NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	105		Excitement	8.1 [186]		MVP	Shareef Abdur-Rahim (VAN): +27.8%
Portland Trail Blazers	97		Comeback	2.1 [56]		LVP	Arvydas Sabonis (POR): -19.1%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0.28	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.28,0.28	0.08	0.21	0.01	15	68%	0.37	2	-0.09	8	100%	0.12
Michael Dickerson	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	12	67%	0.10	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.03
Tony Massenburg	0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	5	80%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Grant Long	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.01	5	57%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Stromile Swift	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,-0.02,0	0.04	-0.04	0.00	6	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.04
Ike Austin	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	8	50%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	30%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Bibby	-0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.09	-0.09	0.01	11	50%	-0.01	4	-0.17	6	50%	-0.05

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.07	-0.00	12	56%	0.12	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.05
Dale Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.00	0.08	-0.01	7	47%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.02
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.04	0.01	10	62%	0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.06,0.06,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.02	-0.02	7	57%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rod Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.02	6	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.03	0.01	12	58%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.03
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	0.00	7	14%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	15	44%	-0.01	4	-0.17	4	75%	0.01
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.11	-0.08	0.00	10	29%	-0.17	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.3	25.5	36.5	26.3	1.8	33.3	151.1
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

VAN +42.5%

VAN +27.6%

VAN +17.2%

POR -30.4%

POR -6.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	POR	NBA	VAN	POR	NBA
this game	15.4	15.3	15.5	112.9	102.1	100.9
season	15.6	15.8		97.4	103.9
opponent	15.8	15.1		100.3	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
VAN	15.7	16.0	15.8	13.9	15.4
POR	13.2	15.3	14.9	18.2	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Dickerson	81	83	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.22	14	-6	20	15.5	14.5	0.98	15.6	13.0	2.61
Mike Bibby	65	67	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.09	17	-9	26	15.8	14.2	1.58	15.5	14.9	0.61
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	90	91	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.29	6	2	4	15.5	9.7	5.88	15.1	18.7	-3.62
Tony Massenburg	42	43	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.04	17	-9	26	15.4	15.3	0.13	16.5	14.3	2.24
Stromile Swift	28	28	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.35	1	7	-6	14.7	15.6	-0.87	16.2	14.9	1.32
Grant Long	46	49	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.13	11	-3	14	15.1	15.6	-0.57	16.0	14.6	1.39
Ike Austin	48	49	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.37	-11	19	-30	15.8	14.8	0.99	14.7	15.9	-1.22
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	29	29	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.10	-7	15	-22	14.3	15.8	-1.57	14.4	15.7	-1.25
Erick Strickland	36	36	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.08	-8	16	-24	14.7	15.8	-1.03	13.0	16.7	-3.72

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Kemp	37	38	0.31	-0.81	1.11	-0.04	12	-20	32	14.1	16.1	-1.97	15.2	15.5	-0.33
Rasheed Wallace	25	24	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.12	-6	-2	-4	13.6	15.9	-2.23	18.8	14.1	4.69
Rod Strickland	30	31	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.02	-3	-5	2	15.8	15.0	0.75	16.0	15.0	0.92
Detlef Schrempf	51	51	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.32	8	-16	24	14.4	16.3	-1.93	14.8	16.0	-1.18
Bonzi Wells	53	50	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.00	-6	-2	-4	15.3	15.3	-0.00	16.2	14.4	1.83
Arvydas Sabonis	47	44	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.01	-9	1	-10	16.4	14.2	2.13	14.6	16.0	-1.41
Steven Smith	54	55	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.25	-5	-3	-2	15.8	14.6	1.14	14.7	16.3	-1.62
Damon Stoudamire	67	64	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.23	-7	-1	-6	14.9	16.2	-1.32	14.7	16.9	-2.24
Dale Davis	55	52	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.36	-9	1	-10	16.5	13.6	2.91	15.7	15.0	0.68
Scottie Pippen	56	56	-0.71	0.21	-0.91	-0.27	-15	7	-22	15.2	15.4	-0.13	15.1	15.7	-0.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.39,0.44,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.45,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.34,0.27,0.32,0.44,0.66,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.31,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.4,0.43,0.1,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 88, CHH 87	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.41,0.34,0.41,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.47,0.47,0.59,0.53,0.32,0.45,0.32,0.18,0	92.0%
DAL 92, DET 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.72,0.73,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.4,0.4,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.42,0.31,0.29,0.39,0.55,0.37,0.17,0.02,0	91.4%
DAL 112, MIL 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.33,0.37,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.53,0.45,0.35,0.16,0	91.0%