NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	86		Excitement	2.0 [1238]		MVP	Kenny Thomas (HOU): +10.0%
Houston Rockets	109		Comeback	1.2 [683]		LVP	Jacque Vaughn (UTA): -9.5%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donyell Marshall	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	-0.00	-0.04	12	63%	0.06	4	-0.03	3	33%	-0.01
John Starks	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	5	83%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Karl Malone	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	14	45%	0.01	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Bryon Russell	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Scott Padgett	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
John Crotty	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Manning	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	6	57%	-0.00	3	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Quincy Lewis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	8	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	4	0%	-0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	3	67%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Olden Polynice	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	0.03	8	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.00	0.02	13	36%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.13	0.00	0.03	9	89%	0.10	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Steve Francis	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.07	0.03	0.02	14	60%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	7	75%	0.07	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Hakeem Olajuwon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	8	50%	0.01	1	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	4	77%	0.02	1	-0.01	5	80%	-0.00
Matt Bullard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Langhi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	100%	0.00	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	9	52%	0.00	3	-0.01	3	100%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	10	54%	-0.02	2	-0.00	8	50%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	1.6	28.2	16.5	26.2	1.8	29.3	129.8
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +39.5%

UTA -0.5%

HOU +2.4%

HOU +7.7%

HOU +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	HOU	NBA	UTA	HOU	NBA
this game	16.9	15.3	15.5	96.6	121.1	100.9
season	16.0	16.3		105.3	104.6
opponent	14.9	15.5		102.1	100.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	18.3	18.0	14.9	16.1	16.9
HOU	14.4	12.7	17.8	16.6	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Crotty	24	25	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.07	2	-25	27	16.2	17.1	-0.83	13.9	15.9	-1.96
Scott Padgett	33	32	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.13	4	-27	31	15.8	17.5	-1.65	15.0	15.5	-0.57
John Starks	39	39	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-19	15	17.2	16.6	0.58	16.6	14.3	2.31
Olden Polynice	36	38	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.19	-11	-12	1	16.8	16.9	-0.03	15.8	15.0	0.84
John Stockton	35	37	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.21	-14	-9	-5	16.2	17.3	-1.03	15.5	15.2	0.26
Karl Malone	46	46	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.29	-17	-6	-11	17.6	16.1	1.52	15.8	14.9	0.92
Quincy Lewis	40	40	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.04	-7	-16	9	16.2	17.4	-1.23	14.0	16.4	-2.45
Donyell Marshall	52	54	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.20	-15	-8	-7	16.5	17.4	-0.85	15.2	15.5	-0.28
Jacque Vaughn	47	46	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.02	-9	-14	5	17.5	16.1	1.44	16.3	14.3	2.03
Danny Manning	26	26	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.06	-8	-15	7	15.7	17.3	-1.59	13.9	15.9	-1.98
Greg Ostertag	46	45	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.00	-12	-11	-1	17.1	16.6	0.48	16.1	14.6	1.47
Bryon Russell	21	22	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.28	-24	1	-25	19.6	16.0	3.56	14.0	15.8	-1.82

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Moochie Norris	47	45	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.21	22	1	21	13.9	16.9	-2.92	17.8	15.9	1.91
Steve Francis	62	63	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.09	17	6	11	16.2	13.3	2.92	17.6	15.0	2.56
Kenny Thomas	52	52	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.13	18	5	13	16.1	14.3	1.85	16.4	17.5	-1.13
Hakeem Olajuwon	39	38	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.18	19	4	15	15.8	15.0	0.77	17.4	16.5	0.94
Cuttino Mobley	57	55	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.17	17	6	11	16.0	14.2	1.72	15.9	18.4	-2.43
Walt Williams	37	36	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.17	14	9	5	14.2	16.1	-1.94	17.2	16.6	0.62
Shandon Anderson	55	56	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.07	2	21	-19	15.3	15.5	-0.20	16.3	17.8	-1.58
Maurice Taylor	22	22	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.02	4	19	-15	14.4	15.6	-1.22	18.3	16.4	1.95
Kelvin Cato	44	45	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.06	0	23	-23	16.5	14.2	2.28	16.8	16.9	-0.11
Matt Bullard	21	20	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.07	3	20	-17	12.4	16.2	-3.79	16.3	17.0	-0.65
Dan Langhi	14	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	24	-25	14.8	15.4	-0.65	14.2	17.3	-3.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.72,0.77,0.81,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 81, ORL 113	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%
MEM 98, BOS 109	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
ATL 82, PHX 112	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.83,0.84,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%