NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	101		Excitement	11.8 [18]		MVP	Shammond Williams (SEA): +38.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers	99		Comeback	14.4 [82]		LVP	Ruben Patterson (SEA): -47.5%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shammond Williams	0.38	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.03,0.03,0.38	0.01	0.38	0.00	17	50%	0.42	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.07
Gary Payton	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.05,0.05	0.09	-0.04	0.00	21	61%	0.10	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.08
Jelani McCoy	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	69%	0.02	0	0.00	6	17%	-0.13
Olumide Oyedeji	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Patrick Ewing	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Vin Baker	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Wolkowyski	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	0	50%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.05
Rashard Lewis	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.00	0.00	11	42%	0.00	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Desmond Mason	-0.39	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.39	-0.13	-0.28	-0.01	8	15%	-0.39	0	0.00	4	75%	0.07
Ruben Patterson	-0.48	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.25,-0.25,-0.29,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.27,-0.27,-0.48,-0.48	-0.15	-0.33	-0.00	16	50%	-0.27	6	-0.20	12	67%	-0.19

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.02	0.15	-0.01	11	55%	0.20	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.08	0.00	7	71%	0.14	0	0.00	7	100%	0.05
Chris Mihm	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.03	-0.07	-0.00	13	70%	0.22	4	-0.26	4	50%	-0.03
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.02	-0.04	6	33%	0.03	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Chris Gatling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	6	17%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	8	29%	-0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.05	0.01	9	48%	-0.05	2	-0.07	5	60%	-0.02
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.45	-0.45	-0.07	-0.37	0.01	16	46%	-0.21	2	-0.24	7	86%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	27.3	2.4	32.4	15.4	24.5	2.3	38.4	1.5	10.2	154.4
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	1.7	17.2	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +9.8%

CLE -7.1%

SEA +27.4%

SEA +17.5%

SEA +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	CLE	NBA	SEA	CLE	NBA
this game	16.3	15.5	15.5	100.0	100.0	100.9
season	15.2	15.3		103.8	98.4
opponent	15.6	15.7		102.6	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
SEA	17.0	14.8	17.6	14.0	21.0	16.3
CLE	14.2	14.5	15.9	17.9	14.7	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ruben Wolkowyski	11	13	0.85	-0.35	1.21	0.65	7	-5	12	17.8	16.1	1.75	15.7	15.5	0.18
Desmond Mason	79	79	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.44	11	-9	20	15.3	19.7	-4.38	15.7	14.8	0.92
Ruben Patterson	82	83	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.38	9	-7	16	15.6	18.9	-3.31	15.9	13.6	2.35
Shammond Williams	77	75	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.55	-3	5	-8	16.6	15.3	1.27	15.4	16.0	-0.67
Gary Payton	95	92	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.44	0	2	-2	16.5	12.7	3.82	15.9	11.3	4.57
Olumide Oyedeji	9	8	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.00	6	-4	10	11.3	16.7	-5.41	16.2	15.5	0.78
Rashard Lewis	52	50	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.07	-1	3	-4	16.8	15.7	1.09	15.0	16.1	-1.04
Vin Baker	14	12	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.08	-7	9	-16	19.4	15.7	3.68	13.7	15.8	-2.13
Patrick Ewing	44	41	-0.25	0.75	-0.99	0.02	-9	11	-20	17.3	15.4	1.88	14.8	16.1	-1.25
Jelani McCoy	42	42	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	-0.27	-3	5	-8	16.0	16.4	-0.40	15.7	15.4	0.27

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bimbo Coles	36	36	0.18	-0.68	0.87	0.15	1	-3	4	14.2	16.3	-2.15	15.6	16.6	-1.05
Chris Mihm	37	38	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.05	7	-9	16	15.6	15.5	0.05	16.5	16.1	0.43
Robert Traylor	24	27	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.06	2	-4	6	12.3	16.6	-4.23	16.4	16.2	0.20
Chris Gatling	25	25	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.01	-5	3	-8	15.9	15.4	0.51	15.5	16.5	-0.98
Wesley Person	36	38	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.20	-1	-1	0	15.7	15.5	0.21	17.2	15.7	1.44
Jim Jackson	67	68	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.53	6	-8	14	15.4	15.7	-0.27	15.8	17.3	-1.51
Matt Harpring	57	56	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.22	-5	3	-8	16.1	14.8	1.22	16.3	16.2	0.14
Clar. Weatherspoon	75	76	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.44	-3	1	-4	16.4	12.9	3.46	16.4	16.0	0.40
Lamond Murray	75	76	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.39	-9	7	-16	15.2	16.6	-1.38	16.2	16.6	-0.40
Andre Miller	63	65	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	-0.60	-3	1	-4	16.3	14.2	2.15	16.6	15.6	1.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.66,0.6,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.76,0.84,0.91,0.72,0.54,0.75,0.78,0.68,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 109, POR 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.53,0.65,0.7,0.76,0.75,0.71,0.67,0.72,0.68,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.66,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.57,0.54,0.8,0.92,0.77,0.73,0	89.5%
POR 104, MIL 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.53,0.46,0.45,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.53,0.69,0.93,0.98,0.85,0.5,0.55,0.54,0.83,0.31,0	88.8%
LAC 104, DEN 102	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.55,0.49,0.56,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.6,0.61,0.46,0.46,0.34,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.55,0.57,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.63,0.79,0.7,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.6,0.53,0.38,0.54,0.69,0.91,0.54,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.41,0	88.5%