NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	117		Excitement	9.8 [66]		MVP	Shareef Abdur-Rahim (VAN): +47.9%
Vancouver Grizzlies	120		Comeback	10.8 [75]		LVP	Lindsey Hunter (MIL): -27.6%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.19	0.14	0.05	-0.00	18	67%	0.19	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Scott Williams	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.02	0.02	6	83%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	2	100%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Kersey	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	60%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Mark Pope	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	30	48%	0.03	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.07
Tim Thomas	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.04	-0.05	6	33%	0.03	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	-0.28	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.28,-0.28	-0.07	-0.18	0.02	19	62%	0.10	9	-0.38	1	100%	0.01
Lindsey Hunter	-0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.28	-0.11	-0.17	-0.00	16	31%	-0.18	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.26,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.48	0.48	0.18	0.32	0.01	17	90%	0.68	6	-0.20	8	100%	0.21
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Othella Harrington	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	92%	0.08	4	-0.09	9	89%	0.03
Kevin Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ike Austin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bryant Reeves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.17,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.07	0.01	10	70%	0.09	2	-0.13	3	67%	-0.02
Michael Dickerson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	17	52%	0.07	3	-0.11	6	100%	0.03
Damon Jones	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.29,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	13	42%	-0.02	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23	-0.23	-0.09	-0.13	0.00	14	50%	-0.07	5	-0.16	4	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	2.4	27.3	15.4	25.5	2.4	30.3	132.4
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

VAN +30.5%

VAN +37.1%

MIL -4.4%

MIL -14.8%

VAN +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	VAN	NBA	MIL	VAN	NBA
this game	14.9	12.3	15.5	110.4	113.2	100.9
season	14.9	15.6		105.9	97.4
opponent	15.1	15.8		103.4	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	12.8	15.0	14.1	18.2	14.9
VAN	12.0	12.7	12.0	12.5	12.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scott Williams	46	44	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.07	4	-7	11	12.8	16.4	-3.59	12.4	12.3	0.09
Jerome Kersey	32	31	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.24	-10	7	-17	18.4	13.3	5.04	12.7	12.1	0.56
Tim Thomas	47	49	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.03	-5	2	-7	13.4	16.0	-2.61	11.8	12.7	-0.88
Ervin Johnson	51	53	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.31	2	-5	7	16.8	13.1	3.71	12.6	12.0	0.55
Glenn Robinson	96	95	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.46	3	-6	9	14.7	16.1	-1.37	12.5	10.5	1.97
Lindsey Hunter	73	72	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.43	-2	-1	-1	16.2	11.9	4.33	12.5	11.9	0.59
Ray Allen	102	102	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.37	-5	2	-7	14.7	19.2	-4.56	12.2	14.7	-2.53
Sam Cassell	83	84	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.62	-2	-1	-1	13.4	20.0	-6.51	12.0	13.6	-1.67

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryant Reeves	55	54	1.00	-0.50	1.50	0.33	23	-20	43	12.3	12.3	-0.00	17.1	12.6	4.52
Mike Bibby	99	100	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.43	5	-2	7	12.0	16.3	-4.26	14.8	16.3	-1.56
Michael Dickerson	103	103	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.39	3	0	3	12.3	12.0	0.32	14.5	26.3	-11.81
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	93	93	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.44	0	3	-3	12.2	13.1	-0.87	14.5	17.5	-3.05
Kevin Edwards	23	23	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.11	7	-4	11	13.9	11.9	1.99	17.8	14.0	3.73
Damon Jones	92	91	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.36	-6	9	-15	12.3	12.4	-0.14	14.6	16.3	-1.72
Ike Austin	11	11	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	7	-11	9.7	12.6	-2.88	13.1	15.1	-1.97
Stromile Swift	21	20	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.03	-5	8	-13	13.8	11.9	1.87	15.6	14.7	0.91
Othella Harrington	33	35	-0.30	0.80	-1.09	-0.06	-8	11	-19	12.3	12.3	-0.01	12.5	16.0	-3.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.27,0.26,0.41,0.39,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.38,0.34,0.24,0.26,0.32,0.5,0.48,0.62,0.47,0.47,0.36,0.24,0.4,0.69,0.36,0.15,0.16,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 86, HOU 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.39,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.55,0.41,0.48,0.34,0.23,0.22,0.38,0.48,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.47,0.28,0.1,0.28,1	91.6%
SAC 108, CHA 111	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.39,0.37,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.44,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.57,0.48,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.28,0.15,0.27,1	88.6%
LAC 90, PHX 93	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.21,0.27,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.55,0.46,0.33,0.42,1	88.5%