inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 84 Excitement2.2 [1223] MVPPeja Stojakovic (SAC): +12.7%
Sacramento Kings 117 Comeback1.1 [980] LVPNick Van Exel (DEN): -7.9%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Voshon Lenard0.050,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.090.000.041379%0.094-0.043100%0.01
Tariq Abdul-Wahad0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.030.00-0.04333%0.0110.0000%0.00
Ryan Bowen0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.022100%0.001-0.0000%0.00
James Posey0.000,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01467%0.002-0.001100%-0.00
Mark Strickland0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.0530%0.0000.0000%0.00
George McCloud-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.04-0.00-0.03657%0.013-0.022100%0.01
Anthony Goldwire-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.000.01842%-0.0300.00367%0.00
Raef LaFrentz-0.040,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.08-0.00-0.041046%-0.023-0.02475%-0.00
Antonio McDyess-0.070,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.14-0.00-0.081528%-0.022-0.05250%-0.00
Kevin Willis-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.00-0.011036%-0.062-0.022100%0.00
Nick Van Exel-0.080,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.09-0.00-0.02928%-0.052-0.0200%0.00

Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.130.000.001969%0.132-0.00450%-0.00
Bobby Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.060.02-0.021269%0.1020.002100%0.01
Vlade Divac0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.130.000.081471%0.0600.0000%0.00
Doug Christie0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.080.000.03774%0.0500.005100%0.00
Lawrence Funderburke0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.000.00-0.03567%0.0320.002100%0.01
Jabari Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.01267%0.0000.002100%0.00
Darrick Martin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.050.000.051100%0.0000.00683%0.00
Scot Pollard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.02-0.000.04756%-0.0200.00250%0.00
Hedo Turkoglu0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.02736%-0.032-0.0200%0.00
Jason Williams0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.120.00-0.06714%-0.042-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.42.423.515.525.02.427.5117.7
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.1139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAC +34.8%
DEN -0.7%
DEN -0.3%
SAC +13.6%
SAC +2.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENSACNBADENSACNBA
this game16.013.615.586.6119.4100.9
season15.214.4101.4103.1
opponent15.515.297.8104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN14.318.416.614.816.0
SAC13.412.913.414.613.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mark Strickland15160.00-0.500.500.09-3-302714.516.2-1.7812.613.8-1.14
Ryan Bowen1819-0.01-0.490.480.14-5-282315.116.2-1.1211.914.0-2.09
Anthony Goldwire3031-0.11-0.390.280.18-10-231315.216.3-1.1113.813.50.28
James Posey5657-0.23-0.270.030.24-16-17116.415.40.9614.312.61.71
Tariq Abdul-Wahad2223-0.24-0.260.030.15-13-20715.316.2-0.9013.813.50.32
Kevin Willis4243-0.24-0.260.020.26-17-16-115.016.7-1.7514.213.11.08
Voshon Lenard6666-0.26-0.24-0.020.24-17-16-116.315.31.0012.915.0-2.15
Antonio McDyess6565-0.29-0.21-0.070.21-17-16-116.115.70.3713.813.20.65
George McCloud5049-0.30-0.20-0.100.35-22-11-1116.015.90.0614.113.11.00
Nick Van Exel6767-0.39-0.11-0.280.28-23-10-1316.315.21.1113.513.8-0.28
Raef LaFrentz5454-0.44-0.06-0.370.21-22-11-1116.815.01.7813.314.0-0.72

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Doug Christie72700.400.100.29-0.372671914.112.12.0516.015.80.21
Bobby Jackson71700.400.100.29-0.372671914.112.11.9816.015.80.21
Lawrence Funderburke37380.340.160.18-0.3022111113.113.9-0.7216.115.90.22
Jason Williams57580.310.190.12-0.251914512.814.6-1.7716.914.62.22
Hedo Turkoglu52510.290.210.09-0.231815313.913.20.7715.316.7-1.38
Vlade Divac50500.280.220.06-0.251815312.914.3-1.3916.715.11.59
Peja Stojakovic71710.260.240.03-0.181518-313.513.9-0.3716.215.50.69
Scot Pollard48470.220.28-0.06-0.221518-314.312.91.3915.116.7-1.59
Jabari Smith16150.000.50-0.50-0.09330-2712.613.8-1.1414.516.2-1.78
Darrick Martin16150.000.50-0.50-0.09330-2712.613.8-1.1414.516.2-1.78


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.84,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 80, CHA 1050.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.71,0.79,0.85,0.88,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.3%
UTA 71, NOH 1000.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.78,0.77,0.81,0.8,0.83,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.0%
MIA 81, IND 1000.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.8%