NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	100		Excitement	2.8 [1162]		MVP	Vinny Del Negro (PHX): +8.2%
Miami Heat	85		Comeback	1.1 [501]		LVP	Brian Grant (MIA): -7.8%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vinny Del Negro	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.02	-0.02	6	83%	0.08	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.00	0.01	-0.06	14	53%	0.10	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Mario Elie	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	0.00	0.03	3	133%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.03	10	45%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	5	42%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Clifford Robinson	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	18	56%	0.03	2	-0.03	9	78%	-0.01
Elliot Perry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.07	18	61%	0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Santiago	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	-0.01	-0.05	5	38%	-0.02	3	-0.03	3	67%	0.01

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Jones	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	11	62%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
A.C. Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	12	46%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	5	33%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Don MacLean	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Anthony Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.02	14	63%	0.04	3	-0.05	2	0%	-0.00
Dan Majerle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	5	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.04	5	17%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tim Hardaway	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	5	27%	-0.03	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Brian Grant	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	0.06	14	62%	-0.02	4	-0.06	6	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	1.8	28.2	16.3	23.6	2.4	26.4	122.1
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +38.4%

MIA -1.0%

PHX +11.2%

PHX +0.3%

PHX +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	MIA	NBA	PHX	MIA	NBA
this game	16.6	15.4	15.5	112.4	93.4	100.9
season	14.9	16.3		97.7	98.4
opponent	16.1	15.4		96.9	96.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.6	16.0	17.6	17.4	16.6
MIA	13.8	16.7	18.4	13.3	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	67	69	0.64	-0.14	0.79	-0.24	30	-15	45	15.8	19.0	-3.16	16.5	12.0	4.48
Clifford Robinson	68	72	0.62	-0.12	0.74	-0.14	26	-11	37	16.3	17.7	-1.43	15.6	14.7	0.83
Shawn Marion	76	76	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.21	23	-8	31	16.5	17.2	-0.72	15.3	15.8	-0.48
Mario Elie	35	35	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.20	20	-5	25	16.7	16.6	0.11	16.2	14.9	1.31
Tony Delk	60	62	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.22	5	10	-5	16.5	16.9	-0.46	15.1	16.0	-0.89
Rodney Rogers	55	58	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.29	-8	23	-31	16.6	16.7	-0.14	14.0	17.9	-3.90
Jake Tsakalidis	34	34	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.15	-3	18	-21	18.4	15.5	2.90	15.2	15.5	-0.26
Elliot Perry	4	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	16	-17	18.5	16.5	1.97	11.6	15.6	-4.02
Daniel Santiago	9	7	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.07	-3	18	-21	16.4	16.6	-0.19	21.6	14.9	6.69
Vinny Del Negro	37	37	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.34	-14	29	-43	17.3	16.1	1.21	14.6	15.9	-1.30

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Don MacLean	9	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-16	17	12.8	15.7	-2.91	16.9	16.6	0.30
Eddie House	28	26	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.36	12	-27	39	13.5	16.2	-2.74	17.9	16.1	1.79
Anthony Carter	58	55	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.24	8	-23	31	15.1	16.0	-0.90	17.0	16.0	0.95
A.C. Green	49	47	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.18	2	-17	19	15.7	15.0	0.65	16.8	16.4	0.36
Brian Grant	56	56	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.27	5	-20	25	14.2	17.3	-3.07	17.4	15.3	2.14
Dan Majerle	40	39	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.33	6	-21	27	13.5	16.8	-3.29	17.3	16.1	1.27
Tim Hardaway	42	42	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.16	-21	6	-27	15.3	15.5	-0.20	16.1	17.1	-1.03
Eddie Jones	58	58	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	0.26	-27	12	-39	16.7	13.2	3.47	16.4	17.1	-0.73
Bruce Bowen	53	52	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.34	-30	15	-45	17.1	13.1	3.98	15.7	17.8	-2.09
Anthony Mason	62	61	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	0.35	-31	16	-47	16.4	13.2	3.26	15.8	18.5	-2.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.31,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 110, CLE 75	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.18,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
MIN 107, UTA 80	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.33,0.4,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.36,0.27,0.22,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%
PHI 103, PHX 83	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.37,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%