inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 111 Excitement3.8 [1019] MVPDerek Anderson (SAS): +13.8%
Detroit Pistons 90 Comeback3.2 [608] LVPJoe Smith (DET): -14.3%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Derek Anderson0.140,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.110.050.021181%0.182-0.049100%0.06
Danny Ferry0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.100.020.015110%0.131-0.0200%0.00
David Robinson0.090,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.010.01790%0.122-0.036100%0.03
Samaki Walker0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.00-0.00450%0.0100.0000%0.00
Derrick Dial0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.080.000.07975%0.0110.002100%-0.00
Steve Kerr-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.00642%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Antonio Daniels-0.010,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.01-0.01642%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Jaren Jackson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.00-0.03325%-0.0100.0020%0.00
Ira Newble-0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.0220%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Terry Porter-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.01-0.02643%-0.022-0.02250%-0.01
Tim Duncan-0.100,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.18-0.01-0.091549%0.007-0.101173%-0.02

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jud Buechler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.090.000.05683%0.0400.0000%0.00
Jerry Stackhouse0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.09-0.020.042169%0.134-0.10989%0.01
Michael Curry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02350%0.021-0.012100%0.00
John Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dana Barros0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.050.00-0.0330%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Chucky Atkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.000.011150%0.012-0.0300%0.00
Ben Wallace0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.070.02-0.021038%-0.0300.0060%-0.10
Mikki Moore0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.08-0.01-0.05250%0.014-0.0500%0.00
Eric Montross0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.010.0020%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Mateen Cleaves0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.10-0.020.00729%-0.053-0.0700%0.00
Joe Smith0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.07-0.050.031243%-0.072-0.074100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.82.328.316.527.52.423.7128.5
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.1139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +29.4%
SAS +10.1%
DET -2.2%
SAS +12.0%
SAS +0.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASDETNBASASDETNBA
this game17.013.515.5115.696.8100.9
season15.914.3103.497.9
opponent15.415.599.696.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS17.816.015.918.217.0
DET12.516.812.911.813.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
David Robinson53520.58-0.080.65-0.1023-22516.917.0-0.1013.912.91.07
Derek Anderson55540.54-0.040.58-0.082102117.017.0-0.0114.012.71.35
Tim Duncan75720.490.010.48-0.102011916.717.8-1.0814.310.63.72
Steve Kerr43420.340.160.19-0.191831517.216.80.3913.313.6-0.35
Terry Porter51500.310.190.12-0.221831515.718.4-2.7414.412.42.01
Danny Ferry43410.250.250.010.05714-716.617.2-0.6213.413.5-0.15
Antonio Daniels53510.160.34-0.190.07318-1516.817.2-0.3913.613.30.35
Derrick Dial29280.030.47-0.43-0.06318-1517.716.70.9811.714.2-2.49
Samaki Walker3434-0.030.53-0.56-0.03021-2117.416.70.6411.914.3-2.43
Jaren Jackson2726-0.070.57-0.640.05-425-2917.216.90.3512.213.9-1.69
Ira Newble1715-0.100.60-0.710.01-425-2920.516.24.2611.713.8-2.05

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
John Wallace1090.00-0.500.500.03-1-201912.613.6-0.9518.716.81.87
Chucky Atkins5456-0.07-0.430.360.08-5-161113.613.30.3417.116.70.42
Mikki Moore4143-0.08-0.420.330.00-3-181511.614.9-3.2518.315.92.33
Jud Buechler3537-0.09-0.410.310.05-5-161112.014.3-2.2816.317.4-1.05
Michael Curry3738-0.10-0.400.300.14-8-13514.113.01.0916.117.6-1.52
Eric Montross3434-0.13-0.370.240.10-8-13515.612.23.4616.117.5-1.41
Dana Barros1718-0.21-0.290.070.08-10-11113.413.5-0.1216.717.0-0.37
Jerry Stackhouse7677-0.30-0.20-0.100.11-14-7-713.612.60.9816.817.5-0.63
Joe Smith5356-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.01-13-8-512.414.8-2.4517.516.21.28
Mateen Cleaves5152-0.540.04-0.58-0.01-18-3-1513.913.00.9117.016.90.07
Ben Wallace5760-0.580.08-0.670.00-20-1-1914.312.12.2316.817.2-0.32


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.31,0.26,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 99, DET 820.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.66,0.62,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.62,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.41,0.5,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.13,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.4%
DEN 110, CLE 910.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.69,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.34,0.26,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.3%
SAC 116, MEM 990.5,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.57,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.26,0.23,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.25,0.15,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.2%