NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	100		Excitement	6.1 [552]		MVP	Allan Houston (NYK): +20.5%
Boston Celtics	91		Comeback	3.4 [480]		LVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): -20.6%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allan Houston	0.20	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.10	0.11	0.00	12	81%	0.27	3	-0.07	7	86%	0.02
Chris Childs	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.05	0.05	5	121%	0.19	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Larry Johnson	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	11	64%	0.14	3	-0.11	3	100%	0.01
Rick Brunson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	8	53%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Travis Knight	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Longley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Camby	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.02	-0.03	7	50%	0.03	3	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	5	67%	0.04	2	-0.06	5	80%	-0.00
Latrell Sprewell	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	13	40%	-0.02	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.04,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.03	-0.02	21	61%	0.16	4	-0.09	7	43%	-0.05
Kenny Anderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	11	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.04	-0.02	8	44%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	7	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.03
Bryant Stith	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.02	11	67%	0.09	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Mark Blount	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.12	-0.08	0.00	15	43%	-0.10	4	-0.11	7	86%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	1.8	31.0	15.5	22.6	2.7	33.2	134.0
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +33.7%

NYK +23.4%

NYK +2.6%

BOS -10.2%

NYK +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	BOS	NBA	NYK	BOS	NBA
this game	16.2	16.1	15.5	112.4	102.2	100.9
season	16.4	15.1		99.2	99.7
opponent	15.4	16.1		101.8	96.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	17.7	15.0	14.2	17.9	16.2
BOS	13.6	18.4	17.1	15.5	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allan Houston	74	72	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.36	4	5	-1	17.0	12.5	4.45	15.6	18.4	-2.83
Kurt Thomas	55	55	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.09	13	-4	17	16.6	15.7	0.86	16.6	15.4	1.20
Erick Strickland	35	36	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.02	15	-6	21	16.3	16.2	0.18	17.9	14.9	2.96
Marcus Camby	50	49	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.39	0	9	-9	17.2	15.0	2.25	15.8	16.5	-0.77
Chris Childs	75	73	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.29	1	8	-7	15.8	18.6	-2.86	15.5	18.9	-3.35
Latrell Sprewell	74	75	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.18	1	8	-7	16.0	17.3	-1.32	15.9	17.4	-1.55
Larry Johnson	54	53	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.10	2	7	-5	15.4	17.5	-2.11	15.8	16.6	-0.73
Rick Brunson	10	12	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.10	6	3	3	14.9	16.4	-1.51	18.6	15.7	2.84
Luc Longley	17	18	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.13	6	3	3	15.6	16.4	-0.73	17.6	15.7	1.86
Travis Knight	1	2	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	12	-15	8.0	16.3	-8.33	10.5	16.3	-5.75

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Blount	32	32	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.13	7	-16	23	15.5	16.5	-0.97	17.3	15.6	1.73
Walter McCarty	3	4	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.06	-5	-4	-1	17.3	16.1	1.25	16.7	16.2	0.54
Bryant Stith	70	72	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.33	7	-16	23	15.7	17.7	-1.98	16.9	13.4	3.56
Adrian Griffin	14	13	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.13	-9	0	-9	17.1	15.9	1.21	13.8	16.7	-2.89
Randy Brown	24	25	-0.14	-0.35	0.21	-0.03	-4	-5	1	16.3	16.1	0.23	14.9	16.7	-1.83
Eric Williams	30	30	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.02	-8	-1	-7	17.6	15.4	2.28	15.0	16.8	-1.81
Kenny Anderson	65	64	-0.35	-0.14	-0.21	-0.21	-5	-4	-1	16.1	16.3	-0.23	16.7	14.9	1.83
Antoine Walker	86	85	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.29	-4	-5	1	16.1	17.3	-1.25	16.2	16.7	-0.54
Paul Pierce	64	63	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.29	-8	-1	-7	15.7	17.3	-1.66	16.5	15.5	1.04
Vitaly Potapenko	57	57	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.10	-16	7	-23	16.5	15.5	0.97	15.6	17.3	-1.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.68,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.4,0.29,0.46,0.34,0.48,0.38,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.07,0.05,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 85, DEN 77	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.32,0.26,0.16,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0	93.9%
UTA 96, WAS 87	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.49,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.17,0.12,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0	92.6%
CHH 98, NJN 87	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.34,0.43,0.29,0.28,0.17,0.24,0.09,0.07,0,0,0,0	92.3%