,0.55,0.48,0.38,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.75,0.71,0.63,0.69,0.81,0.73,0.61,0.36,0.09,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 103, LAC 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.69,0.69,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.35,0.41,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.76,0.66,0.67,0.47,0.36,0.16,0.28,0	91.6%
POR 103, MIL 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.63,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.62,0.76,0.77,0.9,0.85,0.73,0.53,0.46,0.06,0.26,0	91.1%
UTA 106, ATL 96	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.52,0.42,0.34,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.75,0.62,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.47,0.44,0.11,0,0,0	90.9%