inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 110 Excitement9.2 [89] MVPChucky Atkins (DET): +37.9%
Detroit Pistons 102 Comeback6.9 [149] LVPJoe Smith (DET): -28.9%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bruce Bowen0.170,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.150.030.01994%0.191-0.0300%0.00
Brian Grant0.080,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08-0.050.12-0.011544%0.091-0.01667%-0.02
Eddie House0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.030.04-0.00771%0.142-0.0700%0.00
Dan Majerle0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.000.00275%0.0200.0000%0.00
Eddie Jones0.010,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.010.04-0.03-0.012053%0.041-0.03367%0.03
Todd Fuller-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Anthony Mason-0.050,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.070.020.001649%-0.002-0.04967%-0.02
A.C. Green-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.01420%-0.0500.002100%0.01
Tim Hardaway-0.250,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.25,-0.25-0.08-0.19-0.021844%-0.052-0.20757%-0.02

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chucky Atkins0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.3,0.3,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.380.380.120.23-0.021772%0.513-0.13250%-0.00
Mikki Moore0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Michael Curry0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.020.00557%0.001-0.034100%0.02
Ben Wallace0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.03-0.00750%-0.001-0.0420%-0.04
Jerome Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.070.00-0.01350%0.013-0.062100%0.01
Mateen Cleaves0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.06-0.02-0.00542%-0.032-0.05250%-0.01
Dana Barros0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.04-0.080.01841%-0.101-0.031100%0.01
Jerry Stackhouse0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23-0.23-0.08-0.16-0.012656%-0.037-0.2011100%0.09
Joe Smith0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29-0.29-0.14-0.16-0.011130%-0.261-0.03862%-0.06
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game22.11.529.515.427.81.827.41.417.6144.5
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.11.717.2139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +31.7%
DET -0.1%
MIA +3.0%
MIA +18.7%
DET -3.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIADETNBAMIADETNBA
this game16.813.715.5105.898.1100.9
season16.314.398.497.9
opponent15.416.199.696.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
MIA17.915.915.718.017.316.8
DET14.216.112.512.812.713.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dan Majerle65621.23-0.731.960.6420-123216.517.5-0.9813.713.70.03
A.C. Green45420.420.080.330.0413-51815.617.8-2.2013.513.9-0.43
Eddie Jones83850.400.100.290.2844016.916.60.2813.614.1-0.46
Tim Hardaway80790.320.180.140.1753217.016.20.8313.813.60.22
Brian Grant71730.200.30-0.090.23-19-1016.916.70.2213.813.50.35
Todd Fuller14130.170.33-0.15-0.0371617.416.80.5917.313.24.09
Anthony Mason75780.170.33-0.160.32-513-1817.415.51.8913.315.1-1.79
Eddie House33330.110.39-0.270.0817-616.117.2-1.1112.814.1-1.29
Bruce Bowen5455-0.521.02-1.54-0.40-412-1617.516.21.2814.113.30.88

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mikki Moore1010-0.14-0.360.220.07-7-1-620.713.07.7118.916.62.27
Chucky Atkins7774-0.20-0.300.11-0.283-111412.916.2-3.3716.717.2-0.45
Jerome Williams3536-0.22-0.280.06-0.07-5-3-214.213.50.6617.616.51.08
Joe Smith7169-0.22-0.280.05-0.251-91013.314.6-1.2816.317.9-1.57
Dana Barros4343-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.09-7-1-614.413.31.0916.816.9-0.09
Mateen Cleaves2730-0.30-0.20-0.110.02-113-1416.212.93.3717.216.70.45
Michael Curry6869-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.09-91-1014.113.01.1216.916.70.16
Ben Wallace9292-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.30-2-6413.118.4-5.3016.817.5-0.74
Jerry Stackhouse9797-0.41-0.09-0.33-0.33-3-5213.221.4-8.2516.817.3-0.47


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.14,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.32,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.17,0.34,0.16,0.42,0.54,0.55,0.21,0.05,0.02,0
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 100, UTA 950.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.42,0.54,0.25,0.07,0.04,0.01,091.5%
PHX 97, SAC 950.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.53,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.28,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.1,0.29,0.17,0.54,0.39,0.22,0.16,0.09,090.7%
MIL 141, SAC 1400.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.51,0.4,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.25,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.08,0.02,0.03,0.13,0.04,0.16,0.41,0.46,0.25,0.28,0.09,0.27,089.4%