NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	95		Excitement	6.0 [593]		MVP	Jamal Mashburn (CHH): +8.7%
Charlotte Hornets	100		Comeback	2.1 [1024]		LVP	Shareef Abdur-Rahim (VAN): -17.7%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Erick Strickland	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.02	5	60%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.11,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	0.00	0.06	18	61%	0.06	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Grant Long	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	1	67%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Edwards	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	9	42%	-0.00	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Bryant Reeves	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.01	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Michael Dickerson	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.06	-0.03	16	51%	0.02	5	-0.15	7	86%	0.02
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.21,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.07	-0.09	0.02	24	43%	-0.15	1	-0.03	6	67%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.07	0.00	21	51%	0.12	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.00	0.00	2	150%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.04	-0.01	10	50%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Otis Thorpe	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim James	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	16	53%	0.03	3	-0.05	6	83%	0.03
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	0.01	5	71%	0.02	2	-0.08	4	50%	-0.03
Elden Campbell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	11	41%	-0.07	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.02
Baron Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	13	41%	-0.08	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	6	33%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	2.4	28.2	15.7	26.3	2.0	32.2	131.8
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +16.0%

CHH +11.0%

VAN -8.2%

CHH +28.0%

CHH +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	CHH	NBA	VAN	CHH	NBA
this game	14.9	15.1	15.5	96.9	106.4	100.9
season	15.6	15.8		97.4	99.7
opponent	15.6	15.1		97.0	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
VAN	14.3	17.1	14.6	13.8	14.9
CHH	15.1	16.3	14.8	14.4	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grant Long	52	51	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.18	5	-10	15	14.1	15.8	-1.65	15.3	14.9	0.39
Kevin Edwards	11	12	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.07	-1	-4	3	17.0	14.6	2.38	13.7	15.3	-1.57
Erick Strickland	12	12	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	1	-7	16.2	14.7	1.46	14.8	15.2	-0.33
Tony Massenburg	55	53	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.10	-1	-4	3	15.1	14.6	0.59	15.5	14.7	0.81
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	78	73	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.32	3	-8	11	14.4	16.8	-2.47	15.3	14.6	0.64
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	20	20	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.21	-2	-3	1	15.7	14.7	1.08	14.4	15.3	-0.91
Mike Bibby	87	82	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.34	1	-6	7	14.8	15.7	-0.95	15.2	14.3	0.90
Bryant Reeves	41	39	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.10	-9	4	-13	15.0	14.8	0.28	14.9	15.3	-0.33
Michael Dickerson	88	85	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.32	-5	0	-5	14.6	17.7	-3.13	15.2	14.8	0.38
Stromile Swift	46	43	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.17	-10	5	-15	15.8	14.1	1.65	14.9	15.3	-0.39

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Mashburn	76	81	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.38	5	0	5	15.3	14.2	1.18	15.0	14.2	0.79
Eddie Robinson	49	49	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.10	10	-5	15	14.5	15.8	-1.22	14.6	15.2	-0.59
Baron Davis	78	81	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.32	2	3	-1	15.1	15.2	-0.08	14.3	17.6	-3.34
P.J. Brown	71	74	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.32	-1	6	-7	15.1	15.3	-0.19	14.0	17.7	-3.79
Jamaal Magloire	41	41	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.10	6	-1	7	15.3	15.0	0.35	15.1	14.7	0.36
David Wesley	75	78	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.27	-1	6	-7	15.0	15.6	-0.64	15.1	13.9	1.18
Otis Thorpe	15	15	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.07	4	1	3	13.2	15.5	-2.28	17.1	14.5	2.57
Elden Campbell	50	54	0.14	0.35	-0.21	0.26	-4	9	-13	15.2	15.0	0.18	14.9	14.9	-0.08
Hersey Hawkins	11	12	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.04	5	0	5	16.9	14.9	2.03	17.3	14.5	2.79
Tim James	4	5	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.01	-1	6	-7	20.7	14.9	5.88	21.2	14.5	6.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.34,0.35,0.39,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.59,0.52,0.63,0.67,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.75,0.89,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.93,0.93,0.93,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 96, NYK 111	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.57,0.53,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.66,0.6,0.67,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1	94.8%
CLE 109, DAL 126	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.39,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.48,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.69,0.63,0.68,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.0%
PHI 90, IND 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.34,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.6,0.82,0.81,0.74,0.82,0.8,0.87,0.86,0.8,0.82,0.89,0.89,0.84,1,1	93.9%